Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | JS | P | SC | SDPS | ZZS | AP! | KP | LA | JV | LRA | JKP | KPV | NA | LPV | LKS | ST! | CP | AJ | ASL | GS | MMN | NST | NSL | BP | SV | SV–AJ | VL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | N/A N/A |
12–16% 1–2 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0 |
6–9% 1 |
17–22% 2 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
7–10% 1 |
13–17% 1 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
3–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
15–19% 2 |
N/A N/A |
| 10–15 July 2026 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
N/A N/A |
12–16% 1–2 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0 |
6–9% 1 |
17–21% 2 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
7–10% 1 |
13–17% 1 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
3–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
15–19% 2 |
N/A N/A |
| 8 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- JS: Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL)
- P: PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
- SC: Saskaņas Centrs (S&D)
- SDPS: Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
- ZZS: Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
- AP!: Attīstībai/Par! (RE)
- KP: Kustība Par! (RE)
- LA: Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
- JV: Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
- LRA: Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
- JKP: Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
- KPV: Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP)
- NA: Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
- LPV: Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
- LKS: Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)
- ST!: Stabilitātei! (NI)
- CP: Centra partija (NI)
- AJ: Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
- ASL: Austošā Saule Latvijai (*)
- GS: Gobzema saraksts (*)
- MMN: Mēs mainām noteikumus (*)
- NST: Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*)
- NSL: No sirds Latvijai (*)
- BP: Politiskā kustība „Bez partijām“ (*)
- SV: Suverēnā vara (*)
- SV–AJ: Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
- VL: Vienoti Latvijai (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 14.3% | 13.1–15.6% | 12.7–16.0% | 12.4–16.4% | 11.9–17.0% |
| Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.1–3.2% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 0.0% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.5% | 2.9–6.0% |
| Attīstībai/Par! (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Kustība Par! (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Latvijas attīstībai (RE) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) | 0.0% | 7.3% | 6.3–8.3% | 6.1–8.6% | 5.9–8.8% | 5.5–9.4% |
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) | 0.0% | 19.2% | 17.8–20.7% | 17.4–21.1% | 17.0–21.5% | 16.4–22.2% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.1% |
| Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.8% | 7.8–9.8% | 7.5–10.2% | 7.2–10.4% | 6.8–11.0% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0.0% | 14.8% | 13.5–16.1% | 13.2–16.5% | 12.9–16.9% | 12.3–17.6% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.5–3.9% |
| Centra partija (NI) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.1–3.2% |
| Gobzema saraksts (*) | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.2–1.3% |
| Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.4–5.2% |
| Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| No sirds Latvijai (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Politiskā kustība „Bez partijām“ (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Suverēnā vara (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) | 0.0% | 17.1% | 15.8–18.6% | 15.4–19.0% | 15.1–19.3% | 14.5–20.0% |
| Vienoti Latvijai (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Stabilitātei! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 50% | 99.5% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 47% | 50% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 16% | 99.4% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 48% | 84% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 31% | 36% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 23% | 93% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 35% | 71% | Median |
| 17.5–18.5% | 25% | 35% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 8% | 10% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 19% | 97% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 37% | 78% | Median |
| 14.5–15.5% | 29% | 41% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 10% | 12% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 9% | 99.0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 30% | 90% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 36% | 60% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 19% | 24% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Mēs mainām noteikumus (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 44% | 98.7% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 50% | 55% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Saskaņas Centrs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 14% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 78% | 86% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Austošā Saule Latvijai (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 14% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 78% | 86% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 89% | 99.2% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 11% | 11% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 14% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 69% | 86% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 16% | 16% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 6% | 99.2% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 21% | 93% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 34% | 72% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 26% | 38% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 10% | 12% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 34% | 94% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 43% | 60% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 15% | 17% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Gobzema saraksts (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gobzema saraksts (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 49% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 51% | 51% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 9% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 59% | 91% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 30% | 32% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL) page.
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Saskaņas Centrs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) page.
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai/Par! (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai/Par! (RE) page.
Kustība Par! (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! (RE) page.
Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.9% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP) page.
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) page.
Stabilitātei! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Centra partija (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centra partija (NI) page.
Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) page.
Austošā Saule Latvijai (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Gobzema saraksts (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gobzema saraksts (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Mēs mainām noteikumus (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums (*) page.
No sirds Latvijai (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the No sirds Latvijai (*) page.
Politiskā kustība „Bez partijām“ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Politiskā kustība „Bez partijām“ (*) page.
Suverēnā vara (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara (*) page.
Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.9% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Vienoti Latvijai (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienoti Latvijai (*) page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) – Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) – Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Apvienība Jaunlatvieši () – Austošā Saule Latvijai () – Gobzema saraksts () – Mēs mainām noteikumus () – Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums () – No sirds Latvijai () – Politiskā kustība „Bez partijām“ () – Suverēnā vara () – Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši () – Vienoti Latvijai () | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Attīstībai/Par! (RE) – Kustība Par! (RE) – Latvijas attīstībai (RE) – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Centra partija (NI) – Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) – Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) – Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) – Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) – Politiskā partija „KPV LV” (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.9% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Apvienība Jaunlatvieši () – Austošā Saule Latvijai () – Gobzema saraksts () – Mēs mainām noteikumus () – Nacionālā Savienība Taisnīgums () – No sirds Latvijai () – Politiskā kustība „Bez partijām“ () – Suverēnā vara () – Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši () – Vienoti Latvijai ()
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.9% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Attīstībai/Par! (RE) – Kustība Par! (RE) – Latvijas attīstībai (RE) – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Centra partija (NI) – Latvijas Krievu savienība (NI) – Stabilitātei! (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Jaunā Saskaņa (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) – Sociāldemokrātiskā partija “Saskaņa” (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 1
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.09%