Opinion Poll by IBRiS for Rzeczpospolita, 7–8 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość |
37.6% |
32.7% |
30.9–34.6% |
30.4–35.1% |
29.9–35.6% |
29.1–36.5% |
Platforma Obywatelska |
24.1% |
26.4% |
24.8–28.2% |
24.3–28.7% |
23.9–29.2% |
23.1–30.0% |
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej |
7.6% |
9.6% |
8.5–10.8% |
8.2–11.2% |
7.9–11.5% |
7.5–12.1% |
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe |
5.1% |
6.3% |
5.4–7.3% |
5.2–7.6% |
5.0–7.9% |
4.6–8.4% |
Kukiz’15 |
8.8% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.2% |
5.1–7.5% |
4.9–7.8% |
4.5–8.3% |
.Nowoczesna |
7.6% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Lewica Razem |
3.6% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.4–4.5% |
2.1–5.0% |
KORWiN |
4.8% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.0% |
0.8–2.2% |
0.6–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
174 |
0% |
100% |
|
175 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
176 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
177 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
178 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
179 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
180 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
181 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
182 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
183 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
184 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
185 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
186 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
187 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
188 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
189 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
190 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
191 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
192 |
3% |
96% |
|
193 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
194 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
195 |
4% |
93% |
|
196 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
197 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
198 |
9% |
87% |
|
199 |
0.8% |
78% |
|
200 |
5% |
78% |
|
201 |
1.0% |
72% |
|
202 |
2% |
71% |
|
203 |
5% |
70% |
|
204 |
0.5% |
65% |
|
205 |
2% |
64% |
|
206 |
3% |
62% |
|
207 |
1.3% |
60% |
|
208 |
3% |
58% |
|
209 |
0.8% |
55% |
|
210 |
17% |
54% |
Median |
211 |
4% |
37% |
|
212 |
7% |
34% |
|
213 |
10% |
26% |
|
214 |
0.7% |
16% |
|
215 |
3% |
16% |
|
216 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
217 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
218 |
3% |
11% |
|
219 |
0.9% |
8% |
|
220 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
221 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
222 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
223 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
224 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
225 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
226 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
227 |
0% |
2% |
|
228 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
229 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
230 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
231 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
Majority |
232 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
233 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
234 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
235 |
0% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
236 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
237 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
238 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
239 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
240 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
241 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma Obywatelska page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
133 |
0% |
100% |
|
134 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
135 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
136 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
137 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
138 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
139 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
140 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
141 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
142 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
143 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
144 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
145 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
146 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
147 |
2% |
97% |
|
148 |
2% |
95% |
|
149 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
150 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
151 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
152 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
153 |
17% |
90% |
|
154 |
3% |
73% |
|
155 |
10% |
71% |
|
156 |
2% |
60% |
|
157 |
8% |
59% |
|
158 |
2% |
51% |
Median |
159 |
0.7% |
49% |
|
160 |
0.9% |
48% |
|
161 |
2% |
47% |
|
162 |
5% |
46% |
|
163 |
3% |
41% |
|
164 |
9% |
38% |
|
165 |
2% |
29% |
|
166 |
2% |
27% |
|
167 |
0.6% |
25% |
|
168 |
10% |
25% |
|
169 |
3% |
15% |
|
170 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
171 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
172 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
173 |
0.1% |
10% |
|
174 |
1.4% |
10% |
|
175 |
4% |
9% |
|
176 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
177 |
2% |
4% |
|
178 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
179 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
180 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
181 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
183 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
184 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
185 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
186 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
187 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
188 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
189 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
190 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
191 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
192 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
34 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
35 |
2% |
98% |
|
36 |
7% |
96% |
|
37 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
88% |
|
39 |
2% |
87% |
|
40 |
2% |
85% |
|
41 |
2% |
83% |
|
42 |
6% |
81% |
|
43 |
12% |
75% |
|
44 |
4% |
63% |
|
45 |
37% |
59% |
Median |
46 |
3% |
23% |
|
47 |
2% |
20% |
|
48 |
3% |
18% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
15% |
|
50 |
2% |
15% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
13% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
12% |
|
53 |
5% |
11% |
|
54 |
2% |
6% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
56 |
2% |
4% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
96% |
|
2 |
0% |
96% |
|
3 |
0% |
96% |
|
4 |
0% |
96% |
|
5 |
0% |
96% |
|
6 |
0% |
96% |
|
7 |
0% |
96% |
|
8 |
0% |
96% |
|
9 |
0% |
96% |
|
10 |
0% |
96% |
|
11 |
0% |
96% |
|
12 |
0% |
96% |
|
13 |
0% |
96% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
16 |
0.7% |
96% |
Last Result |
17 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
19 |
3% |
93% |
|
20 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
21 |
6% |
90% |
|
22 |
9% |
84% |
|
23 |
9% |
74% |
|
24 |
13% |
65% |
|
25 |
1.3% |
53% |
|
26 |
4% |
51% |
Median |
27 |
33% |
47% |
|
28 |
2% |
14% |
|
29 |
9% |
12% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kukiz’15
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kukiz’15 page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
97% |
|
2 |
0% |
97% |
|
3 |
0% |
97% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
97% |
|
6 |
0% |
97% |
|
7 |
0% |
97% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
10 |
2% |
96% |
|
11 |
2% |
95% |
|
12 |
6% |
92% |
|
13 |
4% |
87% |
|
14 |
2% |
83% |
|
15 |
3% |
81% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
77% |
|
17 |
5% |
76% |
|
18 |
1.4% |
71% |
|
19 |
8% |
70% |
|
20 |
3% |
62% |
|
21 |
1.2% |
60% |
|
22 |
1.0% |
58% |
|
23 |
13% |
57% |
Median |
24 |
1.0% |
45% |
|
25 |
17% |
44% |
|
26 |
2% |
27% |
|
27 |
4% |
26% |
|
28 |
3% |
22% |
|
29 |
2% |
19% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
17% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
16% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
15% |
|
33 |
8% |
15% |
|
34 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
36 |
3% |
6% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
.Nowoczesna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the .Nowoczesna page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
86% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
14% |
|
2 |
0% |
14% |
|
3 |
0% |
14% |
|
4 |
0% |
14% |
|
5 |
0% |
14% |
|
6 |
0% |
14% |
|
7 |
0% |
14% |
|
8 |
0% |
14% |
|
9 |
0% |
14% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
14% |
|
11 |
6% |
14% |
|
12 |
2% |
8% |
|
13 |
5% |
6% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Lewica Razem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lewica Razem page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.6% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
KORWiN
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KORWiN page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem |
182 |
229 |
43% |
220–243 |
217–246 |
213–248 |
207–258 |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna |
182 |
229 |
43% |
220–243 |
216–246 |
213–248 |
207–258 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość |
235 |
210 |
0.6% |
195–218 |
192–221 |
188–226 |
183–233 |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna |
166 |
204 |
0.8% |
198–220 |
195–221 |
193–222 |
185–233 |
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna |
182 |
184 |
0% |
175–200 |
170–205 |
168–207 |
161–212 |
Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna |
166 |
161 |
0% |
153–176 |
150–179 |
147–180 |
142–187 |
Platforma Obywatelska |
138 |
158 |
0% |
152–174 |
147–175 |
146–177 |
138–183 |
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
182 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
183 |
0% |
100% |
|
184 |
0% |
100% |
|
185 |
0% |
100% |
|
186 |
0% |
100% |
|
187 |
0% |
100% |
|
188 |
0% |
100% |
|
189 |
0% |
100% |
|
190 |
0% |
100% |
|
191 |
0% |
100% |
|
192 |
0% |
100% |
|
193 |
0% |
100% |
|
194 |
0% |
100% |
|
195 |
0% |
100% |
|
196 |
0% |
100% |
|
197 |
0% |
100% |
|
198 |
0% |
100% |
|
199 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
200 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
201 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
202 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
203 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
204 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
205 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
206 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
207 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
208 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
209 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
210 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
211 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
212 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
213 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
214 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
215 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
216 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
217 |
2% |
95% |
|
218 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
219 |
2% |
93% |
|
220 |
2% |
91% |
|
221 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
222 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
223 |
0.6% |
87% |
|
224 |
10% |
87% |
|
225 |
16% |
77% |
|
226 |
2% |
60% |
|
227 |
3% |
58% |
|
228 |
0.6% |
55% |
|
229 |
10% |
54% |
Median |
230 |
2% |
44% |
|
231 |
2% |
43% |
Majority |
232 |
0.3% |
40% |
|
233 |
0.4% |
40% |
|
234 |
0.5% |
40% |
|
235 |
2% |
39% |
|
236 |
10% |
37% |
|
237 |
0.5% |
27% |
|
238 |
8% |
27% |
|
239 |
2% |
19% |
|
240 |
0.9% |
17% |
|
241 |
0.8% |
16% |
|
242 |
0.9% |
15% |
|
243 |
9% |
14% |
|
244 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
245 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
246 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
247 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
248 |
2% |
5% |
|
249 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
250 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
251 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
252 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
253 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
254 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
255 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
256 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
257 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
258 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
259 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
260 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
261 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
262 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
263 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
264 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
265 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
266 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
267 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
268 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
182 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
183 |
0% |
100% |
|
184 |
0% |
100% |
|
185 |
0% |
100% |
|
186 |
0% |
100% |
|
187 |
0% |
100% |
|
188 |
0% |
100% |
|
189 |
0% |
100% |
|
190 |
0% |
100% |
|
191 |
0% |
100% |
|
192 |
0% |
100% |
|
193 |
0% |
100% |
|
194 |
0% |
100% |
|
195 |
0% |
100% |
|
196 |
0% |
100% |
|
197 |
0% |
100% |
|
198 |
0% |
100% |
|
199 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
200 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
201 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
202 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
203 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
204 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
205 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
206 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
207 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
208 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
209 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
210 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
211 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
212 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
213 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
214 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
215 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
216 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
217 |
2% |
95% |
|
218 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
219 |
2% |
93% |
|
220 |
2% |
91% |
|
221 |
0.4% |
89% |
|
222 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
223 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
224 |
10% |
86% |
|
225 |
16% |
76% |
|
226 |
2% |
60% |
|
227 |
3% |
58% |
|
228 |
0.6% |
55% |
|
229 |
10% |
54% |
Median |
230 |
2% |
44% |
|
231 |
2% |
43% |
Majority |
232 |
0.3% |
40% |
|
233 |
0.4% |
40% |
|
234 |
0.4% |
40% |
|
235 |
2% |
39% |
|
236 |
10% |
37% |
|
237 |
0.5% |
27% |
|
238 |
8% |
27% |
|
239 |
2% |
19% |
|
240 |
0.9% |
17% |
|
241 |
0.8% |
16% |
|
242 |
0.9% |
15% |
|
243 |
9% |
14% |
|
244 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
245 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
246 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
247 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
248 |
2% |
5% |
|
249 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
250 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
251 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
252 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
253 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
254 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
255 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
256 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
257 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
258 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
259 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
260 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
261 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
262 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
263 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
264 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
265 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
266 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
267 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
268 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
174 |
0% |
100% |
|
175 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
176 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
177 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
178 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
179 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
180 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
181 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
182 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
183 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
184 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
185 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
186 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
187 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
188 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
189 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
190 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
191 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
192 |
3% |
96% |
|
193 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
194 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
195 |
4% |
93% |
|
196 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
197 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
198 |
9% |
87% |
|
199 |
0.8% |
78% |
|
200 |
5% |
78% |
|
201 |
1.0% |
72% |
|
202 |
2% |
71% |
|
203 |
5% |
70% |
|
204 |
0.5% |
65% |
|
205 |
2% |
64% |
|
206 |
3% |
62% |
|
207 |
1.3% |
60% |
|
208 |
3% |
58% |
|
209 |
0.8% |
55% |
|
210 |
17% |
54% |
Median |
211 |
4% |
37% |
|
212 |
7% |
34% |
|
213 |
10% |
26% |
|
214 |
0.7% |
16% |
|
215 |
3% |
16% |
|
216 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
217 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
218 |
3% |
11% |
|
219 |
0.9% |
8% |
|
220 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
221 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
222 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
223 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
224 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
225 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
226 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
227 |
0% |
2% |
|
228 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
229 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
230 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
231 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
Majority |
232 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
233 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
234 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
235 |
0% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
236 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
237 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
238 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
239 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
240 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
241 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
242 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
166 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
167 |
0% |
100% |
|
168 |
0% |
100% |
|
169 |
0% |
100% |
|
170 |
0% |
100% |
|
171 |
0% |
100% |
|
172 |
0% |
100% |
|
173 |
0% |
100% |
|
174 |
0% |
100% |
|
175 |
0% |
100% |
|
176 |
0% |
100% |
|
177 |
0% |
100% |
|
178 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
179 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
180 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
181 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
182 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
183 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
184 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
185 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
186 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
187 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
188 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
189 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
190 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
191 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
192 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
193 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
194 |
2% |
97% |
|
195 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
196 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
197 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
198 |
18% |
93% |
|
199 |
1.2% |
76% |
|
200 |
11% |
74% |
|
201 |
0.8% |
64% |
|
202 |
9% |
63% |
|
203 |
4% |
54% |
Median |
204 |
4% |
50% |
|
205 |
1.2% |
47% |
|
206 |
0.5% |
45% |
|
207 |
9% |
45% |
|
208 |
0.8% |
36% |
|
209 |
2% |
35% |
|
210 |
0.6% |
33% |
|
211 |
0.6% |
33% |
|
212 |
2% |
32% |
|
213 |
0.3% |
30% |
|
214 |
2% |
30% |
|
215 |
4% |
28% |
|
216 |
5% |
24% |
|
217 |
7% |
19% |
|
218 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
219 |
0.3% |
12% |
|
220 |
3% |
12% |
|
221 |
6% |
9% |
|
222 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
223 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
224 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
225 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
226 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
227 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
228 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
229 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
230 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
231 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
Majority |
232 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
233 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
234 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
235 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
236 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
237 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
238 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
239 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
240 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
241 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
242 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
243 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
244 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
150 |
0% |
100% |
|
151 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
152 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
153 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
154 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
155 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
156 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
157 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
158 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
159 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
160 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
161 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
162 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
163 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
164 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
165 |
0% |
98.8% |
|
166 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
167 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
168 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
169 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
170 |
2% |
97% |
|
171 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
172 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
173 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
174 |
0.4% |
92% |
|
175 |
3% |
92% |
|
176 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
177 |
2% |
89% |
|
178 |
1.2% |
87% |
|
179 |
11% |
86% |
|
180 |
17% |
75% |
|
181 |
0.2% |
58% |
|
182 |
1.1% |
58% |
Last Result |
183 |
1.4% |
57% |
|
184 |
8% |
55% |
Median |
185 |
4% |
47% |
|
186 |
0.5% |
43% |
|
187 |
2% |
42% |
|
188 |
0.5% |
40% |
|
189 |
0.7% |
39% |
|
190 |
4% |
39% |
|
191 |
3% |
34% |
|
192 |
2% |
31% |
|
193 |
8% |
30% |
|
194 |
2% |
21% |
|
195 |
0.8% |
19% |
|
196 |
5% |
18% |
|
197 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
198 |
2% |
13% |
|
199 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
200 |
0.9% |
10% |
|
201 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
202 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
203 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
204 |
2% |
8% |
|
205 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
206 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
207 |
3% |
4% |
|
208 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
209 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
210 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
211 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
212 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
213 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
214 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
215 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
216 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
217 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
218 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
219 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
136 |
0% |
100% |
|
137 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
138 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
139 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
140 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
141 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
142 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
143 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
144 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
145 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
146 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
147 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
148 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
149 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
150 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
151 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
152 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
153 |
17% |
94% |
|
154 |
3% |
77% |
|
155 |
10% |
74% |
|
156 |
2% |
65% |
|
157 |
8% |
63% |
|
158 |
2% |
55% |
Median |
159 |
0.8% |
53% |
|
160 |
0.8% |
52% |
|
161 |
2% |
52% |
|
162 |
5% |
49% |
|
163 |
0.7% |
44% |
|
164 |
9% |
44% |
|
165 |
2% |
34% |
|
166 |
2% |
33% |
Last Result |
167 |
0.7% |
31% |
|
168 |
9% |
30% |
|
169 |
0.3% |
21% |
|
170 |
2% |
20% |
|
171 |
0.6% |
18% |
|
172 |
0.4% |
18% |
|
173 |
0.2% |
17% |
|
174 |
1.4% |
17% |
|
175 |
4% |
16% |
|
176 |
2% |
11% |
|
177 |
2% |
9% |
|
178 |
2% |
7% |
|
179 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
180 |
3% |
5% |
|
181 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
182 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
183 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
184 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
185 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
186 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
187 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
188 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
189 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
190 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
191 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
192 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
193 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
194 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
195 |
0% |
0% |
|
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
133 |
0% |
100% |
|
134 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
135 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
136 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
137 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
138 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
139 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
140 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
141 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
142 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
143 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
144 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
145 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
146 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
147 |
2% |
97% |
|
148 |
2% |
95% |
|
149 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
150 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
151 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
152 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
153 |
17% |
90% |
|
154 |
3% |
73% |
|
155 |
10% |
71% |
|
156 |
2% |
60% |
|
157 |
8% |
59% |
|
158 |
2% |
51% |
Median |
159 |
0.7% |
49% |
|
160 |
0.9% |
48% |
|
161 |
2% |
47% |
|
162 |
5% |
46% |
|
163 |
3% |
41% |
|
164 |
9% |
38% |
|
165 |
2% |
29% |
|
166 |
2% |
27% |
|
167 |
0.6% |
25% |
|
168 |
10% |
25% |
|
169 |
3% |
15% |
|
170 |
0.7% |
11% |
|
171 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
172 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
173 |
0.1% |
10% |
|
174 |
1.4% |
10% |
|
175 |
4% |
9% |
|
176 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
177 |
2% |
4% |
|
178 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
179 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
180 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
181 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
182 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
183 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
184 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
185 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
186 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
187 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
188 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
189 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
190 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
191 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
192 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
193 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IBRiS
- Commissioner(s): Rzeczpospolita
- Fieldwork period: 7–8 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1067
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.02%