Opinion Poll by AKO, 7–17 July 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
25.0% |
23.5% |
21.8–25.3% |
21.4–25.8% |
21.0–26.2% |
20.2–27.1% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia |
0.0% |
16.7% |
15.3–18.3% |
14.9–18.7% |
14.5–19.1% |
13.9–19.9% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
18.3% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.1% |
9.2–12.4% |
8.9–12.8% |
8.4–13.5% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
6.2% |
9.4% |
8.3–10.7% |
8.0–11.1% |
7.7–11.4% |
7.2–12.0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
7.9% |
6.9–9.1% |
6.6–9.4% |
6.4–9.7% |
5.9–10.3% |
SME RODINA |
8.2% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.0–8.1% |
4.6–8.7% |
Progresívne Slovensko |
7.0% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.2–6.5% |
4.0–6.8% |
3.6–7.3% |
Za ľudí |
5.8% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.6% |
3.0% |
2.4–3.8% |
2.2–4.1% |
2.1–4.3% |
1.9–4.7% |
VLASŤ |
2.9% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.9–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Dobrá voľba |
3.1% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.6–4.2% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
3.9% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia |
7.0% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.2–3.7% |
Slovenská národná strana |
3.2% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.7–2.7% |
MOST–HÍD |
2.0% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.7% |
0.5–1.8% |
0.4–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
37 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
2% |
98% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
41 |
5% |
95% |
|
42 |
10% |
90% |
|
43 |
3% |
80% |
|
44 |
26% |
77% |
|
45 |
8% |
51% |
Median |
46 |
3% |
43% |
|
47 |
3% |
41% |
|
48 |
26% |
37% |
|
49 |
2% |
12% |
|
50 |
8% |
10% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
54 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
19% |
94% |
|
29 |
1.4% |
75% |
|
30 |
8% |
73% |
|
31 |
17% |
65% |
Median |
32 |
21% |
48% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
27% |
|
34 |
9% |
26% |
|
35 |
11% |
17% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
37 |
6% |
6% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
11% |
98.7% |
|
18 |
17% |
87% |
|
19 |
3% |
70% |
|
20 |
48% |
67% |
Median |
21 |
5% |
19% |
|
22 |
2% |
14% |
|
23 |
2% |
12% |
|
24 |
8% |
10% |
|
25 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
14 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
15 |
20% |
98.8% |
|
16 |
7% |
79% |
|
17 |
21% |
71% |
|
18 |
13% |
51% |
Median |
19 |
5% |
37% |
|
20 |
8% |
32% |
|
21 |
15% |
24% |
|
22 |
1.4% |
9% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
7% |
|
25 |
7% |
7% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
24% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
10% |
76% |
|
14 |
4% |
66% |
|
15 |
11% |
61% |
|
16 |
24% |
50% |
Median |
17 |
21% |
26% |
Last Result |
18 |
3% |
6% |
|
19 |
3% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
10 |
4% |
97% |
|
11 |
33% |
93% |
|
12 |
16% |
59% |
Median |
13 |
26% |
43% |
|
14 |
10% |
17% |
|
15 |
6% |
7% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
44% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
56% |
|
2 |
0% |
56% |
|
3 |
0% |
56% |
|
4 |
0% |
56% |
|
5 |
0% |
56% |
|
6 |
0% |
56% |
|
7 |
0% |
56% |
|
8 |
0% |
56% |
|
9 |
0.9% |
56% |
|
10 |
25% |
56% |
Median |
11 |
4% |
31% |
|
12 |
2% |
26% |
|
13 |
5% |
24% |
|
14 |
19% |
20% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
83% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
17% |
|
2 |
0% |
17% |
|
3 |
0% |
17% |
|
4 |
0% |
17% |
|
5 |
0% |
17% |
|
6 |
0% |
17% |
|
7 |
0% |
17% |
|
8 |
0% |
17% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
17% |
|
10 |
16% |
16% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
78 |
64% |
71–86 |
71–88 |
71–88 |
70–92 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
63 |
0.1% |
59–70 |
59–72 |
58–72 |
54–73 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
63 |
0.1% |
59–70 |
59–72 |
58–72 |
54–73 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
34 |
60 |
0% |
51–62 |
51–68 |
51–68 |
50–72 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
38 |
51 |
0% |
48–56 |
47–57 |
47–57 |
46–60 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
51 |
0% |
48–56 |
47–57 |
47–57 |
46–60 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
46 |
0% |
42–51 |
42–54 |
40–54 |
39–56 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
17 |
44 |
0% |
39–47 |
39–52 |
38–52 |
32–53 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
17 |
44 |
0% |
39–47 |
39–52 |
38–52 |
32–53 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
31 |
0% |
29–36 |
28–38 |
27–38 |
23–39 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
31 |
0% |
29–36 |
28–38 |
27–38 |
23–39 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
0 |
31 |
0% |
28–35 |
27–37 |
27–37 |
27–37 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
0 |
31 |
0% |
28–35 |
27–37 |
27–37 |
27–37 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
38 |
20 |
0% |
17–23 |
17–24 |
17–24 |
16–25 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
38 |
20 |
0% |
17–23 |
17–24 |
17–24 |
16–25 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
20 |
0% |
17–23 |
17–24 |
17–24 |
16–25 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
18% |
99.4% |
|
72 |
2% |
81% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.4% |
80% |
|
74 |
12% |
79% |
|
75 |
3% |
67% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
64% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
62% |
|
78 |
11% |
60% |
|
79 |
9% |
49% |
Median |
80 |
2% |
40% |
|
81 |
20% |
38% |
|
82 |
2% |
18% |
|
83 |
2% |
16% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
14% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
14% |
|
86 |
7% |
14% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
88 |
5% |
6% |
|
89 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
92 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
2% |
98% |
|
59 |
23% |
96% |
|
60 |
3% |
72% |
|
61 |
3% |
69% |
|
62 |
10% |
66% |
|
63 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
64 |
17% |
46% |
|
65 |
10% |
29% |
|
66 |
2% |
19% |
|
67 |
2% |
18% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
16% |
|
69 |
2% |
16% |
|
70 |
7% |
14% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
72 |
5% |
6% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
2% |
98% |
|
59 |
23% |
96% |
|
60 |
3% |
72% |
|
61 |
3% |
69% |
|
62 |
10% |
66% |
|
63 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
64 |
17% |
46% |
|
65 |
10% |
29% |
|
66 |
2% |
19% |
|
67 |
2% |
18% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
16% |
|
69 |
2% |
16% |
|
70 |
7% |
14% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
72 |
5% |
6% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
17% |
99.4% |
|
52 |
2% |
83% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
81% |
|
54 |
5% |
81% |
|
55 |
2% |
76% |
|
56 |
2% |
74% |
|
57 |
9% |
73% |
|
58 |
8% |
64% |
|
59 |
4% |
56% |
Median |
60 |
13% |
52% |
|
61 |
24% |
39% |
|
62 |
7% |
15% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
67 |
0% |
6% |
|
68 |
5% |
6% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
71 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
6% |
98% |
|
48 |
21% |
92% |
|
49 |
11% |
71% |
|
50 |
5% |
60% |
|
51 |
17% |
55% |
Median |
52 |
8% |
39% |
|
53 |
9% |
30% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
21% |
|
55 |
2% |
20% |
|
56 |
10% |
18% |
|
57 |
6% |
8% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
6% |
98% |
|
48 |
21% |
92% |
|
49 |
11% |
71% |
|
50 |
5% |
60% |
|
51 |
17% |
55% |
Median |
52 |
8% |
39% |
|
53 |
9% |
30% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
21% |
|
55 |
2% |
20% |
|
56 |
10% |
18% |
|
57 |
6% |
8% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
42 |
8% |
97% |
|
43 |
27% |
90% |
|
44 |
2% |
63% |
|
45 |
8% |
61% |
|
46 |
3% |
53% |
|
47 |
8% |
50% |
|
48 |
3% |
42% |
Median |
49 |
3% |
39% |
|
50 |
18% |
36% |
|
51 |
8% |
18% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
53 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
54 |
7% |
8% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
39 |
21% |
97% |
|
40 |
2% |
76% |
|
41 |
4% |
74% |
|
42 |
5% |
70% |
|
43 |
6% |
65% |
Median |
44 |
20% |
59% |
|
45 |
15% |
39% |
|
46 |
8% |
24% |
|
47 |
9% |
15% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
52 |
5% |
6% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
39 |
21% |
97% |
|
40 |
2% |
76% |
|
41 |
4% |
74% |
|
42 |
5% |
70% |
|
43 |
6% |
65% |
Median |
44 |
20% |
59% |
|
45 |
15% |
39% |
|
46 |
8% |
24% |
|
47 |
9% |
15% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
7% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
52 |
5% |
6% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
27 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
28 |
4% |
96% |
|
29 |
8% |
92% |
|
30 |
19% |
84% |
|
31 |
19% |
66% |
|
32 |
8% |
46% |
Median |
33 |
17% |
38% |
|
34 |
3% |
21% |
|
35 |
7% |
18% |
|
36 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
38 |
7% |
9% |
|
39 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
27 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
28 |
4% |
96% |
|
29 |
8% |
92% |
|
30 |
19% |
84% |
|
31 |
19% |
66% |
|
32 |
8% |
46% |
Median |
33 |
17% |
38% |
|
34 |
3% |
21% |
|
35 |
7% |
18% |
|
36 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
38 |
7% |
9% |
|
39 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
19% |
94% |
|
29 |
1.4% |
75% |
|
30 |
8% |
73% |
|
31 |
17% |
65% |
Median |
32 |
21% |
48% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
27% |
|
34 |
9% |
26% |
|
35 |
11% |
17% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
37 |
6% |
6% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
19% |
94% |
|
29 |
1.4% |
75% |
|
30 |
8% |
73% |
|
31 |
17% |
65% |
Median |
32 |
21% |
48% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
27% |
|
34 |
9% |
26% |
|
35 |
11% |
17% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
37 |
6% |
6% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
11% |
98.7% |
|
18 |
17% |
87% |
|
19 |
3% |
70% |
|
20 |
48% |
67% |
Median |
21 |
5% |
19% |
|
22 |
2% |
14% |
|
23 |
2% |
12% |
|
24 |
8% |
10% |
|
25 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
11% |
98.7% |
|
18 |
17% |
87% |
|
19 |
3% |
70% |
|
20 |
48% |
67% |
Median |
21 |
5% |
19% |
|
22 |
2% |
14% |
|
23 |
2% |
12% |
|
24 |
8% |
10% |
|
25 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
11% |
98.7% |
|
18 |
17% |
87% |
|
19 |
3% |
70% |
|
20 |
48% |
67% |
Median |
21 |
5% |
19% |
|
22 |
2% |
14% |
|
23 |
2% |
12% |
|
24 |
8% |
10% |
|
25 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–17 July 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.34%