Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 28 April–3 May 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 29.4% | 27.4–31.6% | 26.8–32.2% | 26.3–32.7% | 25.3–33.8% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 13.9% | 12.4–15.6% | 11.9–16.1% | 11.6–16.5% | 10.9–17.3% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 12.3% | 10.9–13.9% | 10.5–14.4% | 10.2–14.8% | 9.5–15.6% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 10.1% | 8.8–11.6% | 8.4–12.0% | 8.1–12.4% | 7.5–13.2% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 8.5% | 7.3–9.9% | 7.0–10.3% | 6.7–10.7% | 6.2–11.4% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 8.0% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.2–10.1% | 5.7–10.8% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.7–5.4% | 2.3–5.9% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.1–4.6% | 1.8–5.1% |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.3% | 1.6–4.8% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.7–4.0% | 1.4–4.5% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.7–2.4% | 0.6–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 6 | 63% | 99.2% | Median |
| 7 | 36% | 36% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 94% | Median |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 38% | 100% | |
| 3 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 86% | 99.7% | Median |
| 3 | 13% | 13% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 13% | 100% | |
| 2 | 86% | 87% | Median |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 25% | 100% | |
| 2 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 92% | 92% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 50% | 50% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 79% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 21% | 21% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 6 | 63% | 99.2% | Median |
| 7 | 36% | 36% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Alpha TV
- Fieldwork period: 28 April–3 May 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 765
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.40%