Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 2–7 March 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 31.0% | 28.9–33.3% | 28.3–33.9% | 27.8–34.4% | 26.8–35.5% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 13.4% | 11.9–15.1% | 11.5–15.6% | 11.1–16.0% | 10.4–16.9% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 10.7% | 9.4–12.3% | 9.0–12.7% | 8.7–13.1% | 8.1–13.9% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 9.1% | 7.9–10.6% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.2–11.4% | 6.7–12.1% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 8.8% | 7.6–10.3% | 7.3–10.7% | 7.0–11.1% | 6.4–11.8% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.8–7.1% | 3.4–7.7% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.4–6.1% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.3–4.9% | 2.0–5.4% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.6% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.7–4.1% | 1.5–4.6% |
| Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.8–2.6% | 0.7–3.0% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.3% | 0.5–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 33% | 100% | |
| 7 | 64% | 67% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 91% | Median |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 80% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 20% | 20% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 93% | 95% | Median |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 95% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 5% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 59% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 41% | 41% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 33% | 100% | |
| 7 | 64% | 67% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Alpha TV
- Fieldwork period: 2–7 March 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 748
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.36%