Opinion Poll by Interview for Political, 5–9 March 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 34.1% | 32.9–35.3% | 32.6–35.6% | 32.3–35.9% | 31.8–36.5% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 15.3% | 14.4–16.2% | 14.2–16.5% | 14.0–16.7% | 13.6–17.2% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 7.5% | 6.9–8.2% | 6.7–8.4% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.3–9.0% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 7.2% | 6.6–7.9% | 6.4–8.1% | 6.3–8.2% | 6.0–8.6% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.5% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.8–7.2% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 4.2% | 3.7–4.7% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.5–5.0% | 3.3–5.3% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 3.3–4.2% | 3.1–4.4% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.0–4.2% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% |
| Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.5–3.3% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.2–1.8% | 1.1–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 1.0–1.5% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.7–1.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 56% | 100% | Median |
| 8 | 44% | 44% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 93% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 48% | 100% | |
| 2 | 52% | 52% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.8% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 78% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 22% | 22% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 56% | 100% | Median |
| 8 | 44% | 44% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Interview
- Commissioner(s): Political
- Fieldwork period: 5–9 March 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 2654
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.33%