Opinion Poll by Estymator for DoRzeczy.pl, 25–26 April 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 37.6% | 38.2% | 36.3–40.2% | 35.8–40.8% | 35.3–41.3% | 34.4–42.2% |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 24.1% | 27.3% | 25.5–29.1% | 25.1–29.7% | 24.6–30.1% | 23.8–31.0% |
| Kukiz’15 | 8.8% | 13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.5–15.0% | 11.2–15.3% | 10.6–16.0% |
| Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| .Nowoczesna | 7.6% | 3.9% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Lewica Razem | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| KORWiN | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.5–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 207 | 200–214 | 196–219 | 194–221 | 189–230 |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 138 | 141 | 137–149 | 132–155 | 130–158 | 124–159 |
| Kukiz’15 | 42 | 61 | 52–62 | 49–66 | 47–73 | 44–73 |
| Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej | 0 | 33 | 26–39 | 23–41 | 23–42 | 21–44 |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 16 | 21 | 15–24 | 12–24 | 0–26 | 0–28 |
| .Nowoczesna | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| Lewica Razem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| KORWiN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 186 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 196 | 3% | 97% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 199 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 200 | 14% | 92% | |
| 201 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 202 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 203 | 2% | 77% | |
| 204 | 3% | 75% | |
| 205 | 12% | 72% | |
| 206 | 2% | 59% | |
| 207 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 208 | 1.1% | 31% | |
| 209 | 0.5% | 30% | |
| 210 | 10% | 29% | |
| 211 | 5% | 19% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 213 | 3% | 14% | |
| 214 | 2% | 11% | |
| 215 | 2% | 9% | |
| 216 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 217 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 219 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 220 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 221 | 2% | 5% | |
| 222 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 223 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 225 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 228 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 230 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 232 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 236 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma Obywatelska page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 130 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 131 | 2% | 97% | |
| 132 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 137 | 26% | 92% | |
| 138 | 11% | 66% | Last Result |
| 139 | 3% | 55% | |
| 140 | 2% | 52% | |
| 141 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 142 | 4% | 44% | |
| 143 | 2% | 40% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 38% | |
| 145 | 8% | 38% | |
| 146 | 2% | 31% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 29% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 149 | 19% | 28% | |
| 150 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 151 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 152 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 158 | 2% | 3% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Kukiz’15
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kukiz’15 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 49 | 2% | 95% | |
| 50 | 2% | 93% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 52 | 2% | 91% | |
| 53 | 10% | 89% | |
| 54 | 3% | 79% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 56 | 3% | 75% | |
| 57 | 14% | 72% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 58% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 57% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 56% | |
| 61 | 24% | 55% | Median |
| 62 | 22% | 31% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 7% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 23 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 25 | 2% | 93% | |
| 26 | 3% | 91% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 28 | 4% | 88% | |
| 29 | 1.2% | 84% | |
| 30 | 17% | 83% | |
| 31 | 4% | 65% | |
| 32 | 3% | 61% | |
| 33 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 34 | 18% | 44% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 27% | |
| 36 | 12% | 25% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 38 | 2% | 13% | |
| 39 | 4% | 11% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 0% | 97% | |
| 10 | 0% | 97% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 12 | 3% | 97% | |
| 13 | 3% | 94% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 15 | 5% | 90% | |
| 16 | 3% | 85% | Last Result |
| 17 | 1.0% | 83% | |
| 18 | 12% | 82% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 70% | |
| 20 | 10% | 69% | |
| 21 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 22 | 1.2% | 38% | |
| 23 | 17% | 37% | |
| 24 | 15% | 20% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
.Nowoczesna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the .Nowoczesna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lewica Razem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lewica Razem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
KORWiN
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KORWiN page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 207 | 0.2% | 200–214 | 196–219 | 194–221 | 189–230 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem | 182 | 193 | 0% | 188–203 | 185–206 | 179–211 | 171–219 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna | 182 | 193 | 0% | 188–203 | 185–206 | 179–211 | 171–219 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna | 166 | 174 | 0% | 167–186 | 167–188 | 165–191 | 154–198 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna | 182 | 161 | 0% | 156–170 | 151–174 | 146–179 | 138–186 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna | 166 | 141 | 0% | 137–149 | 132–156 | 130–158 | 124–163 |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 138 | 141 | 0% | 137–149 | 132–155 | 130–158 | 124–159 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183 | 0% | 100% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 185 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 186 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 187 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 188 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 189 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 191 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 192 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 195 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 196 | 3% | 97% | |
| 197 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 199 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 200 | 14% | 92% | |
| 201 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 202 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 203 | 2% | 77% | |
| 204 | 3% | 75% | |
| 205 | 12% | 72% | |
| 206 | 2% | 59% | |
| 207 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 208 | 1.1% | 31% | |
| 209 | 0.5% | 30% | |
| 210 | 10% | 29% | |
| 211 | 5% | 19% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 213 | 3% | 14% | |
| 214 | 2% | 11% | |
| 215 | 2% | 9% | |
| 216 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 217 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 218 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 219 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 220 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 221 | 2% | 5% | |
| 222 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 223 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 224 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 225 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 228 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 230 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 232 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 236 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 173 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 177 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 178 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 97% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 188 | 8% | 94% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 86% | |
| 190 | 2% | 85% | |
| 191 | 17% | 83% | |
| 192 | 15% | 67% | |
| 193 | 3% | 52% | |
| 194 | 13% | 49% | |
| 195 | 2% | 37% | Median |
| 196 | 7% | 35% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 28% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 199 | 2% | 28% | |
| 200 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 201 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 202 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 203 | 17% | 24% | |
| 204 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 205 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 207 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 208 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 211 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 212 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 215 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 219 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 161 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 162 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 164 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 165 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 167 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 168 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 169 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 171 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 172 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 173 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 177 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 178 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 179 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 97% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 187 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 188 | 8% | 94% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 86% | |
| 190 | 2% | 85% | |
| 191 | 17% | 83% | |
| 192 | 15% | 67% | |
| 193 | 3% | 52% | |
| 194 | 13% | 49% | |
| 195 | 2% | 37% | Median |
| 196 | 7% | 35% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 28% | |
| 198 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 199 | 2% | 28% | |
| 200 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 201 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 202 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 203 | 17% | 24% | |
| 204 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 205 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 207 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 208 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 210 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 211 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 212 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 214 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 215 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 216 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 217 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 218 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 219 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 220 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 221 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 222 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 223 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | 0% | 100% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 154 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 156 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 157 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 159 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 162 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 165 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 166 | 1.0% | 97% | Last Result |
| 167 | 15% | 96% | |
| 168 | 6% | 81% | |
| 169 | 0.2% | 75% | |
| 170 | 3% | 75% | |
| 171 | 13% | 73% | |
| 172 | 4% | 59% | |
| 173 | 2% | 55% | |
| 174 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 175 | 7% | 41% | |
| 176 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 177 | 2% | 33% | |
| 178 | 2% | 31% | |
| 179 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 180 | 1.0% | 29% | |
| 181 | 0.9% | 28% | |
| 182 | 16% | 27% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 185 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 186 | 2% | 10% | |
| 187 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 188 | 3% | 7% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 191 | 2% | 3% | |
| 192 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 193 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 195 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 196 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 198 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 143 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 145 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 146 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 150 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 151 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 152 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 153 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 155 | 2% | 92% | |
| 156 | 12% | 91% | |
| 157 | 0.6% | 79% | |
| 158 | 3% | 78% | |
| 159 | 1.1% | 75% | |
| 160 | 17% | 74% | |
| 161 | 15% | 57% | |
| 162 | 5% | 42% | Median |
| 163 | 0.5% | 36% | |
| 164 | 3% | 36% | |
| 165 | 6% | 33% | |
| 166 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 167 | 0.8% | 26% | |
| 168 | 2% | 25% | |
| 169 | 2% | 24% | |
| 170 | 13% | 22% | |
| 171 | 2% | 8% | |
| 172 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 173 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 174 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 177 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 180 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 181 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 185 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 186 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 130 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 131 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 132 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 134 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 137 | 26% | 92% | |
| 138 | 11% | 66% | |
| 139 | 3% | 55% | |
| 140 | 2% | 53% | |
| 141 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 142 | 4% | 44% | |
| 143 | 2% | 40% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 39% | |
| 145 | 7% | 38% | |
| 146 | 1.5% | 31% | |
| 147 | 1.2% | 30% | |
| 148 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 149 | 19% | 28% | |
| 150 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 152 | 2% | 8% | |
| 153 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 158 | 2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 167 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 120 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 126 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 128 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 130 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 131 | 2% | 97% | |
| 132 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 133 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 135 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 136 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 137 | 26% | 92% | |
| 138 | 11% | 66% | Last Result |
| 139 | 3% | 55% | |
| 140 | 2% | 52% | |
| 141 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 142 | 4% | 44% | |
| 143 | 2% | 40% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 38% | |
| 145 | 8% | 38% | |
| 146 | 2% | 31% | |
| 147 | 1.3% | 29% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 149 | 19% | 28% | |
| 150 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 151 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 152 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 156 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 158 | 2% | 3% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Estymator
- Commissioner(s): DoRzeczy.pl
- Fieldwork period: 25–26 April 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1015
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 2.51%