Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 30 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | JV | NA | SDPS | ZZS | LKS | LRA | AP! | NSL | VL | JKP | KPV | P | JS | LuK | LPV | R | S! | NST | SV | KP | LA | CP | AJ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May 2019 | General Election | 46.2% 4 |
14.2% 1 |
13.0% 1 |
8.3% 1 |
6.4% 1 |
2.5% 0 |
2.1% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 15–19% 1–2 |
15–19% 1–2 |
9–12% 1 |
3–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
5–7% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
8–11% 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
7–10% 1 |
N/A N/A |
5–8% 1 |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
8–10% 1 |
2–3% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
| 1–31 March 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
15–19% 1–2 |
15–19% 1–2 |
9–12% 1 |
3–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
5–7% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
8–11% 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
7–10% 1 |
N/A N/A |
5–8% 1 |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
8–10% 1 |
2–3% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
| 25 May 2019 | General Election | 46.2% 4 |
14.2% 1 |
13.0% 1 |
8.3% 1 |
6.4% 1 |
2.5% 0 |
2.1% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- JV: Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
- NA: Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
- SDPS: Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
- ZZS: Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
- LKS: Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)
- LRA: Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
- AP!: Attīstībai/Par! (RE)
- NSL: No sirds Latvijai (*)
- VL: Vienoti Latvijai (*)
- JKP: Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
- KPV: Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP)
- P: PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
- JS: Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL)
- LuK: Likums un kārtība (*)
- LPV: Latvija pirmajā vietā (NI)
- R: Republika (*)
- S!: Stabilitātei! (NI)
- NST: Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*)
- SV: Suverēnā vara (*)
- KP: Kustība Par! (RE)
- LA: Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
- CP: Centra partija (NI)
- AJ: Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) | 46.2% | 16.6% | 15.4–17.9% | 15.1–18.3% | 14.8–18.6% | 14.3–19.2% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 14.2% | 17.1% | 15.9–18.4% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.3–19.1% | 14.7–19.7% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.2–11.2% | 8.9–11.5% | 8.7–11.7% | 8.3–12.2% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 8.3% | 3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.8% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) | 6.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) | 2.5% | 6.1% | 5.4–7.0% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.7–7.9% |
| Attīstībai/Par! (RE) | 2.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| No sirds Latvijai (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Vienoti Latvijai (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.2% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.9% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 9.6% | 8.7–10.6% | 8.4–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 7.8–11.7% |
| Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Likums un kārtība (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (NI) | 0.0% | 8.2% | 7.3–9.1% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.9–9.7% | 6.5–10.1% |
| Republika (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0.0% | 6.4% | 5.6–7.3% | 5.4–7.5% | 5.3–7.7% | 4.9–8.2% |
| Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Suverēnā vara (*) | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.2–4.5% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.7–5.2% |
| Kustība Par! (RE) | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% |
| Latvijas attīstībai (RE) | 0.0% | 8.9% | 8.0–9.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.6–10.4% | 7.2–11.0% |
| Centra partija (NI) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.3–3.3% |
| Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 34% | 88% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 36% | 54% | Median |
| 17.5–18.5% | 15% | 18% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 42.5–43.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 43.5–44.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 44.5–45.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 45.5–46.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14.5–15.5% | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 23% | 95% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 39% | 72% | Median |
| 17.5–18.5% | 25% | 33% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 21% | 98% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 48% | 78% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 26% | 30% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 58% | 98% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 38% | 40% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 15% | 99.8% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 58% | 84% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 24% | 26% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Stabilitātei! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 51% | 93% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 37% | 41% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 48% | 99.1% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 48% | 51% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 16% | 99.4% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 52% | 83% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 28% | 32% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Centra partija (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centra partija (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 3% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 80% | 97% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 17% | 17% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Suverēnā vara (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 28% | 99.8% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 64% | 72% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 8% | 8% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kustība Par! (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 48% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 52% | 52% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 11% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 83% | 89% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 27% | 98% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 50% | 70% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 19% | 21% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 40% | 92% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 41% | 52% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 11% | 11% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 49% | 49% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! (RE) page.
No sirds Latvijai (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the No sirds Latvijai (*) page.
Vienoti Latvijai (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienoti Latvijai (*) page.
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP) page.
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL) page.
Likums un kārtība (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Likums un kārtība (*) page.
Latvija pirmajā vietā (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Republika (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika (*) page.
Stabilitātei! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*) page.
Suverēnā vara (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Kustība Par! (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Centra partija (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centra partija (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) – Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) – Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP) | 4 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) – Centra partija (NI) – Latvija pirmajā vietā (NI) – Stabilitātei! (NI) | 1 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) – Attīstībai/Par! (RE) – Kustība Par! (RE) – Latvijas attīstībai (RE) | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Apvienība Jaunlatvieši () – Likums un kārtība () – Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums () – No sirds Latvijai () – Republika () – Suverēnā vara () – Vienoti Latvijai (*) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) – Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) – Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 47% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) – Centra partija (NI) – Latvija pirmajā vietā (NI) – Stabilitātei! (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 49% | 49% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) – Attīstībai/Par! (RE) – Kustība Par! (RE) – Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Apvienība Jaunlatvieši () – Likums un kārtība () – Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums () – No sirds Latvijai () – Republika () – Suverēnā vara () – Vienoti Latvijai (*)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 1
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 4,194,304
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 4,194,304
- Error estimate: 1.69%