Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 26–28 May 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 29.7% 27.6–31.9% 27.0–32.5% 26.5–33.0% 25.6–34.1%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 15.6% 14.0–17.3% 13.5–17.9% 13.2–18.3% 12.4–19.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 13.2% 11.7–14.9% 11.3–15.4% 11.0–15.8% 10.3–16.6%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 10.7% 9.4–12.3% 9.0–12.7% 8.7–13.1% 8.1–13.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.5% 7.3–9.9% 7.0–10.3% 6.7–10.7% 6.2–11.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.5% 4.6–6.7% 4.3–7.0% 4.1–7.3% 3.7–8.0%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.5% 2.6–4.8% 2.4–5.1% 2.1–5.6%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.5% 2.6–4.8% 2.4–5.1% 2.1–5.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.5% 2.6–4.8% 2.4–5.1% 2.1–5.6%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.8% 1.7–4.0% 1.4–4.5%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4% 0.8–2.6% 0.6–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–8
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 1.0% 100%  
6 56% 99.0% Median
7 43% 43%  
8 0.7% 0.7%  
9 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.4% 100%  
3 68% 99.6% Median
4 31% 31%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 16% 100%  
3 80% 84% Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 66% 99.9% Median
3 34% 34%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 10% 100%  
2 87% 90% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 91% 100% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 89% 90% Median
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 88% 88% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100% Last Result
1 79% 79% Median
2 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Last Result, Median
1 33% 33%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 0.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 1.0% 100%  
6 56% 99.0% Median
7 43% 43%  
8 0.7% 0.7%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Last Result, Median
1 33% 33%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations