Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Liberal.gr, 6–8 May 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 31.4% 29.3–33.7% 28.7–34.3% 28.2–34.8% 27.3–35.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 13.9% 12.4–15.7% 12.0–16.2% 11.7–16.6% 11.0–17.5%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 10.1% 8.8–11.7% 8.5–12.1% 8.2–12.5% 7.6–13.3%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 7.5% 6.4–8.9% 6.1–9.3% 5.8–9.6% 5.3–10.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 7.4% 6.3–8.7% 6.0–9.1% 5.7–9.4% 5.2–10.2%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 3.9% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3% 2.8–5.6% 2.5–6.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.9% 2.9–5.2% 2.7–5.4% 2.3–6.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5% 1.5–3.7% 1.3–4.2%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.4–3.2% 1.3–3.4% 1.1–3.8%
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.7% 0.7–3.2%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.3–2.2%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.4–1.7% 0.3–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–8 6–8 6–8
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 23% 100%  
7 70% 77% Median
8 7% 7%  
9 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 82% 97% Median
4 15% 15%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 84% 99.7% Median
3 15% 15%  
4 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 12% 100%  
2 87% 88% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 18% 100%  
2 82% 82% Median
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 93% 93% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–8 6–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 23% 100%  
7 70% 77% Median
8 7% 7%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 94% 94% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations