Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 24 June–3 July 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 29.0% 27.6–30.5% 27.2–30.9% 26.9–31.3% 26.2–32.0%
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0.0% 17.6% 16.4–18.8% 16.1–19.2% 15.8–19.5% 15.2–20.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 11.1% 10.2–12.2% 9.9–12.5% 9.7–12.7% 9.2–13.2%
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0.0% 8.8% 7.9–9.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.5–10.3% 7.1–10.7%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 8.7% 7.8–9.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.4–10.1% 7.0–10.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 7.3% 6.6–8.2% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.1%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.6%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.0% 2.6–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–1.9% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.4%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 66% 100% Median
7 34% 34%  
8 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 93% 94% Median
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 24% 100%  
3 76% 76% Median
4 0% 0%  

Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.6% 100%  
2 98.9% 99.4% Median
3 0.5% 0.5%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.4% 100%  
2 99.4% 99.6% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 20% 100%  
2 80% 80% Median
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.0% 100% Median
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 51% 51% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 66% 100% Median
7 34% 34%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 51% 51% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations