Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 12–15 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 30.2% 28.3–32.1% 27.8–32.6% 27.3–33.1% 26.5–34.0%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 14.2% 12.8–15.7% 12.4–16.1% 12.1–16.5% 11.5–17.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 14.1% 12.7–15.6% 12.3–16.0% 12.0–16.4% 11.4–17.1%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.7% 6.6–11.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.7% 6.6–11.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.5% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.3%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.7–4.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.5% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.1%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 1.9% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 38% 100%  
7 60% 62% Median
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 83% 99.8% Median
4 17% 17%  
5 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.7% 100%  
3 73% 99.3% Median
4 26% 26%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.7% 100%  
2 96% 99.3% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.6% 100%  
2 98% 99.4% Median
3 1.3% 1.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 62% 100% Median
2 38% 38%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100% Last Result
1 60% 60% Median
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 51% 51% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 15% 15%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 38% 100%  
7 60% 62% Median
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations