Opinion Poll by MRB for Open TV, 15–16 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 29.0% 27.1–31.1% 26.5–31.7% 26.0–32.2% 25.1–33.3%
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0.0% 17.4% 15.8–19.2% 15.4–19.8% 15.0–20.2% 14.3–21.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 12.4% 11.1–14.0% 10.7–14.5% 10.3–14.9% 9.7–15.7%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 9.4% 8.2–10.8% 7.9–11.2% 7.6–11.6% 7.0–12.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 6.7% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.3% 5.2–8.6% 4.7–9.3%
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.9–7.0% 3.5–7.6%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 3.9% 3.2–4.9% 2.9–5.2% 2.8–5.5% 2.5–6.0%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 3.8% 3.0–4.8% 2.9–5.1% 2.7–5.3% 2.4–5.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.5–3.6% 1.3–4.0%
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0.0% 1.6% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.7% 0.8–3.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.7–2.2% 0.5–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 2% 100%  
6 75% 98% Median
7 23% 23%  
8 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 19% 100%  
4 80% 81% Median
5 1.1% 1.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 31% 100%  
3 69% 69% Median
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.4% 100%  
2 94% 99.6% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 38% 100%  
2 62% 62% Median
3 0% 0%  

Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 96% 100% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 93% 93% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 90% 90% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 15% 15%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.1% 1.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 2% 100%  
6 75% 98% Median
7 23% 23%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 90% 90% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations