Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Libre, 2–5 June 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 30.6% | 28.5–32.7% | 27.9–33.3% | 27.4–33.9% | 26.4–34.9% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 15.8% | 14.2–17.6% | 13.8–18.1% | 13.4–18.5% | 12.7–19.4% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 13.6% | 12.1–15.3% | 11.7–15.8% | 11.4–16.2% | 10.7–17.0% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 9.8% | 8.5–11.2% | 8.2–11.7% | 7.9–12.1% | 7.3–12.8% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 8.1% | 7.0–9.5% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.4–10.2% | 5.9–10.9% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.6–7.3% | 4.3–7.7% | 3.9–8.3% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.2% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.2–4.7% | 1.9–5.2% |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.5–4.2% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.2–4.7% | 1.9–5.2% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.4–3.5% | 1.1–3.9% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.4–3.5% | 1.1–3.9% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% | 0.6–2.2% | 0.5–2.6% |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 43% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 55% | 57% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 54% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 45% | 45% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 97% | Median |
| 4 | 10% | 10% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 99.8% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 18% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 95% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 16% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 79% | 79% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 81% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 19% | 19% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 43% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 55% | 57% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Poll
- Commissioner(s): Libre
- Fieldwork period: 2–5 June 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 779
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.72%