Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Action 24, 10–11 November 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 30.2% | 28.3–32.3% | 27.7–32.9% | 27.2–33.4% | 26.3–34.4% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 13.7% | 12.2–15.3% | 11.8–15.7% | 11.5–16.1% | 10.9–16.9% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 10.7% | 9.5–12.2% | 9.1–12.6% | 8.8–13.0% | 8.3–13.7% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.7% | 7.2–11.1% | 6.7–11.8% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 8.1% | 7.0–9.4% | 6.7–9.7% | 6.4–10.1% | 5.9–10.7% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.2–6.0% | 2.9–6.6% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.2% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.2–5.5% | 3.0–5.8% | 2.7–6.3% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.1–5.3% |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.8% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.5–4.5% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.6–3.7% | 1.4–4.2% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.6–2.6% |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.6–2.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 33% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 17% | 100% | |
| 3 | 72% | 83% | Median |
| 4 | 11% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 73% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 27% | 27% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 23% | 100% | |
| 2 | 77% | 77% | Median |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 99.2% | Median |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 97% | Median |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 72% | 72% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 63% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 37% | 37% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 72% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 28% | 28% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 33% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 99.2% | Median |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Poll
- Commissioner(s): Action 24
- Fieldwork period: 10–11 November 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 857
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.98%