Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Action 24, 7–12 October 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 30.2% 28.3–32.3% 27.7–32.9% 27.2–33.4% 26.3–34.4%
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0.0% 15.8% 14.3–17.5% 13.9–18.0% 13.5–18.4% 12.8–19.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 12.3% 10.9–13.8% 10.5–14.3% 10.2–14.7% 9.6–15.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 7.2% 6.2–8.5% 5.9–8.8% 5.6–9.1% 5.2–9.8%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 6.8% 5.9–8.1% 5.6–8.4% 5.3–8.8% 4.9–9.4%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 5.1% 4.2–6.2% 4.0–6.5% 3.8–6.8% 3.4–7.3%
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0.0% 4.5% 3.7–5.5% 3.5–5.8% 3.3–6.1% 2.9–6.6%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 3.4% 2.7–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.4–4.9% 2.1–5.4%
Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*) 0.0% 3.4% 2.7–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.4–4.9% 2.1–5.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.6% 2.0–3.8% 1.8–4.1% 1.6–4.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.9% 0.9–3.3%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.6–2.0% 0.4–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 24% 99.9%  
7 75% 76% Median
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 41% 100%  
4 59% 59% Median
5 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 12% 100%  
3 88% 88% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 21% 100%  
2 79% 79% Median
3 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 68% 100% Median
2 32% 32%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 98% 99.9% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.4% 99.6% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 80% 80% Median
2 0% 0%  

Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100% Last Result
1 52% 52% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 26%  
2 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 24% 99.9%  
7 75% 76% Median
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 80% 80% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations