Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 12–15 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 28.8% 26.8–30.9% 26.3–31.5% 25.8–32.0% 24.9–33.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 13.7% 12.3–15.4% 11.9–15.9% 11.5–16.3% 10.9–17.1%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 11.8% 10.4–13.3% 10.0–13.8% 9.7–14.2% 9.1–15.0%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 11.2% 9.8–12.7% 9.5–13.1% 9.2–13.5% 8.6–14.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 9.2% 8.0–10.6% 7.7–11.0% 7.4–11.4% 6.9–12.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.7–6.8% 3.4–7.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.8–4.1% 1.5–4.5%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.0% 1.5–3.3% 1.4–3.5% 1.2–3.9%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.3–3.3% 1.1–3.7%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.2% 1.0–3.6%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.6% 1.2–2.8% 1.1–3.0% 0.9–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.3% 100%  
6 57% 99.7% Median
7 43% 43%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.5% 100%  
3 92% 99.5% Median
4 8% 8%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 12% 100%  
3 88% 88% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 16% 100%  
3 84% 84% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 84% 99.9% Median
3 16% 16%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 85% 100% Median
2 15% 15%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.3% 100%  
6 57% 99.7% Median
7 43% 43%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations