Opinion Poll by GPO for Star TV, 22–24 September 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 30.0% | 28.2–31.9% | 27.7–32.5% | 27.3–32.9% | 26.4–33.9% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.0% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.4–13.7% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.5–14.8% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.3% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.3% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.1–7.7% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.5% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.0% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 29% | 100% | |
| 7 | 71% | 71% | Median |
| 8 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 81% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 19% | 19% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 14% | 100% | |
| 3 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 90% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 10% | 10% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 93% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 53% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 47% | 47% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 17% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 88% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 12% | 12% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 29% | 100% | |
| 7 | 71% | 71% | Median |
| 8 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 69% | 69% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Star TV
- Fieldwork period: 22–24 September 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1006
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.52%