Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | JS | P | SDPS | ZZS | AP! | KP | LA | JV | LRA | JKP | KPV | NA | SV | LPV | LKS | ST! | CP | NSL | VL | P21 | R | NST | AJ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | N/A N/A |
10–13% 1 |
6–9% 1 |
8–10% 1 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
2–3% 0 |
14–18% 1–2 |
8–10% 1 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
14–17% 1–2 |
3–5% 0 |
10–13% 1 |
1–2% 0 |
6–8% 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 1–31 October 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
N/A N/A |
10–13% 1 |
6–9% 1 |
8–11% 1 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
2–3% 0 |
14–18% 1–2 |
8–11% 1 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
14–17% 1–2 |
3–5% 0 |
10–13% 1 |
1–2% 0 |
6–8% 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 8 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- JS: Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL)
- P: PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
- SDPS: Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
- ZZS: Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
- AP!: Attīstībai/Par! (RE)
- KP: Kustība Par! (RE)
- LA: Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
- JV: Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
- LRA: Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
- JKP: Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
- KPV: Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP)
- NA: Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
- SV: Suverēnā vara (ECR)
- LPV: Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
- LKS: Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)
- ST!: Stabilitātei! (NI)
- CP: Centra partija (NI)
- NSL: No sirds Latvijai (*)
- VL: Vienoti Latvijai (*)
- P21: Platforma 21 (*)
- R: Republika (*)
- NST: Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*)
- AJ: Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 11.1% | 10.2–12.1% | 10.0–12.4% | 9.8–12.7% | 9.4–13.1% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) | 0.0% | 7.6% | 6.8–8.4% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.5–8.9% | 6.1–9.3% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 0.0% | 9.1% | 8.3–10.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.8–10.5% | 7.5–11.0% |
| Attīstībai/Par! (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Kustība Par! (RE) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% |
| Latvijas attīstībai (RE) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.1% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) | 0.0% | 15.9% | 14.8–17.0% | 14.5–17.4% | 14.3–17.6% | 13.8–18.2% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) | 0.0% | 9.1% | 8.3–10.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.8–10.5% | 7.5–11.0% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.3–2.1% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0.0% | 15.2% | 14.2–16.3% | 13.9–16.7% | 13.6–16.9% | 13.2–17.5% |
| Suverēnā vara (ECR) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0.0% | 11.5% | 10.6–12.5% | 10.3–12.8% | 10.1–13.1% | 9.7–13.6% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.0% | 5.9–8.2% | 5.6–8.6% |
| Centra partija (NI) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| No sirds Latvijai (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Vienoti Latvijai (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Platforma 21 (*) | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
| Republika (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Stabilitātei! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 22% | 99.5% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 59% | 78% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 18% | 19% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 28% | 95% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 44% | 66% | Median |
| 16.5–17.5% | 20% | 23% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 19% | 98.8% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 50% | 80% | Median |
| 11.5–12.5% | 26% | 30% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 8% | 99.7% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 42% | 91% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 40% | 49% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 9% | 10% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 93% | 99.9% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 42% | 96% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 47% | 54% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kustība Par! (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 53% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 46% | 47% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 38% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 61% | 62% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 40% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 58% | 60% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 19% | 99.3% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 54% | 80% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 23% | 26% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Suverēnā vara (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 15% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 72% | 85% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 13% | 13% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 19% | 98% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 43% | 80% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 30% | 36% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 6% | 6% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Platforma 21 (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma 21 (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 19% | 99.3% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 54% | 80% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 23% | 26% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL) page.
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Attīstībai/Par! (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! (RE) page.
Kustība Par! (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 25% | 100% | |
| 2 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP) page.
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 77% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 23% | 23% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Suverēnā vara (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Stabilitātei! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.9% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Centra partija (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centra partija (NI) page.
No sirds Latvijai (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the No sirds Latvijai (*) page.
Vienoti Latvijai (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienoti Latvijai (*) page.
Platforma 21 (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma 21 (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Republika (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Republika (*) page.
Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*) page.
Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) – Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) – Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Attīstībai/Par! (RE) – Kustība Par! (RE) – Latvijas attīstībai (RE) – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Centra partija (NI) – Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) – Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Apvienība Jaunlatvieši () – Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums () – No sirds Latvijai () – Platforma 21 () – Republika () – Vienoti Latvijai () | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) – Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) – Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 25% | 100% | |
| 3 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) – Suverēnā vara (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 25% | 25% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! (RE) – Kustība Par! (RE) – Latvijas attīstībai (RE) – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Centra partija (NI) – Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) – Stabilitātei! (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.9% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Apvienība Jaunlatvieši () – Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums () – No sirds Latvijai () – Platforma 21 () – Republika () – Vienoti Latvijai ()
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 1
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.54%