Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1.1% | 0.2–3.4% | 0.2–3.7% | 0.1–3.9% | 0.1–4.4% |
| 1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Medián | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 November 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | 1.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | 3.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| 1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| 28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| 16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
| 3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| 28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.9% |
| 21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.9% |
| 15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| 4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 31% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 32% | 69% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 8% | 36% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 22% | 28% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Társadalomkutató | |||||
| 9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | |||||
| 29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | |||||
| 20–26 November 2024 | Medián | |||||
| 19–22 November 2024 | Társadalomkutató | |||||
| 14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | |||||
| 14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | |||||
| 11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | |||||
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | |||||
| 24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | |||||
| 9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |