Opinion Poll by Alco for flash.gr, 8–13 October 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 28.2% 26.3–30.3% 25.8–30.9% 25.3–31.4% 24.4–32.4%
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0.0% 16.4% 14.8–18.1% 14.4–18.6% 14.0–19.0% 13.3–19.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 13.3% 11.9–14.9% 11.5–15.3% 11.2–15.8% 10.5–16.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 8.4% 7.3–9.8% 7.0–10.2% 6.7–10.5% 6.2–11.2%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 6.6% 5.7–7.9% 5.4–8.2% 5.2–8.5% 4.7–9.2%
Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*) 0.0% 4.7% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.1% 3.5–6.4% 3.1–7.0%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 4.2% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.5% 3.0–5.7% 2.7–6.2%
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.8% 2.5–5.0% 2.2–5.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.2% 1.7–4.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.3% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.5% 1.2–3.9%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.5–3.2% 1.4–3.4% 1.1–3.8%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.9% 0.9–3.3%
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.7% 0.3–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 6–7 6–7 5–7 5–7
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1 0–2
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 3% 100%  
6 85% 97% Median
7 12% 12%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 18% 100%  
4 82% 82% Median
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 15% 100%  
3 80% 85% Median
4 6% 6%  
5 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 95% 96% Median
3 1.1% 1.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 28% 100%  
2 72% 72% Median
3 0% 0%  

Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 96% 99.9% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 96% 98% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 89% 91% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Last Result, Median
1 32% 32%  
2 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκράτες–Προοδευτικό Κέντρο (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 6 0% 6–7 6–7 5–7 5–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 3% 100%  
6 85% 97% Median
7 12% 12%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations