Momentum Mozgalom (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1.4% | 0.8–4.1% | 0.7–4.5% | 0.6–4.8% | 0.5–5.4% |
1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
16–18 December 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.9% |
28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 1.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–26 November 2024 | Medián | 1.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–22 November 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 1.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.9% |
28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% |
16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 3.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% |
21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% |
15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Momentum Mozgalom (RE).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 54% | 98.8% | Median |
1.5–2.5% | 8% | 45% | |
2.5–3.5% | 17% | 37% | |
3.5–4.5% | 15% | 20% | |
4.5–5.5% | 4% | 5% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16–18 December 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | |||||
20–26 November 2024 | Medián | |||||
19–22 November 2024 | Társadalomkutató | |||||
14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | |||||
14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | |||||
11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | |||||
3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | |||||
4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Momentum Mozgalom (RE).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 99.0% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
1 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
2 | 0% | 0% |