Opinion Poll by Καρδούλας for Aftodioikisi, 25–29 April 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 23.5% 22.0–25.1% 21.6–25.6% 21.2–26.0% 20.5–26.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 15.0% 13.8–16.4% 13.5–16.8% 13.2–17.1% 12.6–17.8%
Ξεκινάμε (*) 0.0% 14.5% 13.3–15.8% 12.9–16.2% 12.6–16.6% 12.1–17.2%
Κόμμα Αλέξη Τσίπρα (*) 0.0% 11.0% 10.0–12.3% 9.7–12.6% 9.4–12.9% 8.9–13.5%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 7.0% 6.2–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.7–8.6% 5.4–9.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 6.5% 5.7–7.5% 5.4–7.7% 5.2–8.0% 4.9–8.5%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.5–5.8% 3.2–6.2%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.8–5.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.5–3.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.5–3.9%
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.3%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Ξεκινάμε (*) 0 3 3 3 3 3–4
Κόμμα Αλέξη Τσίπρα (*) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 15% 99.9%  
6 85% 85% Median
7 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 82% 100% Median
4 18% 18%  
5 0% 0%  

Ξεκινάμε (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ξεκινάμε (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 98.6% 99.9% Median
4 1.3% 1.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Κόμμα Αλέξη Τσίπρα (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κόμμα Αλέξη Τσίπρα (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 22% 100%  
3 78% 78% Median
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 3% 100%  
2 97% 97% Median
3 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 20% 100%  
2 80% 80% Median
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 30% 30%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 15% 99.9%  
6 85% 85% Median
7 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.8% 100% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations