Opinion Poll by Real Polls for Protagon, 4–7 April 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 30.9% | 29.4–32.5% | 29.0–33.0% | 28.6–33.3% | 27.9–34.1% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 16.9% | 15.7–18.2% | 15.4–18.6% | 15.1–18.9% | 14.5–19.6% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 10.2% | 9.2–11.3% | 8.9–11.6% | 8.7–11.8% | 8.3–12.4% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.2–11.1% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 7.7% | 6.9–8.7% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.1–9.7% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 6.3% | 5.5–7.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.1–7.7% | 4.8–8.1% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 3.1–4.4% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.2% |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0.0% | 3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.2–4.7% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.9–2.9% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.5–3.5% |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.3% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.9% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 22% | 100% | |
| 7 | 78% | 78% | Median |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 19% | 100% | |
| 4 | 81% | 81% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 6% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 98% | 98.7% | Median |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 21% | 100% | |
| 2 | 79% | 79% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 57% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 43% | 43% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 85% | 85% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 78% | 78% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 52% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 48% | 48% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 85% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 15% | 15% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 22% | 100% | |
| 7 | 78% | 78% | Median |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 85% | 85% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Real Polls
- Commissioner(s): Protagon
- Fieldwork period: 4–7 April 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1465
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.47%