Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 4–12 December 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 29.2% 27.7–30.7% 27.3–31.1% 26.9–31.5% 26.3–32.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 14.1% 13.0–15.3% 12.7–15.6% 12.4–15.9% 11.9–16.5%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 11.7% 10.7–12.9% 10.5–13.2% 10.2–13.4% 9.8–14.0%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 9.7% 8.8–10.7% 8.5–11.0% 8.3–11.3% 7.9–11.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.6% 7.8–9.6% 7.5–9.9% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.7% 6.9–8.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.1–9.7%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.3%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.0% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.7%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0.0% 1.9% 1.6–2.5% 1.4–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–2.0% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3 3 3–4 3–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 40% 100%  
7 60% 60% Median
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 96% 99.9% Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 23% 100%  
3 77% 77% Median
4 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 96% 100% Median
3 4% 4%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.8% 100%  
2 99.1% 99.2% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 97% 97% Median
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 62% 100% Last Result, Median
1 38% 38%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 40% 100%  
7 60% 60% Median
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations