Momentum Mozgalom (RE)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 1.4% 0.8–4.1% 0.7–4.5% 0.6–4.8% 0.5–5.4%
1–31 December 2024 Századvég 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
16–18 December 2024 Társadalomkutató 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
9–11 December 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
29 November–6 December 2024 IDEA Intézet 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%
28 November–5 December 2024 Republikon Intézet 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
20–30 November 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
25–27 November 2024 Real-PR 93 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–26 November 2024 Medián 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 November 2024 Társadalomkutató 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–19 November 2024 Századvég 2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–19 November 2024 Publicus Research 2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–13 November 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
31 October–8 November 2024 IDEA Intézet 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%
28 October–4 November 2024 Medián 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
1–31 October 2024 Századvég 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
28–30 October 2024 Real-PR 93 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
24–29 October 2024 Republikon Intézet 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
11–18 October 2024 Publicus Research 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
14–17 October 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
9–15 October 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
28 September–8 October 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
27 September–7 October 2024 IDEA Intézet 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.1%
16–18 September 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
9–11 September 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–10 September 2024 Medián 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
28 August–6 September 2024 IDEA Intézet 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.1%
21–31 August 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
24–31 July 2024 IDEA Intézet 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.1%
15–17 July 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 July 2024 Medián 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
3–8 July 2024 Republikon Intézet 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
19–27 June 2024 IDEA Intézet 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Momentum Mozgalom (RE).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 1.2% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 54% 98.8% Median
1.5–2.5% 8% 45%  
2.5–3.5% 17% 37%  
3.5–4.5% 15% 20%  
4.5–5.5% 4% 5%  
5.5–6.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0 0 0 0–1
1–31 December 2024 Századvég 0 0 0 0 0
16–18 December 2024 Társadalomkutató 0 0 0 0 0
9–11 December 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
29 November–6 December 2024 IDEA Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
28 November–5 December 2024 Republikon Intézet 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
20–30 November 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 0 0 0 0 0
25–27 November 2024 Real-PR 93          
20–26 November 2024 Medián          
19–22 November 2024 Társadalomkutató          
14–19 November 2024 Századvég          
14–19 November 2024 Publicus Research          
11–13 November 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
31 October–8 November 2024 IDEA Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
28 October–4 November 2024 Medián 0 0 0 0 0
1–31 October 2024 Századvég 0 0 0 0 0
28–30 October 2024 Real-PR 93 0 0 0 0 0
24–29 October 2024 Republikon Intézet 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
11–18 October 2024 Publicus Research 0 0 0 0 0
14–17 October 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
9–15 October 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 0 0 0 0 0
28 September–8 October 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 0 0 0 0 0
27 September–7 October 2024 IDEA Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
16–18 September 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
9–11 September 2024 Nézőpont Intézet          
3–10 September 2024 Medián 0 0 0 0 0
28 August–6 September 2024 IDEA Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
21–31 August 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 0 0 0 0 0
24–31 July 2024 IDEA Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
15–17 July 2024 Nézőpont Intézet          
4–10 July 2024 Medián 0 0 0 0 0
3–8 July 2024 Republikon Intézet 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
19–27 June 2024 IDEA Intézet 0 0 0 0 0

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Momentum Mozgalom (RE).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.0% 1.0%  
2 0% 0%