Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 4–16 September 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) | 0.0% | 22.7% | 21.5–23.9% | 21.2–24.3% | 20.9–24.6% | 20.4–25.2% |
| Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) | 0.0% | 14.1% | 13.2–15.1% | 12.9–15.4% | 12.7–15.7% | 12.2–16.2% |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0.0% | 13.3% | 12.4–14.3% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.9–14.9% | 11.5–15.4% |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 10.2% | 9.4–11.1% | 9.2–11.4% | 9.0–11.6% | 8.6–12.1% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0.0% | 8.7% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.2–10.4% |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) | 0.0% | 6.8% | 6.1–7.6% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.8–8.0% | 5.5–8.4% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.8–7.2% | 5.7–7.5% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.2–8.0% |
| Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.1–4.5% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% |
| Latvijas attīstībai (RE) | 0.0% | 3.7% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.1–4.5% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% |
| Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.7–3.7% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
| Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% |
| Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–3.0% |
| Gobzema saraksts (*) | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.5–2.3% | 1.4–2.4% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvijas attīstībai (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stabilitātei! (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gobzema saraksts (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu Apvienība (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Suverēnā vara–Apvienība Jaunlatvieši (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 10% | 100% | |
| 2 | 90% | 90% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 94% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 6% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā VIENOTĪBA (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Mēs mainām noteikumus (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mēs mainām noteikumus (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Latvijas attīstībai (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Stabilitātei! (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stabilitātei! (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Saskaņas Centrs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Saskaņas Centrs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Austošā Saule Latvijai (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Austošā Saule Latvijai (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Gobzema saraksts (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gobzema saraksts (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 94% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 6% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
PROGRESĪVIE (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 4–16 September 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 2035
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.31%