Opinion Poll by CBOS, 7–14 March 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość 37.6% 44.0% 42.0–46.0% 41.5–46.5% 41.0–47.0% 40.1–48.0%
Platforma Obywatelska 24.1% 20.0% 18.5–21.6% 18.0–22.1% 17.7–22.5% 17.0–23.3%
Kukiz’15 8.8% 5.0% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe 5.1% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Wiosna 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej 7.6% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
.Nowoczesna 7.6% 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
KORWiN 4.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.0%
Lewica Razem 3.6% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość 235 312 303–324 295–338 294–340 285–340
Platforma Obywatelska 138 131 120–143 118–147 117–151 111–157
Kukiz’15 42 20 0–26 0–26 0–27 0–37
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe 16 0 0 0 0–19 0–23
Wiosna 0 0 0 0 0–15 0–23
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej 0 0 0 0 0 0
.Nowoczesna 28 0 0 0 0 0
KORWiN 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lewica Razem 0 0 0 0 0 0

Prawo i Sprawiedliwość

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100% Last Result
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0.1% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0.2% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.6%  
285 0% 99.5%  
286 0.3% 99.5%  
287 0.1% 99.2%  
288 0.1% 99.1%  
289 0.5% 99.1%  
290 0.2% 98.6%  
291 0.1% 98%  
292 0.2% 98%  
293 0.1% 98%  
294 3% 98%  
295 4% 95%  
296 0.1% 92%  
297 0.4% 92%  
298 0.2% 91%  
299 0.2% 91%  
300 0.4% 91%  
301 0.2% 91%  
302 0.1% 90%  
303 38% 90%  
304 0.3% 52%  
305 0.1% 52%  
306 0.1% 51%  
307 0.4% 51%  
308 0.2% 51%  
309 0.6% 51%  
310 0.1% 50%  
311 0.1% 50%  
312 3% 50% Median
313 2% 47%  
314 0.8% 45%  
315 3% 44%  
316 0.2% 41%  
317 3% 41%  
318 0% 38%  
319 0.3% 38%  
320 0.4% 38%  
321 5% 37%  
322 22% 33%  
323 0.1% 11%  
324 1.1% 11%  
325 0% 9%  
326 0% 9%  
327 0.5% 9%  
328 0% 9%  
329 0% 9%  
330 0.1% 9%  
331 0.9% 9%  
332 0% 8%  
333 0.7% 8%  
334 0.3% 7%  
335 2% 7%  
336 0.2% 5%  
337 0.1% 5%  
338 0.2% 5%  
339 0.2% 5%  
340 4% 5%  
341 0.3% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0%  

Platforma Obywatelska

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma Obywatelska page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.6%  
111 0.2% 99.6%  
112 0.1% 99.5%  
113 0.1% 99.3%  
114 0.3% 99.2%  
115 0.3% 99.0%  
116 0% 98.7%  
117 1.2% 98.6%  
118 3% 97%  
119 1.1% 95%  
120 4% 94%  
121 0.4% 89%  
122 5% 89%  
123 20% 84%  
124 0.9% 64%  
125 2% 63%  
126 0.6% 61%  
127 1.5% 61%  
128 0.3% 59%  
129 3% 59%  
130 0.1% 56%  
131 37% 56% Median
132 0.2% 18%  
133 0.5% 18%  
134 0% 18%  
135 0.1% 17%  
136 0.4% 17%  
137 0.2% 17%  
138 0.1% 17% Last Result
139 5% 17%  
140 0.1% 12%  
141 0.4% 12%  
142 0.3% 11%  
143 5% 11%  
144 0.1% 6%  
145 0% 6%  
146 0.2% 6%  
147 1.3% 6%  
148 2% 4%  
149 0% 3%  
150 0% 3%  
151 0.6% 3%  
152 0% 2%  
153 0.1% 2%  
154 0.4% 2%  
155 0% 1.4%  
156 0.1% 1.3%  
157 0.9% 1.3%  
158 0% 0.4%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Kukiz’15

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kukiz’15 page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 0% 78%  
5 0% 78%  
6 0% 78%  
7 0% 78%  
8 0% 78%  
9 0% 78%  
10 0% 78%  
11 0% 78%  
12 0.1% 78%  
13 0% 78%  
14 0.3% 78%  
15 20% 77%  
16 0.5% 58%  
17 0.5% 57%  
18 2% 57%  
19 3% 55%  
20 2% 52% Median
21 1.4% 49%  
22 4% 48%  
23 3% 44%  
24 0.2% 41%  
25 0.7% 41%  
26 37% 40%  
27 0.2% 3%  
28 0.7% 2%  
29 0.1% 2%  
30 0% 2%  
31 0.2% 2%  
32 0.2% 1.4%  
33 0% 1.3%  
34 0.3% 1.3%  
35 0.3% 0.9%  
36 0.1% 0.6%  
37 0.4% 0.5%  
38 0% 0.2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 0% 3%  
9 0% 3%  
10 0% 3%  
11 0% 3%  
12 0% 3%  
13 0% 3%  
14 0% 3%  
15 0% 3%  
16 0% 3% Last Result
17 0% 3%  
18 0% 3%  
19 0.7% 3%  
20 0.9% 2%  
21 0.4% 1.2%  
22 0.2% 0.7%  
23 0.3% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Wiosna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Wiosna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 0% 3%  
9 0% 3%  
10 0% 3%  
11 0% 3%  
12 0% 3%  
13 0% 3%  
14 0.3% 3%  
15 0% 3%  
16 0.1% 2%  
17 0% 2%  
18 0% 2%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.7%  
21 0% 0.6%  
22 0.1% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.3%  
26 0% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.2%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

.Nowoczesna

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the .Nowoczesna page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

KORWiN

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KORWiN page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Lewica Razem

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lewica Razem page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość 235 312 100% 303–324 295–338 294–340 285–340
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem 182 131 0% 121–143 119–148 118–151 112–163
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna 182 131 0% 121–143 119–148 118–151 112–163
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna 182 131 0% 121–143 119–148 118–151 112–163
Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna 166 131 0% 120–143 118–147 117–151 111–157
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna 166 131 0% 120–143 118–147 117–151 111–157
Platforma Obywatelska 138 131 0% 120–143 118–147 117–151 111–157

Prawo i Sprawiedliwość

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100% Last Result
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0.1% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0.2% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.6%  
285 0% 99.5%  
286 0.3% 99.5%  
287 0.1% 99.2%  
288 0.1% 99.1%  
289 0.5% 99.1%  
290 0.2% 98.6%  
291 0.1% 98%  
292 0.2% 98%  
293 0.1% 98%  
294 3% 98%  
295 4% 95%  
296 0.1% 92%  
297 0.4% 92%  
298 0.2% 91%  
299 0.2% 91%  
300 0.4% 91%  
301 0.2% 91%  
302 0.1% 90%  
303 38% 90%  
304 0.3% 52%  
305 0.1% 52%  
306 0.1% 51%  
307 0.4% 51%  
308 0.2% 51%  
309 0.6% 51%  
310 0.1% 50%  
311 0.1% 50%  
312 3% 50% Median
313 2% 47%  
314 0.8% 45%  
315 3% 44%  
316 0.2% 41%  
317 3% 41%  
318 0% 38%  
319 0.3% 38%  
320 0.4% 38%  
321 5% 37%  
322 22% 33%  
323 0.1% 11%  
324 1.1% 11%  
325 0% 9%  
326 0% 9%  
327 0.5% 9%  
328 0% 9%  
329 0% 9%  
330 0.1% 9%  
331 0.9% 9%  
332 0% 8%  
333 0.7% 8%  
334 0.3% 7%  
335 2% 7%  
336 0.2% 5%  
337 0.1% 5%  
338 0.2% 5%  
339 0.2% 5%  
340 4% 5%  
341 0.3% 0.3%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0%  

Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0.2% 99.7%  
112 0.1% 99.5%  
113 0.1% 99.4%  
114 0.2% 99.4%  
115 0.1% 99.1%  
116 0% 99.0%  
117 0.9% 99.0%  
118 3% 98%  
119 1.0% 96%  
120 4% 95%  
121 0.4% 90%  
122 5% 90%  
123 20% 85%  
124 0.8% 65%  
125 2% 64%  
126 0.6% 62%  
127 0.8% 62%  
128 0.2% 61%  
129 3% 61%  
130 0.1% 58%  
131 37% 58% Median
132 0.1% 20%  
133 0.5% 20%  
134 0.1% 20%  
135 0.1% 20%  
136 0.4% 20%  
137 0.5% 19%  
138 0.3% 19%  
139 5% 18%  
140 0.1% 13%  
141 0.4% 13%  
142 0% 13%  
143 5% 13%  
144 0.2% 8%  
145 0.1% 8%  
146 0.8% 8%  
147 1.3% 7%  
148 2% 6%  
149 0.1% 3%  
150 0.1% 3%  
151 0.8% 3%  
152 0.1% 2%  
153 0.1% 2%  
154 0.4% 2%  
155 0% 2%  
156 0.1% 2%  
157 0.9% 2%  
158 0% 0.9%  
159 0.1% 0.9%  
160 0.2% 0.7%  
161 0% 0.5%  
162 0% 0.5%  
163 0.3% 0.5%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0% Last Result

Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0.2% 99.7%  
112 0.1% 99.5%  
113 0.1% 99.4%  
114 0.2% 99.3%  
115 0.1% 99.1%  
116 0% 99.0%  
117 0.9% 99.0%  
118 3% 98%  
119 1.0% 96%  
120 4% 95%  
121 0.4% 90%  
122 5% 90%  
123 20% 85%  
124 0.8% 65%  
125 2% 64%  
126 0.6% 62%  
127 0.8% 62%  
128 0.2% 61%  
129 3% 61%  
130 0.1% 58%  
131 37% 58% Median
132 0.1% 20%  
133 0.5% 20%  
134 0.1% 20%  
135 0.1% 20%  
136 0.4% 20%  
137 0.5% 19%  
138 0.3% 19%  
139 5% 18%  
140 0.1% 13%  
141 0.4% 13%  
142 0% 13%  
143 5% 13%  
144 0.2% 8%  
145 0.1% 8%  
146 0.8% 8%  
147 1.3% 7%  
148 2% 5%  
149 0.1% 3%  
150 0.1% 3%  
151 0.8% 3%  
152 0.1% 2%  
153 0.1% 2%  
154 0.4% 2%  
155 0% 2%  
156 0.1% 2%  
157 0.9% 2%  
158 0% 0.9%  
159 0.1% 0.9%  
160 0.2% 0.7%  
161 0% 0.5%  
162 0% 0.5%  
163 0.3% 0.5%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0% Last Result

Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0.2% 99.7%  
112 0.1% 99.5%  
113 0.1% 99.4%  
114 0.2% 99.4%  
115 0.1% 99.1%  
116 0% 99.0%  
117 0.9% 99.0%  
118 3% 98%  
119 1.0% 96%  
120 4% 95%  
121 0.4% 90%  
122 5% 90%  
123 20% 85%  
124 0.8% 65%  
125 2% 64%  
126 0.6% 62%  
127 0.8% 62%  
128 0.2% 61%  
129 3% 61%  
130 0.1% 58%  
131 37% 58% Median
132 0.1% 20%  
133 0.5% 20%  
134 0.1% 20%  
135 0.1% 20%  
136 0.4% 20%  
137 0.5% 19%  
138 0.3% 19%  
139 5% 18%  
140 0.1% 13%  
141 0.4% 13%  
142 0% 13%  
143 5% 13%  
144 0.2% 8%  
145 0.1% 8%  
146 0.8% 8%  
147 1.3% 7%  
148 2% 6%  
149 0.1% 3%  
150 0.1% 3%  
151 0.8% 3%  
152 0.1% 2%  
153 0.1% 2%  
154 0.4% 2%  
155 0% 2%  
156 0.1% 2%  
157 0.9% 2%  
158 0% 0.9%  
159 0.1% 0.9%  
160 0.2% 0.7%  
161 0% 0.5%  
162 0% 0.5%  
163 0.3% 0.5%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0% Last Result

Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.6%  
111 0.2% 99.6%  
112 0.1% 99.5%  
113 0.1% 99.3%  
114 0.3% 99.2%  
115 0.3% 99.0%  
116 0% 98.7%  
117 1.2% 98.6%  
118 3% 97%  
119 1.1% 95%  
120 4% 94%  
121 0.4% 89%  
122 5% 89%  
123 20% 84%  
124 0.9% 64%  
125 2% 63%  
126 0.6% 61%  
127 1.5% 61%  
128 0.3% 59%  
129 3% 59%  
130 0.1% 56%  
131 37% 56% Median
132 0.2% 18%  
133 0.5% 18%  
134 0% 18%  
135 0.1% 17%  
136 0.4% 17%  
137 0.2% 17%  
138 0.1% 17%  
139 5% 17%  
140 0.1% 12%  
141 0.4% 12%  
142 0.3% 11%  
143 5% 11%  
144 0.1% 6%  
145 0% 6%  
146 0.2% 6%  
147 1.3% 6%  
148 2% 4%  
149 0% 3%  
150 0% 3%  
151 0.6% 3%  
152 0% 2%  
153 0.1% 2%  
154 0.4% 2%  
155 0% 1.4%  
156 0.1% 1.3%  
157 0.9% 1.3%  
158 0% 0.4%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1% Last Result
167 0% 0%  

Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0.2% 99.6%  
112 0.1% 99.5%  
113 0.1% 99.3%  
114 0.3% 99.2%  
115 0.3% 99.0%  
116 0% 98.7%  
117 1.2% 98.7%  
118 3% 97%  
119 1.1% 95%  
120 4% 94%  
121 0.4% 89%  
122 5% 89%  
123 20% 84%  
124 0.9% 64%  
125 2% 63%  
126 0.6% 61%  
127 1.5% 61%  
128 0.3% 59%  
129 3% 59%  
130 0.1% 56%  
131 37% 56% Median
132 0.2% 18%  
133 0.5% 18%  
134 0% 18%  
135 0.1% 18%  
136 0.4% 17%  
137 0.2% 17%  
138 0.1% 17%  
139 5% 17%  
140 0.1% 12%  
141 0.4% 12%  
142 0.3% 11%  
143 5% 11%  
144 0.1% 6%  
145 0% 6%  
146 0.2% 6%  
147 1.3% 6%  
148 2% 4%  
149 0% 3%  
150 0% 3%  
151 0.6% 3%  
152 0% 2%  
153 0.1% 2%  
154 0.4% 2%  
155 0% 1.4%  
156 0.1% 1.3%  
157 0.9% 1.3%  
158 0% 0.4%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1% Last Result
167 0% 0%  

Platforma Obywatelska

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.6%  
111 0.2% 99.6%  
112 0.1% 99.5%  
113 0.1% 99.3%  
114 0.3% 99.2%  
115 0.3% 99.0%  
116 0% 98.7%  
117 1.2% 98.6%  
118 3% 97%  
119 1.1% 95%  
120 4% 94%  
121 0.4% 89%  
122 5% 89%  
123 20% 84%  
124 0.9% 64%  
125 2% 63%  
126 0.6% 61%  
127 1.5% 61%  
128 0.3% 59%  
129 3% 59%  
130 0.1% 56%  
131 37% 56% Median
132 0.2% 18%  
133 0.5% 18%  
134 0% 18%  
135 0.1% 17%  
136 0.4% 17%  
137 0.2% 17%  
138 0.1% 17% Last Result
139 5% 17%  
140 0.1% 12%  
141 0.4% 12%  
142 0.3% 11%  
143 5% 11%  
144 0.1% 6%  
145 0% 6%  
146 0.2% 6%  
147 1.3% 6%  
148 2% 4%  
149 0% 3%  
150 0% 3%  
151 0.6% 3%  
152 0% 2%  
153 0.1% 2%  
154 0.4% 2%  
155 0% 1.4%  
156 0.1% 1.3%  
157 0.9% 1.3%  
158 0% 0.4%  
159 0.1% 0.4%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations