Opinion Poll by CBM Indicator for TVP1, 20–22 March 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 37.6% | 40.9% | 38.9–42.9% | 38.4–43.5% | 37.9–44.0% | 36.9–44.9% |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 24.1% | 25.7% | 24.0–27.5% | 23.5–28.1% | 23.1–28.5% | 22.3–29.4% |
| Wiosna | 0.0% | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| Kukiz’15 | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| .Nowoczesna | 7.6% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| Lewica Razem | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| KORWiN | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 239 | 225–250 | 225–255 | 223–259 | 213–268 |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 138 | 148 | 134–156 | 129–157 | 123–159 | 122–165 |
| Wiosna | 0 | 36 | 29–42 | 29–46 | 28–48 | 27–52 |
| Kukiz’15 | 42 | 16 | 8–24 | 0–28 | 0–33 | 0–36 |
| Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe | 16 | 18 | 0–24 | 0–24 | 0–24 | 0–27 |
| Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej | 0 | 12 | 0–20 | 0–26 | 0–26 | 0–28 |
| .Nowoczesna | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewica Razem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| KORWiN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Prawo i Sprawiedliwość page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 211 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 212 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 213 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 216 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 217 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 219 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 220 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 223 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 224 | 2% | 97% | |
| 225 | 10% | 95% | |
| 226 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 227 | 3% | 84% | |
| 228 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 229 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 230 | 4% | 81% | |
| 231 | 1.3% | 76% | Majority |
| 232 | 5% | 75% | |
| 233 | 3% | 70% | |
| 234 | 2% | 67% | |
| 235 | 1.0% | 65% | Last Result |
| 236 | 4% | 64% | |
| 237 | 0.3% | 60% | |
| 238 | 6% | 59% | |
| 239 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 240 | 4% | 40% | |
| 241 | 0.6% | 36% | |
| 242 | 3% | 35% | |
| 243 | 4% | 33% | |
| 244 | 5% | 29% | |
| 245 | 10% | 24% | |
| 246 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 247 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 248 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 249 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 250 | 2% | 11% | |
| 251 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 252 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 253 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 254 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 255 | 2% | 6% | |
| 256 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 257 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 258 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 259 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 262 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 263 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 264 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 265 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 268 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 269 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 274 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 275 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 276 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Platforma Obywatelska page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 123 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 133 | 2% | 92% | |
| 134 | 6% | 90% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 136 | 10% | 83% | |
| 137 | 3% | 73% | |
| 138 | 3% | 70% | Last Result |
| 139 | 0.8% | 67% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 66% | |
| 141 | 3% | 66% | |
| 142 | 2% | 63% | |
| 143 | 3% | 61% | |
| 144 | 5% | 58% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 53% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 52% | |
| 147 | 2% | 52% | |
| 148 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 149 | 13% | 46% | |
| 150 | 14% | 33% | |
| 151 | 5% | 19% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 156 | 4% | 12% | |
| 157 | 4% | 8% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% |
Wiosna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Wiosna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 7% | 97% | |
| 30 | 12% | 90% | |
| 31 | 5% | 78% | |
| 32 | 3% | 73% | |
| 33 | 5% | 70% | |
| 34 | 11% | 65% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 54% | |
| 36 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 37 | 9% | 49% | |
| 38 | 2% | 40% | |
| 39 | 2% | 38% | |
| 40 | 11% | 36% | |
| 41 | 9% | 25% | |
| 42 | 8% | 16% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 48 | 3% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Kukiz’15
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kukiz’15 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 8 | 7% | 93% | |
| 9 | 5% | 86% | |
| 10 | 9% | 81% | |
| 11 | 6% | 72% | |
| 12 | 3% | 66% | |
| 13 | 2% | 63% | |
| 14 | 2% | 61% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 59% | |
| 16 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 47% | |
| 18 | 8% | 46% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 38% | |
| 20 | 2% | 37% | |
| 21 | 4% | 35% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 31% | |
| 23 | 10% | 30% | |
| 24 | 11% | 20% | |
| 25 | 2% | 9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 7% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 72% | |
| 2 | 0% | 72% | |
| 3 | 0% | 72% | |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 0% | 72% | |
| 7 | 0% | 72% | |
| 8 | 0% | 72% | |
| 9 | 0% | 72% | |
| 10 | 0% | 72% | |
| 11 | 0% | 72% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 72% | |
| 13 | 2% | 72% | |
| 14 | 2% | 70% | |
| 15 | 8% | 69% | |
| 16 | 3% | 61% | Last Result |
| 17 | 4% | 58% | |
| 18 | 30% | 54% | Median |
| 19 | 2% | 23% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 22% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 21% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 23 | 6% | 20% | |
| 24 | 12% | 14% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 78% | |
| 2 | 0% | 78% | |
| 3 | 0% | 78% | |
| 4 | 0% | 78% | |
| 5 | 0% | 78% | |
| 6 | 0% | 78% | |
| 7 | 3% | 78% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 75% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 75% | |
| 10 | 16% | 74% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 59% | |
| 12 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 13 | 6% | 49% | |
| 14 | 11% | 43% | |
| 15 | 10% | 32% | |
| 16 | 7% | 23% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 18 | 2% | 15% | |
| 19 | 2% | 13% | |
| 20 | 2% | 11% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 26 | 5% | 7% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
.Nowoczesna
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the .Nowoczesna page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Lewica Razem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lewica Razem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
KORWiN
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KORWiN page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prawo i Sprawiedliwość | 235 | 239 | 76% | 225–250 | 225–255 | 223–259 | 213–268 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem | 182 | 166 | 0% | 156–183 | 151–185 | 150–185 | 139–195 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna | 182 | 166 | 0% | 156–183 | 151–185 | 150–185 | 139–195 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna | 182 | 154 | 0% | 144–174 | 139–180 | 134–180 | 128–180 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna | 166 | 157 | 0% | 142–166 | 138–170 | 134–176 | 128–182 |
| Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna | 166 | 148 | 0% | 134–156 | 129–157 | 123–159 | 122–165 |
| Platforma Obywatelska | 138 | 148 | 0% | 134–156 | 129–157 | 123–159 | 122–165 |
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 211 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 212 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 213 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 214 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 215 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 216 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 217 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 218 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 219 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 220 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 223 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 224 | 2% | 97% | |
| 225 | 10% | 95% | |
| 226 | 0.6% | 85% | |
| 227 | 3% | 84% | |
| 228 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 229 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 230 | 4% | 81% | |
| 231 | 1.3% | 76% | Majority |
| 232 | 5% | 75% | |
| 233 | 3% | 70% | |
| 234 | 2% | 67% | |
| 235 | 1.0% | 65% | Last Result |
| 236 | 4% | 64% | |
| 237 | 0.3% | 60% | |
| 238 | 6% | 59% | |
| 239 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 240 | 4% | 40% | |
| 241 | 0.6% | 36% | |
| 242 | 3% | 35% | |
| 243 | 4% | 33% | |
| 244 | 5% | 29% | |
| 245 | 10% | 24% | |
| 246 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 247 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 248 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 249 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 250 | 2% | 11% | |
| 251 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 252 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 253 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 254 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 255 | 2% | 6% | |
| 256 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 257 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 258 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 259 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 262 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 263 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 264 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 265 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 268 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 269 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 274 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 275 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 276 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna – Lewica Razem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 149 | 0% | 98% | |
| 150 | 2% | 98% | |
| 151 | 3% | 96% | |
| 152 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 159 | 3% | 87% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 163 | 2% | 83% | |
| 164 | 12% | 81% | |
| 165 | 16% | 68% | |
| 166 | 4% | 52% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 48% | |
| 168 | 2% | 47% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 45% | |
| 170 | 6% | 45% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 39% | |
| 172 | 1.1% | 39% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 174 | 2% | 37% | |
| 175 | 1.1% | 35% | |
| 176 | 4% | 34% | |
| 177 | 1.4% | 30% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 29% | Median |
| 179 | 1.2% | 28% | |
| 180 | 5% | 27% | |
| 181 | 11% | 22% | |
| 182 | 0.9% | 11% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 184 | 3% | 10% | |
| 185 | 5% | 7% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 195 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 128 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 129 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 132 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 135 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 136 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 140 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 142 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 143 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 144 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 145 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 146 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 147 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 148 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 149 | 0% | 98% | |
| 150 | 2% | 98% | |
| 151 | 3% | 96% | |
| 152 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 155 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 159 | 3% | 87% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 83% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 163 | 2% | 83% | |
| 164 | 12% | 81% | |
| 165 | 16% | 68% | |
| 166 | 4% | 52% | |
| 167 | 0.7% | 48% | |
| 168 | 2% | 47% | |
| 169 | 0.5% | 45% | |
| 170 | 6% | 45% | |
| 171 | 0.3% | 39% | |
| 172 | 1.1% | 39% | |
| 173 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 174 | 2% | 37% | |
| 175 | 1.1% | 35% | |
| 176 | 4% | 34% | |
| 177 | 1.4% | 30% | |
| 178 | 0.2% | 29% | Median |
| 179 | 1.2% | 28% | |
| 180 | 5% | 27% | |
| 181 | 11% | 22% | |
| 182 | 0.9% | 11% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 184 | 3% | 10% | |
| 185 | 5% | 7% | |
| 186 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 187 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 188 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 189 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 191 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 192 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 193 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 194 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 195 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 196 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 197 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 198 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 199 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 200 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 131 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 133 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 134 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 135 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 136 | 0% | 97% | |
| 137 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 139 | 2% | 96% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 141 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 142 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 144 | 5% | 93% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 146 | 2% | 88% | |
| 147 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 148 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 150 | 14% | 85% | |
| 151 | 1.3% | 72% | |
| 152 | 9% | 71% | |
| 153 | 1.5% | 62% | |
| 154 | 11% | 60% | |
| 155 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 156 | 3% | 49% | |
| 157 | 1.3% | 46% | |
| 158 | 2% | 44% | |
| 159 | 0.9% | 43% | |
| 160 | 4% | 42% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 38% | |
| 162 | 2% | 38% | |
| 163 | 0.4% | 36% | |
| 164 | 2% | 35% | |
| 165 | 3% | 33% | |
| 166 | 0.5% | 30% | Median |
| 167 | 11% | 30% | |
| 168 | 1.1% | 19% | |
| 169 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 170 | 2% | 17% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 172 | 3% | 15% | |
| 173 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 174 | 2% | 12% | |
| 175 | 4% | 10% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 179 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 180 | 5% | 5% | |
| 181 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 182 | 0% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 122 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 123 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 124 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 126 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 128 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 129 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 130 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 131 | 0% | 98% | |
| 132 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 135 | 2% | 97% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 138 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 140 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 141 | 2% | 94% | |
| 142 | 1.5% | 91% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 144 | 4% | 90% | |
| 145 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 146 | 10% | 86% | |
| 147 | 6% | 75% | |
| 148 | 1.3% | 69% | |
| 149 | 2% | 68% | |
| 150 | 4% | 66% | |
| 151 | 3% | 62% | |
| 152 | 0.9% | 59% | |
| 153 | 0.7% | 58% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 57% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 57% | |
| 156 | 3% | 56% | |
| 157 | 5% | 54% | |
| 158 | 0.8% | 49% | |
| 159 | 3% | 48% | |
| 160 | 4% | 45% | Median |
| 161 | 4% | 41% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 37% | |
| 163 | 10% | 35% | |
| 164 | 0.8% | 25% | |
| 165 | 10% | 24% | |
| 166 | 5% | 14% | Last Result |
| 167 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 168 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 169 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 170 | 5% | 9% | |
| 171 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 174 | 0% | 3% | |
| 175 | 0% | 3% | |
| 176 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 177 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 179 | 0% | 1.2% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 181 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 184 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 185 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 186 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 187 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 188 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 189 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 190 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 191 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 192 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska – .Nowoczesna
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 123 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 133 | 2% | 92% | |
| 134 | 6% | 90% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 136 | 10% | 83% | |
| 137 | 3% | 73% | |
| 138 | 3% | 70% | |
| 139 | 0.8% | 67% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 66% | |
| 141 | 3% | 66% | |
| 142 | 2% | 63% | |
| 143 | 3% | 61% | |
| 144 | 5% | 58% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 53% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 52% | |
| 147 | 2% | 52% | |
| 148 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 149 | 13% | 46% | |
| 150 | 14% | 33% | |
| 151 | 5% | 19% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 156 | 4% | 12% | |
| 157 | 4% | 8% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 167 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% |
Platforma Obywatelska
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 114 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 115 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 116 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 117 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 118 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 121 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 123 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 125 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 127 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 128 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 129 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 130 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 131 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 133 | 2% | 92% | |
| 134 | 6% | 90% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 136 | 10% | 83% | |
| 137 | 3% | 73% | |
| 138 | 3% | 70% | Last Result |
| 139 | 0.8% | 67% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 66% | |
| 141 | 3% | 66% | |
| 142 | 2% | 63% | |
| 143 | 3% | 61% | |
| 144 | 5% | 58% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 53% | |
| 146 | 0.2% | 52% | |
| 147 | 2% | 52% | |
| 148 | 4% | 50% | Median |
| 149 | 13% | 46% | |
| 150 | 14% | 33% | |
| 151 | 5% | 19% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 154 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 155 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 156 | 4% | 12% | |
| 157 | 4% | 8% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 159 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 160 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 164 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 170 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 171 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 173 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 174 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 175 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 176 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 177 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 178 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 180 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CBM Indicator
- Commissioner(s): TVP1
- Fieldwork period: 20–22 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.54%