Opinion Poll by CBOS, 16–23 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 37.6% | 44.0% | 42.1–46.0% | 41.6–46.5% | 41.1–47.0% | 40.2–47.9% |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 24.1% | 19.0% | 17.6–20.6% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.8–21.4% | 16.1–22.2% |
| Kukiz’15 | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.2% |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.6–7.0% |
| Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| .Nowoczesna | 7.6% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| KORWiN | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.3% |
| Lewica Razem | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 298 | 278–313 | 274–317 | 274–320 | 270–324 |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 138 | 117 | 110–126 | 107–130 | 104–136 | 96–141 |
| Kukiz’15 | 42 | 34 | 22–41 | 21–42 | 19–43 | 0–47 |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 16 | 20 | 0–23 | 0–23 | 0–26 | 0–30 |
| Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–12 | 0–14 | 0–20 |
| .Nowoczesna | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| KORWiN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewica Razem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0% | 100% | |
| 244 | 0% | 100% | |
| 245 | 0% | 100% | |
| 246 | 0% | 100% | |
| 247 | 0% | 100% | |
| 248 | 0% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0% | 100% | |
| 250 | 0% | 100% | |
| 251 | 0% | 100% | |
| 252 | 0% | 100% | |
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 100% | |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 260 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 261 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 262 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 263 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 264 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 265 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 266 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 268 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 269 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 270 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 271 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 272 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 273 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 274 | 5% | 98% | |
| 275 | 2% | 94% | |
| 276 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 277 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 278 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 279 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 280 | 3% | 90% | |
| 281 | 1.4% | 87% | |
| 282 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 283 | 2% | 84% | |
| 284 | 5% | 82% | |
| 285 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 286 | 0.2% | 76% | |
| 287 | 2% | 76% | |
| 288 | 2% | 74% | |
| 289 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 290 | 6% | 71% | |
| 291 | 5% | 66% | |
| 292 | 0.3% | 61% | |
| 293 | 0.3% | 61% | |
| 294 | 5% | 61% | |
| 295 | 1.2% | 55% | |
| 296 | 2% | 54% | |
| 297 | 2% | 52% | |
| 298 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 299 | 4% | 46% | |
| 300 | 12% | 42% | |
| 301 | 7% | 30% | |
| 302 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 303 | 2% | 22% | |
| 304 | 0.9% | 21% | |
| 305 | 3% | 20% | |
| 306 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 307 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 308 | 2% | 15% | |
| 309 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 310 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 311 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 312 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 313 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 314 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 315 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 316 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 317 | 3% | 7% | |
| 318 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 319 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 320 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 321 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 322 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 323 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 324 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 325 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 326 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 327 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 328 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 329 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma Obywatelska page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 106 | 2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 109 | 4% | 94% | |
| 110 | 12% | 90% | |
| 111 | 4% | 78% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 73% | |
| 113 | 5% | 72% | |
| 114 | 3% | 68% | |
| 115 | 4% | 65% | |
| 116 | 3% | 60% | |
| 117 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 118 | 3% | 47% | |
| 119 | 5% | 44% | |
| 120 | 7% | 39% | |
| 121 | 2% | 32% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 30% | |
| 123 | 9% | 29% | |
| 124 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 125 | 5% | 19% | |
| 126 | 5% | 14% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 128 | 2% | 8% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 139 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Kukiz’15
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kukiz’15 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 21 | 3% | 96% | |
| 22 | 8% | 93% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 24 | 3% | 85% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 82% | |
| 26 | 3% | 81% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 77% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 77% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 76% | |
| 30 | 9% | 75% | |
| 31 | 6% | 67% | |
| 32 | 3% | 61% | |
| 33 | 7% | 58% | |
| 34 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 35 | 6% | 47% | |
| 36 | 2% | 41% | |
| 37 | 10% | 38% | |
| 38 | 8% | 28% | |
| 39 | 2% | 20% | |
| 40 | 5% | 19% | |
| 41 | 4% | 13% | |
| 42 | 4% | 9% | Last Result |
| 43 | 2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 63% | |
| 2 | 0% | 63% | |
| 3 | 0% | 63% | |
| 4 | 0% | 63% | |
| 5 | 0% | 63% | |
| 6 | 0% | 63% | |
| 7 | 0% | 63% | |
| 8 | 0% | 63% | |
| 9 | 0% | 63% | |
| 10 | 0% | 63% | |
| 11 | 0% | 63% | |
| 12 | 0% | 63% | |
| 13 | 0% | 63% | |
| 14 | 0% | 63% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 63% | |
| 16 | 1.5% | 63% | Last Result |
| 17 | 4% | 62% | |
| 18 | 4% | 58% | |
| 19 | 2% | 53% | |
| 20 | 22% | 51% | Median |
| 21 | 1.0% | 29% | |
| 22 | 9% | 28% | |
| 23 | 14% | 19% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
.Nowoczesna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the .Nowoczesna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
KORWiN
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KORWiN page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Lewica Razem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lewica Razem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 298 | 100% | 278–313 | 274–317 | 274–320 | 270–324 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem | 182 | 133 | 0% | 117–146 | 112–148 | 109–148 | 101–161 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna | 182 | 132 | 0% | 117–146 | 111–148 | 109–148 | 101–154 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna | 182 | 133 | 0% | 117–146 | 112–148 | 109–148 | 101–161 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna | 166 | 118 | 0% | 110–128 | 108–133 | 105–137 | 96–144 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna | 166 | 117 | 0% | 110–126 | 107–130 | 104–136 | 96–141 |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 138 | 117 | 0% | 110–126 | 107–130 | 104–136 | 96–141 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0% | 100% | |
| 244 | 0% | 100% | |
| 245 | 0% | 100% | |
| 246 | 0% | 100% | |
| 247 | 0% | 100% | |
| 248 | 0% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0% | 100% | |
| 250 | 0% | 100% | |
| 251 | 0% | 100% | |
| 252 | 0% | 100% | |
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 100% | |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 260 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 261 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 262 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 263 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 264 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 265 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 266 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 268 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 269 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 270 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 271 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 272 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 273 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 274 | 5% | 98% | |
| 275 | 2% | 94% | |
| 276 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 277 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 278 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 279 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 280 | 3% | 90% | |
| 281 | 1.4% | 87% | |
| 282 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 283 | 2% | 84% | |
| 284 | 5% | 82% | |
| 285 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 286 | 0.2% | 76% | |
| 287 | 2% | 76% | |
| 288 | 2% | 74% | |
| 289 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 290 | 6% | 71% | |
| 291 | 5% | 66% | |
| 292 | 0.3% | 61% | |
| 293 | 0.3% | 61% | |
| 294 | 5% | 61% | |
| 295 | 1.2% | 55% | |
| 296 | 2% | 54% | |
| 297 | 2% | 52% | |
| 298 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 299 | 4% | 46% | |
| 300 | 12% | 42% | |
| 301 | 7% | 30% | |
| 302 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 303 | 2% | 22% | |
| 304 | 0.9% | 21% | |
| 305 | 3% | 20% | |
| 306 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 307 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 308 | 2% | 15% | |
| 309 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 310 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 311 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 312 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 313 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 314 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 315 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 316 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 317 | 3% | 7% | |
| 318 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 319 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 320 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 321 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 322 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 323 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 324 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 325 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 326 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 327 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 328 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 329 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 109 | 2% | 98% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 113 | 0% | 94% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 115 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 117 | 4% | 92% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 119 | 2% | 88% | |
| 120 | 5% | 85% | |
| 121 | 2% | 81% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 123 | 2% | 78% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 76% | |
| 125 | 6% | 75% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 69% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 128 | 1.3% | 69% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 130 | 7% | 67% | |
| 131 | 5% | 60% | |
| 132 | 2% | 55% | |
| 133 | 10% | 53% | |
| 134 | 3% | 43% | |
| 135 | 4% | 40% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 36% | |
| 137 | 6% | 35% | Median |
| 138 | 2% | 29% | |
| 139 | 2% | 27% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 25% | |
| 141 | 3% | 24% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 143 | 2% | 21% | |
| 144 | 3% | 19% | |
| 145 | 1.3% | 16% | |
| 146 | 6% | 15% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 148 | 5% | 8% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 109 | 2% | 98% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 114 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 115 | 2% | 93% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 117 | 4% | 91% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 88% | |
| 119 | 2% | 87% | |
| 120 | 6% | 85% | |
| 121 | 2% | 79% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 123 | 2% | 76% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 74% | |
| 125 | 6% | 73% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 67% | |
| 127 | 2% | 67% | |
| 128 | 1.3% | 65% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 64% | |
| 130 | 7% | 63% | |
| 131 | 5% | 56% | |
| 132 | 3% | 51% | |
| 133 | 9% | 48% | |
| 134 | 3% | 39% | |
| 135 | 4% | 36% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 137 | 6% | 31% | Median |
| 138 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 139 | 2% | 24% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 141 | 2% | 21% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 143 | 2% | 18% | |
| 144 | 1.3% | 16% | |
| 145 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 146 | 5% | 13% | |
| 147 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 148 | 6% | 7% | |
| 149 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 102 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 109 | 2% | 98% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 113 | 0% | 94% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 115 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 117 | 4% | 92% | |
| 118 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 119 | 2% | 88% | |
| 120 | 5% | 85% | |
| 121 | 2% | 81% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 123 | 2% | 78% | |
| 124 | 1.2% | 76% | |
| 125 | 6% | 75% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 69% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 128 | 1.3% | 69% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 130 | 7% | 67% | |
| 131 | 5% | 60% | |
| 132 | 2% | 55% | |
| 133 | 10% | 53% | |
| 134 | 3% | 43% | |
| 135 | 4% | 40% | |
| 136 | 0.8% | 36% | |
| 137 | 6% | 35% | Median |
| 138 | 2% | 29% | |
| 139 | 2% | 27% | |
| 140 | 1.1% | 25% | |
| 141 | 3% | 24% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 143 | 2% | 21% | |
| 144 | 3% | 19% | |
| 145 | 1.3% | 16% | |
| 146 | 6% | 15% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 148 | 5% | 8% | |
| 149 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 152 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 153 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 154 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 155 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 106 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 109 | 2% | 95% | |
| 110 | 12% | 93% | |
| 111 | 4% | 80% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 76% | |
| 113 | 4% | 75% | |
| 114 | 3% | 71% | |
| 115 | 4% | 68% | |
| 116 | 2% | 63% | |
| 117 | 10% | 62% | Median |
| 118 | 3% | 51% | |
| 119 | 5% | 48% | |
| 120 | 6% | 44% | |
| 121 | 2% | 38% | |
| 122 | 1.5% | 36% | |
| 123 | 10% | 34% | |
| 124 | 2% | 25% | |
| 125 | 5% | 23% | |
| 126 | 5% | 17% | |
| 127 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 128 | 4% | 12% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 130 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 133 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 140 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 106 | 2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 109 | 4% | 94% | |
| 110 | 12% | 90% | |
| 111 | 4% | 78% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 73% | |
| 113 | 5% | 72% | |
| 114 | 3% | 68% | |
| 115 | 4% | 65% | |
| 116 | 3% | 60% | |
| 117 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 118 | 3% | 47% | |
| 119 | 5% | 44% | |
| 120 | 7% | 39% | |
| 121 | 2% | 32% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 30% | |
| 123 | 9% | 29% | |
| 124 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 125 | 5% | 19% | |
| 126 | 5% | 14% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 128 | 2% | 8% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 139 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Platforma Obywatelska
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 106 | 2% | 97% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 109 | 4% | 94% | |
| 110 | 12% | 90% | |
| 111 | 4% | 78% | |
| 112 | 1.1% | 73% | |
| 113 | 5% | 72% | |
| 114 | 3% | 68% | |
| 115 | 4% | 65% | |
| 116 | 3% | 60% | |
| 117 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 118 | 3% | 47% | |
| 119 | 5% | 44% | |
| 120 | 7% | 39% | |
| 121 | 2% | 32% | |
| 122 | 1.4% | 30% | |
| 123 | 9% | 29% | |
| 124 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 125 | 5% | 19% | |
| 126 | 5% | 14% | |
| 127 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 128 | 2% | 8% | |
| 129 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 133 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 136 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 137 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 139 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 140 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 141 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 144 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CBOS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 16–23 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1115
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 2.80%