Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 9–16 December 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 27.0% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.4–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 14.1% 12.8–15.6% 12.5–16.1% 12.1–16.4% 11.5–17.2%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.6% 10.0–15.4%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 11.6% 10.4–13.0% 10.0–13.4% 9.7–13.7% 9.2–14.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.8% 4.1–5.8% 3.9–6.1% 3.7–6.4% 3.3–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.2–1.2% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 3 3–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 0–2 0–2
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 11% 100%  
6 82% 89% Median
7 7% 7%  
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 93% 99.7% Median
4 6% 6%  
5 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 8% 100%  
3 78% 92% Median
4 14% 14%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 48% 100%  
3 52% 52% Median
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 96% 96% Median
3 0.6% 0.6%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 91% 100% Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 94% 97% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 92% 92% Median
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Last Result, Median
1 29% 29%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 0–2 0–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 11% 100%  
6 82% 89% Median
7 7% 7%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 94% 97% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations