Opinion Poll by GPO for Parapolitika, 8–10 September 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 31.0% | 29.0–33.2% | 28.4–33.8% | 27.9–34.3% | 26.9–35.3% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 14.0% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.1–16.2% | 11.8–16.6% | 11.1–17.4% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 10.9% | 9.6–12.4% | 9.2–12.8% | 8.9–13.2% | 8.3–14.0% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 10.1% | 8.9–11.6% | 8.5–12.0% | 8.2–12.4% | 7.7–13.2% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 9.8% | 8.5–11.2% | 8.2–11.6% | 7.9–12.0% | 7.3–12.8% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.5–7.8% | 5.2–8.1% | 5.0–8.4% | 4.5–9.1% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.4–6.0% |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.6–3.3% | 1.4–3.5% | 1.2–4.0% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 1.1–2.9% | 0.9–3.3% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 1.1–2.9% | 0.9–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 20% | 100% | |
| 7 | 78% | 80% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 90% | 99.4% | Median |
| 4 | 9% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 42% | 100% | |
| 3 | 58% | 58% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 71% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 28% | 28% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 83% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 17% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 58% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 42% | 42% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 89% | 89% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 40% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 60% | 60% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.1% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 20% | 100% | |
| 7 | 78% | 80% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 89% | 89% | Median |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Parapolitika
- Fieldwork period: 8–10 September 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 800
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.30%