Opinion Poll by Real Polls for Protagon, 18–21 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 28.5% 26.9–30.2% 26.5–30.6% 26.1–31.0% 25.4–31.8%
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0.0% 18.0% 16.7–19.4% 16.3–19.8% 16.0–20.1% 15.4–20.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 11.2% 10.1–12.4% 9.8–12.7% 9.6–13.0% 9.1–13.6%
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0.0% 7.1% 6.3–8.1% 6.0–8.4% 5.8–8.6% 5.5–9.1%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.9% 4.6–7.1% 4.3–7.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.9% 4.6–7.1% 4.3–7.6%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.7%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 4.4% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.7% 3.2–6.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.5% 2.2–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 1.8–4.2%
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8%
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8%
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0 4 4 4 4 4–5
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Σπαρτιάτες (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.2% 100%  
6 75% 99.8% Median
7 25% 25%  
8 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.4% 100%  
4 98.8% 99.6% Median
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 14% 100%  
3 86% 86% Median
4 0% 0%  

Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 22% 100%  
2 78% 78% Median
3 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 94% 100% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98.6% 100% Median
2 1.4% 1.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Σπαρτιάτες (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σπαρτιάτες (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Αριστερά (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.2% 100%  
6 75% 99.8% Median
7 25% 25%  
8 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations