Opinion Poll by IBRiS for Rzeczpospolita, 9–10 March 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 37.6% | 40.0% | 38.1–41.9% | 37.6–42.5% | 37.1–42.9% | 36.2–43.9% |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 24.1% | 21.0% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.1–23.1% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.0–24.3% |
| Kukiz’15 | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.2% |
| Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.2% |
| Wiosna | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.2% |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.4–8.1% |
| KORWiN | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| .Nowoczesna | 7.6% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 244 | 228–253 | 224–258 | 221–263 | 215–267 |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 138 | 113 | 108–128 | 105–132 | 105–135 | 94–139 |
| Kukiz’15 | 42 | 27 | 18–37 | 14–40 | 12–42 | 8–44 |
| Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej | 0 | 29 | 21–34 | 18–36 | 13–37 | 10–42 |
| Wiosna | 0 | 28 | 19–35 | 16–36 | 12–37 | 10–41 |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 16 | 22 | 0–25 | 0–26 | 0–28 | 0–32 |
| KORWiN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–12 |
| .Nowoczesna | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 212 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 214 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 216 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 218 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 220 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 221 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 222 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 223 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 224 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 225 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 226 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 227 | 2% | 92% | |
| 228 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 229 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 230 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 231 | 1.2% | 89% | Majority |
| 232 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 233 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 234 | 6% | 86% | |
| 235 | 0.6% | 81% | Last Result |
| 236 | 3% | 80% | |
| 237 | 2% | 77% | |
| 238 | 1.1% | 75% | |
| 239 | 4% | 74% | |
| 240 | 2% | 70% | |
| 241 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 242 | 12% | 68% | |
| 243 | 1.4% | 56% | |
| 244 | 5% | 55% | Median |
| 245 | 9% | 50% | |
| 246 | 3% | 41% | |
| 247 | 2% | 38% | |
| 248 | 13% | 36% | |
| 249 | 3% | 23% | |
| 250 | 2% | 20% | |
| 251 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 252 | 6% | 17% | |
| 253 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 254 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 255 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 256 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 257 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 258 | 2% | 7% | |
| 259 | 2% | 5% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 261 | 0% | 3% | |
| 262 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 263 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 264 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 265 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 266 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 267 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 269 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 270 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 272 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 274 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 278 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma Obywatelska page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 105 | 3% | 98% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 107 | 2% | 94% | |
| 108 | 11% | 91% | |
| 109 | 12% | 80% | |
| 110 | 2% | 68% | |
| 111 | 3% | 66% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 63% | |
| 113 | 22% | 62% | Median |
| 114 | 2% | 41% | |
| 115 | 3% | 38% | |
| 116 | 5% | 35% | |
| 117 | 7% | 30% | |
| 118 | 3% | 22% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 19% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 17% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 125 | 2% | 14% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 128 | 2% | 12% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 130 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 131 | 2% | 7% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 134 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Kukiz’15
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kukiz’15 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 14 | 4% | 97% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 18 | 6% | 91% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 85% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 84% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 83% | |
| 22 | 9% | 82% | |
| 23 | 9% | 73% | |
| 24 | 8% | 64% | |
| 25 | 2% | 56% | |
| 26 | 2% | 53% | |
| 27 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 28 | 13% | 44% | |
| 29 | 5% | 31% | |
| 30 | 8% | 26% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 18% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 16% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 36 | 3% | 13% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 38 | 2% | 9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 7% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 42 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 18 | 2% | 95% | |
| 19 | 3% | 93% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 22 | 4% | 89% | |
| 23 | 3% | 85% | |
| 24 | 2% | 82% | |
| 25 | 2% | 80% | |
| 26 | 9% | 77% | |
| 27 | 4% | 68% | |
| 28 | 11% | 64% | |
| 29 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 30 | 17% | 49% | |
| 31 | 7% | 32% | |
| 32 | 3% | 25% | |
| 33 | 9% | 21% | |
| 34 | 4% | 13% | |
| 35 | 2% | 9% | |
| 36 | 4% | 7% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Wiosna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Wiosna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 17 | 2% | 95% | |
| 18 | 2% | 93% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 23 | 3% | 89% | |
| 24 | 2% | 86% | |
| 25 | 8% | 84% | |
| 26 | 3% | 76% | |
| 27 | 7% | 73% | |
| 28 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 29 | 4% | 48% | |
| 30 | 4% | 44% | |
| 31 | 17% | 40% | |
| 32 | 5% | 23% | |
| 33 | 2% | 18% | |
| 34 | 6% | 16% | |
| 35 | 3% | 10% | |
| 36 | 4% | 7% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 88% | |
| 2 | 0% | 88% | |
| 3 | 0% | 88% | |
| 4 | 0% | 88% | |
| 5 | 0% | 88% | |
| 6 | 0% | 88% | |
| 7 | 0% | 88% | |
| 8 | 0% | 88% | |
| 9 | 0% | 88% | |
| 10 | 0% | 88% | |
| 11 | 0% | 88% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 13 | 0% | 88% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 87% | |
| 16 | 2% | 86% | Last Result |
| 17 | 5% | 84% | |
| 18 | 5% | 79% | |
| 19 | 12% | 74% | |
| 20 | 5% | 63% | |
| 21 | 3% | 58% | |
| 22 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 23 | 4% | 46% | |
| 24 | 27% | 42% | |
| 25 | 8% | 15% | |
| 26 | 3% | 8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
KORWiN
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KORWiN page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
.Nowoczesna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the .Nowoczesna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 244 | 89% | 228–253 | 224–258 | 221–263 | 215–267 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna | 182 | 162 | 0% | 147–176 | 144–179 | 138–183 | 136–189 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna | 166 | 143 | 0% | 132–155 | 126–160 | 124–162 | 121–170 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna | 182 | 133 | 0% | 118–149 | 117–153 | 116–157 | 110–162 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna | 166 | 113 | 0% | 108–128 | 105–132 | 105–135 | 94–139 |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 138 | 113 | 0% | 108–128 | 105–132 | 105–135 | 94–139 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 212 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 214 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 216 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 218 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 220 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 221 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 222 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 223 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 224 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 225 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 226 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 227 | 2% | 92% | |
| 228 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 229 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 230 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 231 | 1.2% | 89% | Majority |
| 232 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 233 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 234 | 6% | 86% | |
| 235 | 0.6% | 81% | Last Result |
| 236 | 3% | 80% | |
| 237 | 2% | 77% | |
| 238 | 1.1% | 75% | |
| 239 | 4% | 74% | |
| 240 | 2% | 70% | |
| 241 | 0.4% | 69% | |
| 242 | 12% | 68% | |
| 243 | 1.4% | 56% | |
| 244 | 5% | 55% | Median |
| 245 | 9% | 50% | |
| 246 | 3% | 41% | |
| 247 | 2% | 38% | |
| 248 | 13% | 36% | |
| 249 | 3% | 23% | |
| 250 | 2% | 20% | |
| 251 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 252 | 6% | 17% | |
| 253 | 1.5% | 11% | |
| 254 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 255 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 256 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 257 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 258 | 2% | 7% | |
| 259 | 2% | 5% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 261 | 0% | 3% | |
| 262 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 263 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 264 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 265 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 266 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 267 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 269 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 270 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 272 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 274 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 278 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 133 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 138 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 140 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 141 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 144 | 2% | 96% | |
| 145 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 146 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 147 | 4% | 91% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 149 | 1.1% | 87% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 86% | |
| 151 | 4% | 85% | |
| 152 | 2% | 81% | |
| 153 | 0.3% | 79% | |
| 154 | 3% | 79% | |
| 155 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 156 | 0.8% | 75% | |
| 157 | 0.9% | 74% | |
| 158 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 159 | 7% | 72% | |
| 160 | 4% | 64% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 60% | |
| 162 | 11% | 60% | |
| 163 | 2% | 49% | |
| 164 | 8% | 47% | Median |
| 165 | 3% | 38% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 35% | |
| 167 | 1.3% | 34% | |
| 168 | 6% | 33% | |
| 169 | 4% | 27% | |
| 170 | 1.1% | 23% | |
| 171 | 4% | 22% | |
| 172 | 3% | 18% | |
| 173 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 174 | 1.1% | 14% | |
| 175 | 2% | 13% | |
| 176 | 2% | 11% | |
| 177 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 178 | 2% | 9% | |
| 179 | 2% | 7% | |
| 180 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 181 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 182 | 0.3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 185 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 194 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 195 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | 0% | 100% | |
| 112 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 113 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 114 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 124 | 2% | 98% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 127 | 2% | 95% | |
| 128 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 131 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 132 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 133 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 134 | 8% | 89% | |
| 135 | 1.2% | 81% | |
| 136 | 5% | 79% | |
| 137 | 2% | 74% | |
| 138 | 4% | 72% | |
| 139 | 1.1% | 68% | |
| 140 | 1.4% | 67% | |
| 141 | 4% | 66% | |
| 142 | 8% | 62% | Median |
| 143 | 10% | 54% | |
| 144 | 7% | 44% | |
| 145 | 1.1% | 37% | |
| 146 | 4% | 36% | |
| 147 | 8% | 32% | |
| 148 | 2% | 24% | |
| 149 | 1.5% | 22% | |
| 150 | 0.7% | 21% | |
| 151 | 3% | 20% | |
| 152 | 2% | 17% | |
| 153 | 2% | 15% | |
| 154 | 3% | 13% | |
| 155 | 2% | 10% | |
| 156 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 157 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 158 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 159 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 160 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 165 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 172 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 0% | 100% | |
| 104 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 105 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 106 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 108 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 109 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 111 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 116 | 3% | 98% | |
| 117 | 5% | 95% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 119 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 120 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 122 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 124 | 2% | 88% | |
| 125 | 3% | 86% | |
| 126 | 2% | 84% | |
| 127 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 128 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 129 | 2% | 80% | |
| 130 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 131 | 8% | 76% | |
| 132 | 15% | 68% | |
| 133 | 12% | 53% | |
| 134 | 1.0% | 42% | |
| 135 | 2% | 41% | Median |
| 136 | 2% | 38% | |
| 137 | 11% | 36% | |
| 138 | 2% | 25% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 141 | 3% | 22% | |
| 142 | 2% | 20% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 144 | 2% | 16% | |
| 145 | 1.5% | 14% | |
| 146 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 147 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 148 | 2% | 12% | |
| 149 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 150 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 151 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 152 | 3% | 8% | |
| 153 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 154 | 2% | 5% | |
| 155 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 158 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% | |
| 170 | 0% | 0% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0% | |
| 172 | 0% | 0% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% | |
| 181 | 0% | 0% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 105 | 3% | 98% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 107 | 2% | 94% | |
| 108 | 11% | 91% | |
| 109 | 12% | 80% | |
| 110 | 2% | 68% | |
| 111 | 3% | 66% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 63% | |
| 113 | 22% | 62% | Median |
| 114 | 2% | 41% | |
| 115 | 3% | 38% | |
| 116 | 5% | 35% | |
| 117 | 7% | 30% | |
| 118 | 3% | 22% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 19% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 17% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 125 | 2% | 14% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 128 | 2% | 12% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 130 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 131 | 2% | 7% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 134 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% | |
| 146 | 0% | 0% | |
| 147 | 0% | 0% | |
| 148 | 0% | 0% | |
| 149 | 0% | 0% | |
| 150 | 0% | 0% | |
| 151 | 0% | 0% | |
| 152 | 0% | 0% | |
| 153 | 0% | 0% | |
| 154 | 0% | 0% | |
| 155 | 0% | 0% | |
| 156 | 0% | 0% | |
| 157 | 0% | 0% | |
| 158 | 0% | 0% | |
| 159 | 0% | 0% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Platforma Obywatelska
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 105 | 3% | 98% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 107 | 2% | 94% | |
| 108 | 11% | 91% | |
| 109 | 12% | 80% | |
| 110 | 2% | 68% | |
| 111 | 3% | 66% | |
| 112 | 1.3% | 63% | |
| 113 | 22% | 62% | Median |
| 114 | 2% | 41% | |
| 115 | 3% | 38% | |
| 116 | 5% | 35% | |
| 117 | 7% | 30% | |
| 118 | 3% | 22% | |
| 119 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 120 | 1.4% | 19% | |
| 121 | 0.3% | 17% | |
| 122 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 123 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 124 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 125 | 2% | 14% | |
| 126 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 127 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 128 | 2% | 12% | |
| 129 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 130 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 131 | 2% | 7% | |
| 132 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 134 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 135 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 136 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 139 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 142 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 144 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 145 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IBRiS
- Commissioner(s): Rzeczpospolita
- Fieldwork period: 9–10 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1100
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.22%