Opinion Poll by GPO for Parapolitika, 14–16 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 30.3% 28.3–32.4% 27.8–33.0% 27.3–33.5% 26.4–34.5%
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0.0% 15.8% 14.3–17.6% 13.9–18.0% 13.5–18.5% 12.8–19.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 13.1% 11.8–14.7% 11.4–15.2% 11.0–15.6% 10.4–16.4%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 8.9% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.7% 7.2–11.0% 6.7–11.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.2–10.4% 7.0–10.8% 6.5–11.5%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.7% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.1% 3.5–6.3% 3.1–6.9%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.0% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3% 2.9–5.5% 2.5–6.1%
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0.0% 3.8% 3.0–4.7% 2.8–5.0% 2.7–5.3% 2.4–5.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.5–3.1% 1.3–3.3% 1.1–3.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.4% 0.9–2.6% 0.7–3.0%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.5%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.2% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 1–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 42% 99.9%  
7 58% 58% Median
8 0.6% 0.6%  
9 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 39% 100%  
4 61% 61% Median
5 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 14% 100%  
3 83% 86% Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.3% 100%  
2 98% 98.7% Median
3 0.8% 0.8%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.3% 100%  
2 98% 98.7% Median
3 0.5% 0.5%  
4 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 98.8% 99.7% Median
2 0.9% 0.9%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 97% 98% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 90% 90% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 42% 99.9%  
7 58% 58% Median
8 0.6% 0.6%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 97% 98% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations