Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 10–15 July 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) | 0.0% | 19.2% | 17.8–20.7% | 17.4–21.1% | 17.0–21.5% | 16.4–22.2% |
| Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) | 0.0% | 17.1% | 15.8–18.6% | 15.4–19.0% | 15.1–19.3% | 14.4–20.0% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0.0% | 14.8% | 13.5–16.2% | 13.2–16.6% | 12.9–16.9% | 12.3–17.6% |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 14.3% | 13.0–15.6% | 12.7–16.0% | 12.4–16.4% | 11.8–17.0% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.7% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.5–10.2% | 7.2–10.4% | 6.8–11.0% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) | 0.0% | 7.2% | 6.3–8.3% | 6.1–8.6% | 5.9–8.8% | 5.5–9.4% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 0.0% | 4.2% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.5% | 2.9–6.0% |
| Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.4–5.2% |
| Latvijas attīstībai (RE) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.5–3.9% |
| Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.1–3.2% |
| Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.1–3.2% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.1% |
| Gobzema saraksts (*) | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.2–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvijas attīstībai (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gobzema saraksts (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.9% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.9% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Mēs mainām noteikumus (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Stabilitātei! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Saskaņas Centrs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Austošā Saule Latvijai (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Gobzema saraksts (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gobzema saraksts (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 10–15 July 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1205
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.09%