Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 12–14 October 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0.0% 30.4% 28.8–32.2% 28.3–32.7% 27.9–33.1% 27.1–33.9%
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0.0% 15.8% 14.5–17.2% 14.2–17.6% 13.8–18.0% 13.3–18.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0.0% 12.4% 11.3–13.7% 10.9–14.1% 10.7–14.4% 10.1–15.0%
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0.0% 7.0% 6.2–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0.0% 7.0% 6.2–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0.0% 5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.3–6.9% 4.0–7.4%
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.8% 3.1–6.2%
Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*) 0.0% 4.2% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.5% 2.9–5.9%
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0.0% 3.6% 3.0–4.4% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–4.9% 2.5–5.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 1.9–3.4% 1.8–3.6% 1.6–4.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.4% 1.3–2.6% 1.2–2.7% 1.0–3.1%
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–3.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 29% 100%  
7 71% 71% Median
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Αριστερή Συμπαράταξη (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 59% 100% Median
4 41% 41%  
5 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 10% 100%  
3 89% 90% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 41% 100%  
2 59% 59% Median
3 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 37% 100%  
2 63% 63% Median
3 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 97% 100% Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελπίδα για την Δημοκρατία (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 99.6% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συμμαχία Ελλήνων (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100% Last Result
1 99.5% 99.5% Median
2 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 84% 84% Median
2 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 20%  
2 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Πατριωτικό Κίνημα ΝΙΚΗ (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.8% 0.8%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP) 0 7 0% 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Φωνή Λογικής (PfE) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Νέα Δημοκρατία (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 29% 100%  
7 71% 71% Median
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Φωνή Λογικής (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100% Last Result
1 84% 84% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations