Opinion Poll by Real Polls for Protagon, 9–12 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 31.9% 30.5–33.4% 30.1–33.8% 29.8–34.2% 29.1–34.9%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 18.9% 17.7–20.2% 17.4–20.5% 17.1–20.9% 16.6–21.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 12.9% 11.9–14.0% 11.6–14.3% 11.4–14.6% 10.9–15.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 7.3% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.8–9.1%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 7.1% 6.3–7.9% 6.1–8.2% 6.0–8.4% 5.6–8.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.5%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.6% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.8%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.4% 2.0–2.9% 1.8–3.1% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0.0% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.5–3.4%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.9% 1.6–2.4% 1.4–2.6% 1.4–2.7% 1.2–2.9%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–8
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 1.2% 100%  
7 88% 98.8% Median
8 11% 11%  
9 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 72% 100% Median
5 28% 28%  
6 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 1.4% 100%  
3 82% 98.6% Median
4 16% 16%  
5 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 95% 95% Median
3 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 11% 100%  
2 89% 89% Median
3 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 92% 100% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 19%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.0% 1.0%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 1.2% 100%  
7 88% 98.8% Median
8 11% 11%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations