Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 14–20 January 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 28.5% 26.7–30.3% 26.2–30.9% 25.8–31.3% 25.0–32.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.2–13.5% 9.9–13.8% 9.3–14.5%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 10.7% 9.6–12.1% 9.3–12.5% 9.0–12.8% 8.5–13.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3 3 2–3 2–4
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.7% 100%  
6 79% 99.3% Median
7 21% 21%  
8 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 5% 100%  
3 94% 95% Median
4 1.5% 1.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 12% 100%  
3 88% 88% Median
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 43% 100%  
3 57% 57% Median
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 25% 100%  
2 75% 75% Median
3 0.7% 0.7%  
4 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 95% 96% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 80% 80% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100% Last Result
1 55% 55% Median
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Αντικαπιταλιστική Αριστερή Συνεργασία για την Ανατροπή (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.3% 1.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Δημοκρατίας (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.7% 100%  
6 79% 99.3% Median
7 21% 21%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 80% 80% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations