Opinion Poll by ALCO for Alpha TV, 31 March–4 April 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 29.2% | 27.1–31.4% | 26.6–32.0% | 26.0–32.6% | 25.1–33.6% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 14.7% | 13.1–16.4% | 12.7–16.9% | 12.3–17.4% | 11.6–18.3% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 10.5% | 9.2–12.1% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.5–12.9% | 7.9–13.7% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 8.4% | 7.2–9.8% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.6–10.6% | 6.1–11.3% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 7.7% | 6.6–9.1% | 6.3–9.5% | 6.0–9.9% | 5.5–10.6% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.6% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.4–7.2% | 4.2–7.5% | 3.7–8.1% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.6–5.3% | 2.3–5.9% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.2% | 2.2–5.7% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.2–4.3% | 2.1–4.6% | 1.8–5.1% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.4% | 0.6–2.8% |
| Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.3% | 0.5–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 67% | 98.8% | Median |
| 7 | 31% | 31% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 80% | 99.2% | Median |
| 4 | 20% | 20% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 90% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 10% | 10% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 17% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 83% | Median |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 18% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 94% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 6% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 67% | 98.8% | Median |
| 7 | 31% | 31% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: ALCO
- Commissioner(s): Alpha TV
- Fieldwork period: 31 March–4 April 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 750
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.97%