Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Action 24, 4–6 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 32.6% 30.6–34.8% 30.0–35.4% 29.5–35.9% 28.5–37.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 13.1% 11.7–14.7% 11.3–15.2% 10.9–15.6% 10.3–16.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 9.5% 8.3–11.0% 8.0–11.4% 7.7–11.8% 7.2–12.5%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 9.2% 8.0–10.6% 7.7–11.0% 7.4–11.4% 6.8–12.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 7.8% 6.7–9.2% 6.4–9.5% 6.2–9.9% 5.7–10.5%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.9% 4.0–6.0% 3.8–6.3% 3.6–6.6% 3.2–7.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.8% 3.9–5.9% 3.7–6.2% 3.5–6.5% 3.1–7.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1% 2.0–4.3% 1.7–4.8%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.2% 1.0–3.6%
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.3%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.7% 0.8–3.1%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–1.9% 0.4–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–8
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 1 1–2 0–2
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 58% 98% Median
8 40% 40%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 86% 97% Median
4 11% 11%  
5 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 95% 99.7% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.1% 100%  
2 96% 98.9% Median
3 3% 3%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 6% 100%  
2 94% 94% Median
3 0.6% 0.6%  
4 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 99.7% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 96% 99.2% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 40% 40%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.0% 1.0%  
2 0% 0%  

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 58% 98% Median
8 40% 40%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 99.7% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations