Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Action 24, 19–21 May 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 30.3% | 28.3–32.4% | 27.8–33.0% | 27.3–33.5% | 26.4–34.5% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 16.0% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.7–18.6% | 13.0–19.5% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 13.4% | 11.9–15.0% | 11.6–15.4% | 11.2–15.9% | 10.6–16.6% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 9.5% | 8.4–11.0% | 8.0–11.4% | 7.7–11.7% | 7.2–12.5% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 8.2% | 7.1–9.6% | 6.8–10.0% | 6.6–10.3% | 6.1–11.0% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.9% | 4.6–7.2% | 4.3–7.5% | 3.9–8.1% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.8% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.9–4.2% | 1.7–4.7% |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.9–4.2% | 1.7–4.7% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.6–3.7% | 1.3–4.1% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.5–2.5% |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.4–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 20% | 100% | |
| 7 | 77% | 79% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 25% | 25% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 93% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 5% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 90% | 99.4% | Median |
| 3 | 10% | 10% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 99.2% | Median |
| 3 | 5% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 86% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 14% | 14% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 73% | 73% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 74% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 26% | 26% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 89% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 11% | 11% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 20% | 100% | |
| 7 | 77% | 79% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Poll
- Commissioner(s): Action 24
- Fieldwork period: 19–21 May 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 838
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.66%