Opinion Poll by Marc for Ant1, 23–28 June 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 30.7% 28.9–32.5% 28.4–33.0% 28.0–33.5% 27.2–34.4%
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0.0% 16.4% 15.0–17.9% 14.6–18.3% 14.3–18.7% 13.6–19.4%
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0.0% 10.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.1–12.2% 8.8–12.5% 8.3–13.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 10.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.1–12.2% 8.8–12.5% 8.3–13.2%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 6.7% 5.9–7.8% 5.6–8.1% 5.4–8.4% 5.0–8.9%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 5.3% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.7–4.3%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.8–3.7% 1.6–4.1%
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 11% 100%  
7 88% 89% Median
8 0.8% 0.8%  
9 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 32% 100%  
4 68% 68% Median
5 0% 0%  

Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 60% 100% Median
3 40% 40%  
4 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 41% 100%  
3 59% 59% Median
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 7% 100%  
2 93% 93% Median
3 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 17% 100%  
2 83% 83% Median
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Last Result, Median
1 39% 39%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 11% 100%  
7 88% 89% Median
8 0.8% 0.8%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Last Result, Median
1 39% 39%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations