Opinion Poll by Estymator for DoRzeczy.pl, 4–5 April 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 37.6% | 39.4% | 37.6–41.2% | 37.1–41.7% | 36.6–42.2% | 35.8–43.0% |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 24.1% | 28.3% | 26.7–30.0% | 26.2–30.5% | 25.8–30.9% | 25.1–31.7% |
| Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.7% | 7.8–11.0% | 7.3–11.6% |
| Kukiz’15 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.7–10.4% | 7.5–10.7% | 7.0–11.2% |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.3% | 4.8–7.5% | 4.5–8.0% |
| .Nowoczesna | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.3–5.6% | 3.0–6.0% |
| Lewica Razem | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.4% |
| KORWiN | 4.8% | 1.4% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.7–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 216 | 206–227 | 205–229 | 201–233 | 196–241 |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 138 | 150 | 139–160 | 137–164 | 135–165 | 130–168 |
| Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej | 0 | 36 | 30–43 | 29–45 | 28–45 | 27–48 |
| Kukiz’15 | 42 | 39 | 30–44 | 27–45 | 25–47 | 21–49 |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 16 | 19 | 12–24 | 12–24 | 0–26 | 0–27 |
| .Nowoczesna | 28 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–11 |
| Lewica Razem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| KORWiN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 195 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 198 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 201 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 202 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 203 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 204 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 205 | 3% | 95% | |
| 206 | 3% | 92% | |
| 207 | 4% | 89% | |
| 208 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 209 | 3% | 84% | |
| 210 | 4% | 82% | |
| 211 | 16% | 78% | |
| 212 | 4% | 62% | |
| 213 | 1.4% | 58% | |
| 214 | 0.6% | 57% | |
| 215 | 6% | 56% | |
| 216 | 0.9% | 51% | Median |
| 217 | 17% | 50% | |
| 218 | 3% | 32% | |
| 219 | 2% | 30% | |
| 220 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 221 | 2% | 27% | |
| 222 | 3% | 26% | |
| 223 | 4% | 23% | |
| 224 | 4% | 19% | |
| 225 | 2% | 15% | |
| 226 | 2% | 13% | |
| 227 | 2% | 11% | |
| 228 | 3% | 9% | |
| 229 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 230 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 4% | Majority |
| 232 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 233 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 234 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 235 | 0.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 236 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 237 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 239 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 240 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 242 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma Obywatelska page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 137 | 4% | 96% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 92% | Last Result |
| 139 | 3% | 92% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 141 | 3% | 88% | |
| 142 | 4% | 85% | |
| 143 | 1.2% | 81% | |
| 144 | 2% | 80% | |
| 145 | 3% | 77% | |
| 146 | 2% | 74% | |
| 147 | 2% | 72% | |
| 148 | 5% | 69% | |
| 149 | 8% | 64% | |
| 150 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 151 | 3% | 49% | |
| 152 | 4% | 47% | |
| 153 | 3% | 43% | |
| 154 | 7% | 40% | |
| 155 | 1.2% | 32% | |
| 156 | 11% | 31% | |
| 157 | 3% | 20% | |
| 158 | 4% | 17% | |
| 159 | 2% | 13% | |
| 160 | 3% | 11% | |
| 161 | 2% | 8% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 164 | 2% | 6% | |
| 165 | 3% | 4% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 4% | 97% | |
| 30 | 10% | 94% | |
| 31 | 2% | 84% | |
| 32 | 8% | 82% | |
| 33 | 5% | 73% | |
| 34 | 5% | 69% | |
| 35 | 12% | 64% | |
| 36 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 46% | |
| 38 | 10% | 38% | |
| 39 | 7% | 28% | |
| 40 | 5% | 21% | |
| 41 | 3% | 17% | |
| 42 | 3% | 14% | |
| 43 | 3% | 11% | |
| 44 | 3% | 8% | |
| 45 | 3% | 5% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Kukiz’15
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kukiz’15 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 26 | 2% | 97% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 28 | 3% | 95% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 32 | 2% | 89% | |
| 33 | 2% | 87% | |
| 34 | 5% | 85% | |
| 35 | 10% | 81% | |
| 36 | 3% | 71% | |
| 37 | 4% | 67% | |
| 38 | 9% | 63% | |
| 39 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 40 | 15% | 40% | |
| 41 | 5% | 25% | |
| 42 | 4% | 21% | Last Result |
| 43 | 5% | 17% | |
| 44 | 4% | 12% | |
| 45 | 5% | 8% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0% | 96% | |
| 8 | 0% | 96% | |
| 9 | 0% | 96% | |
| 10 | 0% | 96% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 12 | 7% | 96% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 89% | |
| 14 | 8% | 87% | |
| 15 | 4% | 79% | |
| 16 | 2% | 75% | Last Result |
| 17 | 6% | 73% | |
| 18 | 8% | 67% | |
| 19 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 20 | 4% | 47% | |
| 21 | 3% | 43% | |
| 22 | 10% | 40% | |
| 23 | 16% | 30% | |
| 24 | 10% | 14% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
.Nowoczesna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the .Nowoczesna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 85% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 15% | |
| 2 | 0% | 15% | |
| 3 | 0% | 15% | |
| 4 | 0% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0% | 15% | |
| 6 | 2% | 15% | |
| 7 | 5% | 13% | |
| 8 | 5% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lewica Razem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lewica Razem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
KORWiN
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KORWiN page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 216 | 4% | 206–227 | 205–229 | 201–233 | 196–241 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem | 182 | 208 | 0.1% | 195–217 | 191–219 | 188–222 | 180–227 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna | 182 | 208 | 0.1% | 195–217 | 191–219 | 188–222 | 180–227 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna | 166 | 188 | 0% | 177–197 | 175–200 | 171–202 | 167–208 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna | 182 | 172 | 0% | 159–180 | 156–185 | 153–185 | 143–190 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna | 166 | 151 | 0% | 141–162 | 137–165 | 136–165 | 132–169 |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 138 | 150 | 0% | 139–160 | 137–164 | 135–165 | 130–168 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 194 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 195 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 196 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 197 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 198 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 199 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 200 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 201 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 202 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 203 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 204 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 205 | 3% | 95% | |
| 206 | 3% | 92% | |
| 207 | 4% | 89% | |
| 208 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 209 | 3% | 84% | |
| 210 | 4% | 82% | |
| 211 | 16% | 78% | |
| 212 | 4% | 62% | |
| 213 | 1.4% | 58% | |
| 214 | 0.6% | 57% | |
| 215 | 6% | 56% | |
| 216 | 0.9% | 51% | Median |
| 217 | 17% | 50% | |
| 218 | 3% | 32% | |
| 219 | 2% | 30% | |
| 220 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 221 | 2% | 27% | |
| 222 | 3% | 26% | |
| 223 | 4% | 23% | |
| 224 | 4% | 19% | |
| 225 | 2% | 15% | |
| 226 | 2% | 13% | |
| 227 | 2% | 11% | |
| 228 | 3% | 9% | |
| 229 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 230 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 231 | 0.3% | 4% | Majority |
| 232 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 233 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 234 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 235 | 0.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 236 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 237 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 238 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 239 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 240 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 241 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 242 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 243 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 244 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 179 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 187 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 189 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 191 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 192 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 193 | 2% | 94% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 195 | 4% | 91% | |
| 196 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 197 | 3% | 87% | |
| 198 | 4% | 84% | |
| 199 | 3% | 80% | |
| 200 | 2% | 77% | |
| 201 | 0.9% | 75% | |
| 202 | 4% | 75% | |
| 203 | 7% | 71% | |
| 204 | 3% | 64% | |
| 205 | 2% | 61% | Median |
| 206 | 3% | 59% | |
| 207 | 3% | 56% | |
| 208 | 8% | 53% | |
| 209 | 3% | 45% | |
| 210 | 14% | 42% | |
| 211 | 4% | 28% | |
| 212 | 3% | 25% | |
| 213 | 2% | 22% | |
| 214 | 4% | 20% | |
| 215 | 4% | 16% | |
| 216 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 217 | 6% | 11% | |
| 218 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 219 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 220 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 221 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 222 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 223 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 226 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 227 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 232 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 177 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 178 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 179 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 182 | 0% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 185 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 186 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 187 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 189 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 190 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 191 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 192 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 193 | 2% | 94% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 195 | 4% | 91% | |
| 196 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 197 | 3% | 87% | |
| 198 | 4% | 84% | |
| 199 | 3% | 80% | |
| 200 | 2% | 77% | |
| 201 | 0.9% | 75% | |
| 202 | 4% | 75% | |
| 203 | 7% | 71% | |
| 204 | 3% | 64% | |
| 205 | 2% | 61% | Median |
| 206 | 3% | 59% | |
| 207 | 3% | 56% | |
| 208 | 8% | 53% | |
| 209 | 3% | 45% | |
| 210 | 14% | 42% | |
| 211 | 4% | 28% | |
| 212 | 3% | 25% | |
| 213 | 2% | 22% | |
| 214 | 4% | 20% | |
| 215 | 4% | 16% | |
| 216 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 217 | 6% | 11% | |
| 218 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 219 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 220 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 221 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 222 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 223 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 226 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 227 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 232 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161 | 0% | 100% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 166 | 0% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 167 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 170 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 171 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 174 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 175 | 3% | 95% | |
| 176 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 177 | 4% | 91% | |
| 178 | 3% | 86% | |
| 179 | 2% | 83% | |
| 180 | 8% | 81% | |
| 181 | 2% | 74% | |
| 182 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 183 | 0.8% | 71% | |
| 184 | 2% | 70% | |
| 185 | 2% | 69% | |
| 186 | 9% | 66% | Median |
| 187 | 5% | 57% | |
| 188 | 3% | 53% | |
| 189 | 3% | 50% | |
| 190 | 2% | 46% | |
| 191 | 10% | 44% | |
| 192 | 4% | 34% | |
| 193 | 4% | 29% | |
| 194 | 4% | 26% | |
| 195 | 1.1% | 22% | |
| 196 | 5% | 20% | |
| 197 | 6% | 15% | |
| 198 | 2% | 9% | |
| 199 | 2% | 7% | |
| 200 | 2% | 5% | |
| 201 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 202 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 203 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 142 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 143 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 145 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 149 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 151 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 152 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 155 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 158 | 2% | 94% | |
| 159 | 2% | 91% | |
| 160 | 7% | 89% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 162 | 2% | 82% | |
| 163 | 3% | 80% | |
| 164 | 4% | 77% | |
| 165 | 5% | 73% | |
| 166 | 2% | 68% | |
| 167 | 3% | 66% | |
| 168 | 1.2% | 63% | |
| 169 | 4% | 62% | Median |
| 170 | 2% | 59% | |
| 171 | 6% | 56% | |
| 172 | 3% | 50% | |
| 173 | 6% | 47% | |
| 174 | 4% | 41% | |
| 175 | 13% | 38% | |
| 176 | 2% | 25% | |
| 177 | 5% | 22% | |
| 178 | 4% | 18% | |
| 179 | 3% | 13% | |
| 180 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 182 | 0.4% | 9% | Last Result |
| 183 | 2% | 8% | |
| 184 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 185 | 3% | 5% | |
| 186 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 189 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 190 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 191 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127 | 0% | 100% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 133 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 137 | 4% | 97% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 139 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 141 | 2% | 91% | |
| 142 | 4% | 89% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 144 | 2% | 85% | |
| 145 | 5% | 83% | |
| 146 | 2% | 77% | |
| 147 | 2% | 75% | |
| 148 | 5% | 73% | |
| 149 | 8% | 68% | |
| 150 | 7% | 59% | Median |
| 151 | 3% | 52% | |
| 152 | 2% | 49% | |
| 153 | 3% | 47% | |
| 154 | 7% | 44% | |
| 155 | 1.2% | 37% | |
| 156 | 11% | 36% | |
| 157 | 3% | 25% | |
| 158 | 2% | 22% | |
| 159 | 2% | 20% | |
| 160 | 5% | 18% | |
| 161 | 2% | 13% | |
| 162 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 163 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 164 | 2% | 9% | |
| 165 | 5% | 7% | |
| 166 | 0.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 167 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126 | 0% | 100% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 131 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 134 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 137 | 4% | 96% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 92% | Last Result |
| 139 | 3% | 92% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 141 | 3% | 88% | |
| 142 | 4% | 85% | |
| 143 | 1.2% | 81% | |
| 144 | 2% | 80% | |
| 145 | 3% | 77% | |
| 146 | 2% | 74% | |
| 147 | 2% | 72% | |
| 148 | 5% | 69% | |
| 149 | 8% | 64% | |
| 150 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 151 | 3% | 49% | |
| 152 | 4% | 47% | |
| 153 | 3% | 43% | |
| 154 | 7% | 40% | |
| 155 | 1.2% | 32% | |
| 156 | 11% | 31% | |
| 157 | 3% | 20% | |
| 158 | 4% | 17% | |
| 159 | 2% | 13% | |
| 160 | 3% | 11% | |
| 161 | 2% | 8% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 164 | 2% | 6% | |
| 165 | 3% | 4% | |
| 166 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 168 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Estymator
- Commissioner(s): DoRzeczy.pl
- Fieldwork period: 4–5 April 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1209
- Simulations done: 524,288
- Error estimate: 1.55%