Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Párbeszéd Együtt LMP MKKP MSZP DK MSZP–Párbeszéd UO SzocDem MLP MM MMM TISZA Fidesz–KDNP Hazánk Jobbik NP 2RK
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average 1–2%
0
N/A
N/A
1–2%
0
2–7%
0–1
1–3%
0
3–10%
0–2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1–2%
0
N/A
N/A
33–47%
8–12
34–47%
8–11
4–10%
0–2
1–2%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10–12 March 2025 Nézőpont Intézet N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2–4%
0
N/A
N/A
3–5%
0–1
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1–2%
0
N/A
N/A
32–38%
8–9
42–48%
10–12
7–11%
1–2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5–11 March 2025 Publicus Research N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1–3%
0
1–3%
0
7–11%
1–2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
38–44%
9–10
36–42%
8–10
4–7%
0–1
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
27 February–8 March 2025 Medián
HVG
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3–5%
0–1
N/A
N/A
3–5%
0–1
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
42–49%
10–12
34–40%
8–10
5–8%
0–1
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1 December 2024–28 February 2025 Iránytű Intézet N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4%
0
N/A
N/A
4%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
42–45%
10–11
37–40%
9–10
5–7%
1
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22–26 February 2025 Republikon Intézet 1–2%
0
N/A
N/A
1–2%
0
5–8%
0–1
1–2%
0
5–9%
1–2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1–2%
0
N/A
N/A
35–41%
8–10
33–39%
8–9
6–10%
1–2
1–2%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Együtt (Greens/EFA) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.8% 2.0–6.0% 1.8–6.5% 1.6–6.9% 1.3–7.5%
Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) 0.0% 1.5% 0.8–2.5% 0.7–2.7% 0.6–2.9% 0.5–3.3%
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) 0.0% 4.5% 3.6–9.1% 3.4–9.7% 3.2–10.1% 2.8–10.9%
Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
United Opposition (S&D) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
MLP (RE) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Momentum Mozgalom (RE) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0.0% 41.1% 34.9–45.5% 34.0–46.6% 33.3–47.3% 32.1–48.6%
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0.0% 38.4% 35.0–45.0% 34.3–46.1% 33.7–46.8% 32.6–48.1%
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0.0% 6.3% 4.9–9.2% 4.6–9.7% 4.3–10.2% 3.8–11.0%
Jobbik (NI) 0.0% 1.1% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Nép Pártján (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Második Reformkor (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0.2% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 5% 99.8%  
4.5–5.5% 17% 95%  
5.5–6.5% 33% 78% Median
6.5–7.5% 11% 44%  
7.5–8.5% 14% 33%  
8.5–9.5% 13% 19%  
9.5–10.5% 5% 7%  
10.5–11.5% 1.1% 1.2%  
11.5–12.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  

Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 2% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 18% 98%  
2.5–3.5% 21% 80%  
3.5–4.5% 35% 59% Median
4.5–5.5% 10% 24%  
5.5–6.5% 10% 15%  
6.5–7.5% 4% 4%  
7.5–8.5% 0.5% 0.5%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  

Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 100%  
28.5–29.5% 0% 100%  
29.5–30.5% 0% 100%  
30.5–31.5% 0.2% 100%  
31.5–32.5% 0.8% 99.8%  
32.5–33.5% 2% 99.0%  
33.5–34.5% 5% 97%  
34.5–35.5% 6% 92%  
35.5–36.5% 7% 86%  
36.5–37.5% 7% 78%  
37.5–38.5% 6% 71%  
38.5–39.5% 6% 65%  
39.5–40.5% 6% 59%  
40.5–41.5% 6% 53% Median
41.5–42.5% 6% 47%  
42.5–43.5% 13% 42%  
43.5–44.5% 13% 29%  
44.5–45.5% 6% 16%  
45.5–46.5% 5% 10%  
46.5–47.5% 3% 5%  
47.5–48.5% 1.4% 2%  
48.5–49.5% 0.4% 0.5%  
49.5–50.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
50.5–51.5% 0% 0%  

Momentum Mozgalom (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Momentum Mozgalom (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 2% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 88% 98% Median
1.5–2.5% 9% 9%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0.1% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 9% 99.9%  
3.5–4.5% 42% 91%  
4.5–5.5% 9% 49% Median
5.5–6.5% 6% 40%  
6.5–7.5% 10% 34%  
7.5–8.5% 9% 24%  
8.5–9.5% 9% 15%  
9.5–10.5% 5% 6%  
10.5–11.5% 1.1% 1.2%  
11.5–12.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 100%  
28.5–29.5% 0% 100%  
29.5–30.5% 0% 100%  
30.5–31.5% 0.1% 100%  
31.5–32.5% 0.4% 99.9%  
32.5–33.5% 2% 99.5%  
33.5–34.5% 4% 98%  
34.5–35.5% 8% 93%  
35.5–36.5% 11% 85%  
36.5–37.5% 11% 75%  
37.5–38.5% 17% 63% Median
38.5–39.5% 17% 46%  
39.5–40.5% 6% 29%  
40.5–41.5% 3% 23%  
41.5–42.5% 2% 21%  
42.5–43.5% 3% 19%  
43.5–44.5% 4% 17%  
44.5–45.5% 5% 12%  
45.5–46.5% 4% 7%  
46.5–47.5% 2% 3%  
47.5–48.5% 0.8% 1.1%  
48.5–49.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
49.5–50.5% 0% 0%  

Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 1.2% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 50% 98.8%  
1.5–2.5% 41% 49% Median
2.5–3.5% 8% 8%  
3.5–4.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 2% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 88% 98% Median
1.5–2.5% 9% 9%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 2% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 88% 98% Median
1.5–2.5% 9% 9%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Jobbik (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik (NI) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 2% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 88% 98% Median
1.5–2.5% 9% 9%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Együtt (Greens/EFA) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
United Opposition (S&D) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
MLP (RE) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Momentum Mozgalom (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0 10 8–11 8–11 8–12 8–12
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 9 8–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Jobbik (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nép Pártján (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Második Reformkor (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Együtt (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Együtt (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 19%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 24% 43%  
2 19% 19%  
3 0% 0%  

Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

United Opposition (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the United Opposition (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

MLP (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MLP (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Momentum Mozgalom (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Momentum Mozgalom (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.5% 100%  
8 17% 99.5%  
9 28% 82%  
10 19% 54% Median
11 32% 35% Majority
12 4% 4%  
13 0% 0%  

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 16% 99.8%  
9 55% 84% Median
10 13% 28%  
11 14% 15% Majority
12 0.7% 0.7%  
13 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 60% 89% Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Jobbik (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Nép Pártján (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nép Pártján (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Második Reformkor (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Második Reformkor (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) – Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0 10 35% 8–11 8–11 8–12 8–12
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 9 15% 8–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) – Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) – Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D) – Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D) – United Opposition (S&D) 0 0 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 1 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Együtt (Greens/EFA) – Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) – Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) – Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Jobbik (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
MLP (RE) – Momentum Mozgalom (RE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Mindenki Magyarországa Mozgalom (EPP) – Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.5% 100%  
8 17% 99.5%  
9 28% 82%  
10 19% 54% Median
11 32% 35% Majority
12 4% 4%  
13 0% 0%  

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 16% 99.8%  
9 55% 84% Median
10 13% 28%  
11 14% 15% Majority
12 0.7% 0.7%  
13 0% 0%  

Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) – Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) – Magyar Szocialista Párt–Párbeszéd (S&D) – Szocialisták és demokraták (S&D) – United Opposition (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 24% 43%  
2 19% 19%  
3 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100% Last Result
1 60% 89% Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Együtt (Greens/EFA) – Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) – Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) – Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 19%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Jobbik (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

MLP (RE) – Momentum Mozgalom (RE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information