Opinion Poll by RealPolls for Protagon, 23–25 May 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 31.2% | 29.7–32.8% | 29.2–33.2% | 28.9–33.6% | 28.1–34.4% |
| Κόμμα Αλέξη Τσίπρα (*) | 0.0% | 16.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.7–18.6% |
| Ξεκινάμε (*) | 0.0% | 12.9% | 11.9–14.1% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.3–14.8% | 10.8–15.3% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 9.7% | 8.8–10.8% | 8.5–11.1% | 8.3–11.4% | 7.9–11.9% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 5.8% | 5.1–6.6% | 4.9–6.9% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.4–7.5% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 4.9% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.6–6.5% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 4.4% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.2–6.0% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 4.2% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.0–5.8% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–3.0% |
| Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–3.0% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.0–2.8% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.3% |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–1.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Κόμμα Αλέξη Τσίπρα (*) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Ξεκινάμε (*) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Σπαρτιάτες (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 95% | 97% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Κόμμα Αλέξη Τσίπρα (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κόμμα Αλέξη Τσίπρα (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 13% | 100% | |
| 4 | 87% | 87% | Median |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Ξεκινάμε (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ξεκινάμε (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.2% | 99.4% | Median |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 58% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 42% | 42% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 79% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 21% | 21% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.6% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.5% | 98.8% | Median |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Σπαρτιάτες (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 7 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 95% | 97% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.6% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: RealPolls
- Commissioner(s): Protagon
- Fieldwork period: 23–25 May 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1469
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.03%