Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega, 25 May–2 June 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0.0% | 28.5% | 26.7–30.3% | 26.2–30.8% | 25.8–31.3% | 25.0–32.2% |
| Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) | 0.0% | 15.2% | 13.8–16.7% | 13.4–17.1% | 13.1–17.5% | 12.5–18.2% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0.0% | 11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.0% | 9.5–13.4% | 9.0–14.1% |
| Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) | 0.0% | 10.4% | 9.3–11.7% | 9.0–12.1% | 8.7–12.4% | 8.2–13.1% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0.0% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.0% |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0.0% | 5.9% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.6–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 6 | 78% | 99.3% | Median |
| 7 | 21% | 21% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 40% | 40% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 32% | 100% | |
| 3 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 30% | 30% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 48% | 100% | |
| 2 | 52% | 52% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 81% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 19% | 19% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 82% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 18% | 18% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 43% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 57% | 57% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 34% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 66% | 66% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 89% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 11% | 11% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 6 | 78% | 99.3% | Median |
| 7 | 21% | 21% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 43% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 57% | 57% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Metron Analysis
- Commissioner(s): Mega
- Fieldwork period: 25 May–2 June 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1036
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.84%