Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 30 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Fidesz | KDNP | Jobbik | MSZP | DK | Párbeszéd | Együtt | LMP | MLP | MKKP | MM | MSZP–Párbeszéd | Hazánk | UO | MMM | NP | 2RK | SzocDem | TISZA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May 2019 | General Election | 51.5% 11 |
51.5% 11 |
14.7% 3 |
10.9% 2 |
9.8% 2 |
7.2% 1 |
7.2% 0 |
5.0% 1 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
18.2% 3 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 27–45% 7–11 |
4–8% 1–2 |
1–2% 0 |
1–5% 0–1 |
6–20% 2–5 |
1–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
0–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
2–8% 0–2 |
1–8% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
2–9% 0–2 |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
0–3% 0 |
1–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
13–28% 3–6 |
| 25 April–4 May 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 32–37% 8–9 |
5–7% 1 |
1–2% 0 |
2–4% 0–1 |
10–14% 3–4 |
2–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
4–6% 1 |
3–5% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
19–23% 4–6 |
| 29 April–2 May 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 38–44% 9–11 |
5–8% 1–2 |
1–2% 0 |
1–3% 0–1 |
7–10% 2–3 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
6–9% 1–2 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 1 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
2–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
18–24% 4–5 |
| 26–30 April 2024 | Publicus Research | 33–39% 8–10 |
5–8% 1 |
1–2% 0 |
3–6% 0–1 |
15–19% 4–5 |
2–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
2–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
20–26% 4–6 |
| 26–29 April 2024 | Medián | 36–42% 9–10 |
5–8% 1–2 |
1–2% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
5–8% 1–2 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
5–8% 1 |
3–5% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
22–28% 5–6 |
| 17–19 April 2024 | Iránytű Intézet | 40–46% 10–12 |
6–9% 1–2 |
1–2% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
6–9% 2–3 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0–1 |
2–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
23–29% 6–7 |
| 4–11 April 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 26–31% 6–8 |
3–6% 0–1 |
1–2% 0 |
3–6% 0–1 |
16–21% 4–6 |
2–5% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 1 |
6–9% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
6–10% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
12–16% 3–4 |
| 26 May 2019 | General Election | 51.5% 11 |
51.5% 11 |
14.7% 3 |
10.9% 2 |
9.8% 2 |
7.2% 1 |
7.2% 0 |
5.0% 1 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
18.2% 3 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- Fidesz: Fidesz (NI)
- KDNP: Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (EPP)
- Jobbik: Jobbik (NI)
- MSZP: Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D)
- DK: Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D)
- Párbeszéd: Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA)
- Együtt: Együtt (Greens/EFA)
- LMP: Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA)
- MLP: MLP (RE)
- MKKP: Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)
- MM: Momentum Mozgalom (RE)
- MSZP–Párbeszéd: Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D)
- Hazánk: Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (NI)
- UO: United Opposition (S&D)
- MMM: Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP)
- NP: Nép Pártján (*)
- 2RK: Második Reformkor (*)
- SzocDem: Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D)
- TISZA: Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz (NI) | 51.5% | 37.4% | 28.8–43.0% | 27.7–43.9% | 27.0–44.6% | 25.8–45.9% |
| Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (EPP) | 51.5% | 6.1% | 4.7–7.5% | 4.3–7.8% | 4.0–8.2% | 3.5–8.8% |
| Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D) | 18.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Jobbik (NI) | 14.7% | 1.1% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) | 10.9% | 2.6% | 1.4–4.7% | 1.3–5.0% | 1.1–5.3% | 0.9–5.9% |
| Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.3–18.3% | 5.8–19.0% | 5.5–19.6% | 5.0–20.6% |
| Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) | 7.2% | 2.0% | 1.1–3.6% | 1.0–4.0% | 0.9–4.2% | 0.7–4.7% |
| Együtt (Greens/EFA) | 7.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.3–3.1% | 0.2–3.4% | 0.2–3.7% | 0.1–4.2% |
| MLP (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 2.2–7.1% | 1.8–7.6% | 1.6–8.0% | 1.3–8.7% |
| Momentum Mozgalom (RE) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 1.2–6.9% | 0.9–7.5% | 0.8–7.9% | 0.6–8.7% |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (NI) | 0.0% | 4.3% | 3.1–7.8% | 2.8–8.5% | 2.5–9.0% | 2.2–9.8% |
| United Opposition (S&D) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% | 0.6–2.8% | 0.5–3.2% |
| Nép Pártján (*) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.2–2.2% | 0.1–2.4% | 0.1–2.6% | 0.1–2.9% |
| Második Reformkor (*) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.5–3.7% | 1.4–3.9% | 1.2–4.4% |
| Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0.0% | 22.2% | 14.3–26.3% | 13.5–27.0% | 12.9–27.6% | 12.1–28.7% |
Fidesz (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 3% | 98% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 4% | 96% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 4% | 91% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 2% | 87% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 1.1% | 85% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 1.3% | 83% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 4% | 82% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 7% | 78% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 8% | 71% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 7% | 63% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 37.5–38.5% | 6% | 49% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 7% | 43% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 7% | 36% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 8% | 29% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 8% | 21% | |
| 42.5–43.5% | 6% | 14% | |
| 43.5–44.5% | 4% | 7% | |
| 44.5–45.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 45.5–46.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 46.5–47.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47.5–48.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 48.5–49.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 49.5–50.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 50.5–51.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 8% | 99.4% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 22% | 92% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 36% | 69% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 25% | 34% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 8% | 9% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 42.5–43.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 43.5–44.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 44.5–45.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 45.5–46.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 46.5–47.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 47.5–48.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 48.5–49.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 49.5–50.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 50.5–51.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jobbik (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 89% | 98% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 8% | 8% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 15% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 34% | 85% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 19% | 50% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 19% | 31% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 11% | 12% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 12% | 97% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 16% | 86% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 12% | 70% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 6% | 58% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 2% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 5% | 49% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 7% | 44% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 3% | 37% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.8% | 34% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 33% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 6% | 31% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 9% | 25% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 9% | 17% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% |
Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 31% | 99.9% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 34% | 69% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 24% | 35% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 11% | 11% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 20% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 55% | 80% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 9% | 26% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 13% | 17% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 3% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 20% | 97% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 37% | 77% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 18% | 40% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 5% | 21% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 4% | 17% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 7% | 12% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 6% | 95% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 4% | 89% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 3% | 83% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 9% | 80% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 13% | 71% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 22.5–23.5% | 9% | 46% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 10% | 37% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 10% | 27% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 9% | 17% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% |
Nép Pártján (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nép Pártján (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 31% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 35% | 69% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 31% | 34% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Második Reformkor (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Második Reformkor (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 6% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 44% | 94% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 42% | 50% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 8% | 8% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 65% | 98.8% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 29% | 34% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 12% | 98% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 6% | 86% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 17% | 80% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 27% | 63% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 19% | 36% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 12% | 17% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Momentum Mozgalom (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Momentum Mozgalom (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 15% | 99.6% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 7% | 85% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 28% | 78% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 27% | 50% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 7% | 23% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 17% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 8% | 12% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz (NI) | 11 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 |
| Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (EPP) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D) | 3 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Jobbik (NI) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) | 2 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) | 2 | 3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–6 |
| Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Együtt (Greens/EFA) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| MLP (RE) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Momentum Mozgalom (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| United Opposition (S&D) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nép Pártján (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Második Reformkor (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D) | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
Fidesz (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 12% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 9% | 86% | |
| 9 | 30% | 77% | Median |
| 10 | 27% | 47% | |
| 11 | 18% | 20% | Last Result, Majority |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 90% | 98.5% | Median |
| 2 | 8% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D) page.
Jobbik (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 35% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 40% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 3 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 4 | 22% | 45% | |
| 5 | 23% | 23% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 13% | 13% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Együtt (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Együtt (Greens/EFA) page.
Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.2% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
MLP (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MLP (RE) page.
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 74% | 78% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Momentum Mozgalom (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Momentum Mozgalom (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 53% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 46% | 47% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 52% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 36% | 48% | |
| 2 | 12% | 12% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
United Opposition (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the United Opposition (S&D) page.
Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Nép Pártján (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nép Pártján (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Második Reformkor (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Második Reformkor (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.5% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D) page.
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 15% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 6% | 84% | |
| 5 | 47% | 78% | Median |
| 6 | 30% | 31% | |
| 7 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz (NI) – Jobbik (NI) – Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (NI) | 14 | 10 | 32% | 9–11 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (EPP) – Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) – Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 11 | 6 | 0% | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 3–8 |
| Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D) – Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) – Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) – Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D) – United Opposition (S&D) | 7 | 3 | 0% | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–7 |
| Együtt (Greens/EFA) – Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) – Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) – Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| MLP (RE) – Momentum Mozgalom (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
Fidesz (NI) – Jobbik (NI) – Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 40% | 96% | Median |
| 10 | 23% | 56% | |
| 11 | 25% | 32% | Majority |
| 12 | 7% | 7% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (EPP) – Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) – Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 15% | 98.9% | |
| 5 | 3% | 84% | |
| 6 | 47% | 81% | Median |
| 7 | 29% | 34% | |
| 8 | 5% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D) – Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) – Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) – Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D) – United Opposition (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 39% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 4 | 14% | 48% | |
| 5 | 13% | 34% | |
| 6 | 20% | 21% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Együtt (Greens/EFA) – Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) – Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) – Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | |
| 1 | 71% | 83% | Median |
| 2 | 11% | 11% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
MLP (RE) – Momentum Mozgalom (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 53% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 46% | 47% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 6
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 12,582,912
- Error estimate: 2.65%