Opinion Poll by Palmos Analysis for TheOpinion.gr, 14–18 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 32.8% 30.8–34.9% 30.2–35.5% 29.8–36.1% 28.8–37.1%
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0.0% 15.5% 14.0–17.2% 13.5–17.6% 13.2–18.1% 12.5–18.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 12.2% 10.9–13.7% 10.5–14.2% 10.2–14.6% 9.6–15.3%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 6.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.5–8.4% 5.3–8.7% 4.8–9.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 6.6% 5.6–7.8% 5.3–8.1% 5.1–8.4% 4.6–9.1%
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0.0% 5.2% 4.3–6.3% 4.1–6.6% 3.9–6.9% 3.5–7.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.8% 4.0–5.9% 3.7–6.2% 3.6–6.5% 3.2–7.0%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.1% 3.1–5.4% 3.0–5.7% 2.6–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.8–3.7% 1.7–3.9% 1.5–4.3%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.3–3.3% 1.1–3.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.5% 0.7–2.8%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.7%
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1–2 0–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 6% 100%  
7 66% 94% Median
8 28% 28%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 58% 100% Median
4 42% 42%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 17% 100%  
3 82% 83% Median
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 35% 100%  
2 65% 65% Median
3 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 45% 100%  
2 55% 55% Median
3 0% 0%  

Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 96% 99.8% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100% Last Result
1 96% 98.9% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 94% 95% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 14%  
2 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–2

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 6% 100%  
7 66% 94% Median
8 28% 28%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 94% 95% Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations