HLAS–sociálna demokracia

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 29 February 2020)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12.6% 10.6–15.0% 10.1–15.7% 9.7–16.2% 9.1–17.2%
25–26 September 2023 Median 11.9% 10.6–13.3% 10.3–13.7% 10.0–14.0% 9.4–14.7%
22–26 September 2023 Focus 13.7% 12.4–15.1% 12.0–15.6% 11.7–15.9% 11.1–16.7%
20–26 September 2023 AKO 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–17.0% 12.9–17.4% 12.3–18.1%
22–25 September 2023 Ipsos 11.9% 10.7–13.3% 10.3–13.7% 10.0–14.1% 9.5–14.8%
21–24 September 2023 NMS 10.5% 9.5–11.6% 9.2–11.9% 9.0–12.2% 8.5–12.8%
16–20 September 2023 Polis Slovakia 12.6% 11.4–14.0% 11.1–14.4% 10.8–14.7% 10.2–15.4%
15–19 September 2023 IPSOS
Pravda		 13.0% 11.7–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.2% 10.5–15.9%
6–13 September 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.8–16.5% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
5–11 September 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.1% 13.0–17.5% 12.4–18.2%
5–9 September 2023 NMS 11.4% 10.4–12.6% 10.1–12.9% 9.9–13.2% 9.4–13.8%
1–6 September 2023 Polis Slovakia
eReport		 12.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–31 August 2023 Median
RTVS		 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.7–11.4% 7.2–12.0%
21–24 August 2023 Median
RTVS		 10.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 August 2023 Polis Slovakia
Zoznam		 12.9% 11.6–14.3% 11.3–14.7% 11.0–15.1% 10.4–15.8%
9–16 August 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 14.2% 12.8–15.7% 12.5–16.1% 12.1–16.5% 11.5–17.2%
10–14 August 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 13.3% 12.0–14.7% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
7–14 August 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–17.0% 12.9–17.4% 12.3–18.1%
1–7 August 2023 NMS 11.5% 10.5–12.7% 10.2–13.0% 10.0–13.3% 9.5–13.9%
26 July–1 August 2023 IPSOS
Pravda		 13.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 July 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 15.2% 13.8–16.8% 13.4–17.2% 13.1–17.6% 12.5–18.3%
22–27 July 2023 Polis Slovakia
Zoznam		 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.6% 10.0–15.3%
21–26 July 2023 Median
RTVS		 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.2–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
21–26 July 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.2%
19–21 July 2023 Median 11.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–21 July 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 14.9% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–16.9% 12.8–17.3% 12.2–18.0%
10–17 July 2023 AKO 16.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 July 2023 NMS 11.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–28 June 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 16.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15 May–20 June 2023 Median 14.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–16 June 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 14.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 June 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 17.2% 15.7–18.8% 15.3–19.3% 15.0–19.7% 14.3–20.5%
2–8 June 2023 NMS 14.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–31 May 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 17.4% 15.9–19.0% 15.5–19.5% 15.2–19.9% 14.5–20.7%
16–19 May 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 15.6% 14.3–17.2% 13.9–17.6% 13.5–18.0% 12.9–18.8%
3–17 May 2023 NMS 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 May 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 16.5% 15.1–18.1% 14.7–18.5% 14.3–18.9% 13.7–19.7%
29 April–6 May 2023 Polis Slovakia 17.0% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.5% 14.1–20.2%
1 April–6 May 2023 Median 13.9% 12.9–15.0% 12.7–15.3% 12.4–15.5% 12.0–16.0%
19–26 April 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.1–19.0% 14.8–19.4% 14.1–20.2%
10–14 April 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 16.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 April 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 16.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 March–2 April 2023 NMS 14.2% 12.9–15.7% 12.5–16.2% 12.2–16.5% 11.6–17.3%
1–31 March 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 16.0% 14.5–17.5% 14.1–18.0% 13.8–18.4% 13.2–19.1%
14–22 March 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.2–19.1% 14.9–19.5% 14.2–20.3%
12 March 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 16.1% 14.7–17.7% 14.3–18.1% 13.9–18.5% 13.3–19.3%
1 February–5 March 2023 Median 14.5% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.4% 12.5–16.7% 11.9–17.5%
7–13 February 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 18.9% 17.4–20.6% 16.9–21.0% 16.6–21.5% 15.9–22.3%
1–8 February 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 20.8% 19.3–22.6% 18.8–23.0% 18.5–23.5% 17.7–24.3%
9 January–5 February 2023 Median 15.6% 14.3–17.2% 13.9–17.6% 13.5–18.0% 12.9–18.8%
28 January–1 February 2023 Polis
SITA		 19.4% 17.8–21.0% 17.4–21.5% 17.0–21.9% 16.3–22.8%
18–20 January 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 18.2% 16.7–19.9% 16.3–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.5%
10–16 January 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 17.6% 16.1–19.2% 15.7–19.7% 15.4–20.1% 14.7–20.9%
19–23 December 2022 Median 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.1–21.2% 16.8–21.6% 16.1–22.5%
16–20 December 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 19.0% 17.6–20.5% 17.2–20.9% 16.8–21.3% 16.2–22.1%
6–12 December 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 20.2% 18.6–21.9% 18.2–22.4% 17.8–22.8% 17.1–23.6%
30 November–7 December 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 19.9% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
22–28 November 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 19.7% 18.2–21.4% 17.8–21.9% 17.4–22.3% 16.7–23.1%
8–12 November 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 19.5% 18.0–21.2% 17.5–21.7% 17.2–22.1% 16.4–22.9%
8–11 November 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 19.4% 17.8–21.0% 17.4–21.5% 17.1–21.9% 16.4–22.7%
18–21 October 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 20.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–19 October 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 19.5% 18.0–21.2% 17.5–21.7% 17.2–22.1% 16.4–22.9%
21–27 September 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 20.3% 18.9–22.1% 18.4–22.6% 18.0–23.0% 17.3–23.9%
14–20 September 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 18.3% 16.8–20.0% 16.4–20.5% 16.1–20.9% 15.4–21.7%
8–18 September 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 19.3% 17.8–21.0% 17.3–21.5% 17.0–21.9% 16.3–22.7%
15–18 August 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 19.2% 17.7–20.9% 17.2–21.4% 16.9–21.8% 16.2–22.6%
29 July–8 August 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 17.2% 15.8–18.8% 15.4–19.3% 15.1–19.7% 14.4–20.5%
7–14 July 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
20–27 June 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 20.5% 18.9–22.2% 18.5–22.7% 18.1–23.1% 17.4–23.9%
7–10 June 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 20.2% 18.6–21.9% 18.2–22.4% 17.8–22.8% 17.1–23.6%
25–31 May 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 20.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 May 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 18.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 April 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 18.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 March–6 April 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 19.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 March 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 18.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 February–1 March 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 18.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–20 February 2022 Median 17.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–14 February 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 17.5% 16.0–19.1% 15.6–19.6% 15.3–20.0% 14.6–20.8%
27 January–1 February 2022 Median 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.9–15.4% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.5%
19–26 January 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 17.8% 16.3–19.4% 15.9–19.9% 15.6–20.3% 14.9–21.1%
10–17 January 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.1% 15.7–20.5% 15.0–21.3%
7–13 December 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		 19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.4%
16–23 November 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		 19.2% 17.7–20.9% 17.3–21.4% 16.9–21.8% 16.2–22.6%
8–16 November 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		 18.5% 17.0–20.1% 16.6–20.6% 16.2–21.0% 15.5–21.8%
20–27 October 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		 19.5% 18.0–21.2% 17.6–21.7% 17.2–22.1% 16.5–22.9%
17–20 October 2021 Actly
Zoznam/Topky		 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 18.9–23.2% 18.6–23.6% 17.8–24.4%
4–7 October 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		 18.2% 16.7–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 15.9–20.7% 15.2–21.5%
6–13 September 2021 AKO 18.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 September 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		 18.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 August 2021 AKO 19.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–12 July 2021 AKO 20.8% 19.2–22.5% 18.8–23.0% 18.4–23.4% 17.7–24.3%
7–11 June 2021 AKO 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 19.0–23.2% 18.6–23.6% 17.8–24.5%
2–9 June 2021 FOCUS 21.6% 20.0–23.3% 19.5–23.8% 19.1–24.2% 18.4–25.1%
4–7 June 2021 Actly 22.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–19 May 2021 FOCUS 22.4% 20.8–24.2% 20.3–24.7% 20.0–25.1% 19.2–26.0%
13–17 May 2021 AKO 22.2% 20.6–24.0% 20.1–24.4% 19.8–24.9% 19.0–25.7%
12–17 April 2021 AKO 23.9% 22.2–25.7% 21.8–26.2% 21.4–26.6% 20.6–27.5%
31 March–7 April 2021 FOCUS 22.3% 20.7–24.0% 20.2–24.5% 19.8–25.0% 19.1–25.8%
27–31 March 2021 Actly 22.7% 21.1–24.5% 20.6–25.0% 20.2–25.4% 19.4–26.3%
8–12 March 2021 AKO 24.9% 23.2–26.7% 22.7–27.2% 22.3–27.7% 21.5–28.6%
17–24 February 2021 FOCUS 23.0% 21.4–24.8% 20.9–25.2% 20.5–25.7% 19.7–26.5%
8–11 February 2021 AKO 25.0% 23.3–26.8% 22.8–27.3% 22.4–27.8% 21.6–28.7%
31 January–8 February 2021 Polis
SITA		 21.4% 19.9–23.0% 19.5–23.5% 19.1–23.9% 18.4–24.7%
16–20 January 2021 Polis 21.4% 19.9–23.0% 19.4–23.5% 19.1–23.9% 18.4–24.7%
12–19 January 2021 FOCUS 24.3% 22.6–26.1% 22.1–26.6% 21.7–27.0% 20.9–27.9%
7–13 January 2021 Median SK
RTVS		 21.7% 20.1–23.4% 19.6–23.9% 19.2–24.3% 18.5–25.2%
19–22 December 2020 Polis 22.9% 21.3–24.6% 20.9–25.1% 20.5–25.5% 19.8–26.3%
17–19 December 2020 AKO 22.8% 21.2–24.6% 20.7–25.1% 20.3–25.5% 19.5–26.4%
8–14 December 2020 FOCUS 20.1% 18.5–21.8% 18.1–22.3% 17.7–22.7% 17.0–23.5%
6–11 December 2020 Actly 22.0% 20.3–23.7% 19.9–24.2% 19.5–24.6% 18.7–25.5%
20–25 November 2020 Polis 21.3% 19.7–23.0% 19.2–23.5% 18.9–23.9% 18.1–24.7%
18–25 November 2020 FOCUS 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.3% 16.8–21.7% 16.1–22.5%
6–11 November 2020 Median SK
RTVS		 20.3% 18.8–22.0% 18.4–22.5% 18.0–22.9% 17.3–23.7%
21–26 October 2020 Actly 26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.9% 23.9–29.3% 23.0–30.2%
15–23 October 2020 Polis 22.1% 20.5–23.8% 20.0–24.3% 19.6–24.7% 18.9–25.5%
7–15 October 2020 FOCUS 18.7% 17.2–20.4% 16.8–20.9% 16.4–21.3% 15.8–22.1%
7–12 October 2020 Polis 20.8% 19.3–22.3% 18.9–22.8% 18.6–23.2% 17.9–23.9%
1–9 October 2020 AKO 18.8% 17.3–20.5% 16.9–20.9% 16.5–21.4% 15.8–22.2%
14–18 September 2020 Median SK
RTVS		 16.9% 15.4–18.5% 15.0–18.9% 14.7–19.3% 14.0–20.1%
4–9 September 2020 Polis 16.0% 14.7–17.5% 14.4–17.8% 14.1–18.2% 13.5–18.9%
26 August–2 September 2020 FOCUS 16.2% 14.8–17.8% 14.4–18.2% 14.1–18.6% 13.5–19.4%
21–26 August 2020 Actly 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.5% 14.1–20.3%
22–27 July 2020 Polis 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.3% 13.2–19.1%
7–17 July 2020 AKO 16.7% 15.3–18.3% 14.9–18.7% 14.5–19.1% 13.9–19.9%
17–24 June 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 June 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–27 May 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 May 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 April 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 April 2020 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–8 April 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 March 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for HLAS–sociálna demokracia.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0.1% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 2% 99.9%  
9.5–10.5% 8% 98%  
10.5–11.5% 16% 90%  
11.5–12.5% 22% 74%  
12.5–13.5% 22% 52% Median
13.5–14.5% 15% 30%  
14.5–15.5% 9% 15%  
15.5–16.5% 4% 6%  
16.5–17.5% 1.2% 1.5%  
17.5–18.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 29 February 2020)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 23 19–27 19–28 18–28 18–31
25–26 September 2023 Median 21 19–24 19–25 19–25 18–26
22–26 September 2023 Focus 26 22–28 21–28 21–28 21–30
20–26 September 2023 AKO 25 24–28 22–29 21–31 19–32
22–25 September 2023 Ipsos 22 20–25 19–25 19–25 17–26
21–24 September 2023 NMS 19 18–19 18–19 18–19 15–21
16–20 September 2023 Polis Slovakia 21 21–24 21–25 19–25 16–27
15–19 September 2023 IPSOS
Pravda		 24 24–25 23–27 21–27 20–33
6–13 September 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 28 25–31 24–31 23–31 22–32
5–11 September 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 25 25–27 25–29 25–32 23–32
5–9 September 2023 NMS 21 19–23 19–23 19–23 17–25
1–6 September 2023 Polis Slovakia
eReport		          
25–31 August 2023 Median
RTVS		 16 14–18 13–19 13–19 13–20
21–24 August 2023 Median
RTVS		          
11–16 August 2023 Polis Slovakia
Zoznam		 22 22–23 21–25 21–26 19–29
9–16 August 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 27 23–29 22–29 22–29 21–32
10–14 August 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 21 20–27 20–28 20–28 19–28
7–14 August 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 25 24–27 24–27 23–28 21–31
1–7 August 2023 NMS 20 20–24 20–25 19–25 18–26
26 July–1 August 2023 IPSOS
Pravda		          
24–28 July 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 24 22–29 22–30 22–30 22–32
22–27 July 2023 Polis Slovakia
Zoznam		 21 21–23 21–29 20–29 19–29
21–26 July 2023 Median
RTVS		 21 19–23 18–26 18–26 17–27
21–26 July 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 29 29–32 28–34 26–35 25–37
19–21 July 2023 Median          
17–21 July 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 29 25–30 25–30 24–30 23–32
10–17 July 2023 AKO          
4–9 July 2023 NMS          
21–28 June 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		          
15 May–20 June 2023 Median          
12–16 June 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		          
6–9 June 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 31 26–32 26–32 26–33 25–34
2–8 June 2023 NMS          
24–31 May 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 32 27–38 27–40 27–40 25–42
16–19 May 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 30 25–32 25–34 25–36 24–37
3–17 May 2023 NMS          
4–10 May 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 31 28–32 27–33 26–34 24–35
29 April–6 May 2023 Polis Slovakia 30 28–33 26–33 25–33 23–34
1 April–6 May 2023 Median 28 24–28 24–28 23–28 22–29
19–26 April 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 35 29–40 27–40 27–40 27–40
10–14 April 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		          
4–11 April 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		          
28 March–2 April 2023 NMS 28 25–31 24–32 23–32 22–34
1–31 March 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 30 29–34 29–34 27–34 26–38
14–22 March 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 31 28–35 26–37 26–37 26–39
12 March 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 28 27–32 26–32 26–33 23–36
1 February–5 March 2023 Median 27 24–28 24–29 23–30 22–33
7–13 February 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 32 31–35 31–35 30–35 28–38
1–8 February 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 38 35–41 35–41 34–41 34–43
9 January–5 February 2023 Median 31 27–33 26–33 26–33 24–35
28 January–1 February 2023 Polis
SITA		 34 33–37 30–39 30–41 30–44
18–20 January 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 32 30–35 30–35 29–36 28–38
10–16 January 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 31 29–32 29–33 27–34 25–35
19–23 December 2022 Median 35 32–37 31–38 31–40 29–41
16–20 December 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 32 32–37 31–39 30–39 30–40
6–12 December 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 39 33–39 33–40 33–40 30–40
30 November–7 December 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 34 33–38 30–40 30–40 29–41
22–28 November 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 36 33–39 31–40 31–41 30–42
8–12 November 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 34 33–38 31–38 30–38 28–40
8–11 November 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 35 33–37 31–41 30–41 28–41
18–21 October 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		          
12–19 October 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 34 31–37 30–37 29–38 27–40
21–27 September 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 38 34–39 33–40 32–40 29–41
14–20 September 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 33 31–35 29–37 29–38 28–38
8–18 September 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 33 33–36 32–37 32–39 30–42
15–18 August 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 35 32–38 32–39 32–39 28–41
29 July–8 August 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 30 28–33 28–35 27–36 26–36
7–14 July 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 36 32–38 32–43 31–43 28–44
20–27 June 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 39 34–40 34–43 33–46 31–46
7–10 June 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 34 32–39 32–40 31–40 30–44
25–31 May 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
10–16 May 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
5–11 April 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
30 March–6 April 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
8–11 March 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
22 February–1 March 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
9–20 February 2022 Median          
8–14 February 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 35 30–35 30–36 29–37 25–37
27 January–1 February 2022 Median 29 25–32 25–34 24–34 23–34
19–26 January 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 34 30–36 29–38 28–39 26–41
10–17 January 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 33 30–37 30–37 28–39 26–39
7–13 December 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		 35 29–40 29–40 29–40 29–42
16–23 November 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		 35 32–38 32–39 31–39 28–41
8–16 November 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		 36 31–39 30–44 29–44 28–44
20–27 October 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		 36 35–40 33–42 33–42 31–42
17–20 October 2021 Actly
Zoznam/Topky		 35 35–38 35–41 35–41 35–44
4–7 October 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		 35 32–36 31–37 29–38 28–39
6–13 September 2021 AKO          
1–7 September 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		          
10–15 August 2021 AKO          
6–12 July 2021 AKO 39 36–44 35–47 34–47 32–47
7–11 June 2021 AKO 42 38–42 37–44 36–44 34–48
2–9 June 2021 FOCUS 39 36–45 35–45 33–45 33–47
4–7 June 2021 Actly          
11–19 May 2021 FOCUS 44 40–45 38–47 36–47 32–50
13–17 May 2021 AKO 41 41–42 41–43 41–45 39–47
12–17 April 2021 AKO 45 44–51 42–53 42–53 39–54
31 March–7 April 2021 FOCUS 44 38–49 37–51 35–51 30–51
27–31 March 2021 Actly 40 39–50 37–51 37–51 35–51
8–12 March 2021 AKO 44 44 44 44 44
17–24 February 2021 FOCUS 45 41–47 40–48 40–53 38–53
8–11 February 2021 AKO 48 44–48 43–53 41–54 38–56
31 January–8 February 2021 Polis
SITA		 40 37–42 36–42 35–43 32–48
16–20 January 2021 Polis 40 35–45 34–45 30–45 30–50
12–19 January 2021 FOCUS 53 53 52–53 48–54 43–58
7–13 January 2021 Median SK
RTVS		 38 36–47 36–47 36–48 35–51
19–22 December 2020 Polis 40 40 40 40 35–43
17–19 December 2020 AKO 45 45 39–45 35–45 35–46
8–14 December 2020 FOCUS 37 35–40 35–41 34–42 33–46
6–11 December 2020 Actly 42 38–47 37–48 37–49 35–52
20–25 November 2020 Polis 41 37–42 35–47 32–49 32–49
18–25 November 2020 FOCUS 38 35–41 33–41 32–41 31–44
6–11 November 2020 Median SK
RTVS		 39 38–43 37–45 36–46 33–49
21–26 October 2020 Actly 45 42–53 42–53 42–53 41–56
15–23 October 2020 Polis 40 35–44 35–44 33–44 33–45
7–15 October 2020 FOCUS 33 30–37 30–40 30–40 29–41
7–12 October 2020 Polis 35 33–41 32–42 32–42 30–42
1–9 October 2020 AKO 36 32–36 31–37 31–39 30–41
14–18 September 2020 Median SK
RTVS		 31 28–35 28–35 26–35 26–36
4–9 September 2020 Polis 27 27–33 26–34 26–34 25–35
26 August–2 September 2020 FOCUS 34 28–34 28–34 27–34 26–34
21–26 August 2020 Actly 33 31–36 28–38 27–40 27–40
22–27 July 2020 Polis 29 27–30 25–31 24–33 23–36
7–17 July 2020 AKO 31 28–35 27–37 27–37 27–37
17–24 June 2020 FOCUS          
5–10 June 2020 Polis          
23–27 May 2020 Polis          
14–21 May 2020 FOCUS          
15–19 April 2020 FOCUS          
14–17 April 2020 AKO          
4–8 April 2020 Polis          
18–21 March 2020 FOCUS          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for HLAS–sociálna demokracia.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.2% 99.9%  
17 0.2% 99.7%  
18 2% 99.5%  
19 14% 97%  
20 7% 83%  
21 14% 75%  
22 12% 62%  
23 5% 50% Median
24 14% 45%  
25 12% 31%  
26 7% 18%  
27 2% 11%  
28 8% 10%  
29 0.6% 1.3%  
30 0.1% 0.7%  
31 0.3% 0.6%  
32 0% 0.2%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%