Opinion Poll by Polis, 22–27 July 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
25.0% |
21.9% |
20.3–23.6% |
19.8–24.1% |
19.5–24.5% |
18.7–25.3% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia |
0.0% |
16.0% |
14.6–17.5% |
14.2–18.0% |
13.9–18.3% |
13.2–19.1% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
6.2% |
9.2% |
8.1–10.5% |
7.8–10.8% |
7.6–11.1% |
7.1–11.8% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
18.3% |
8.8% |
7.8–10.0% |
7.5–10.4% |
7.2–10.7% |
6.8–11.3% |
SME RODINA |
8.2% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.7–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.8–9.6% |
6.5–9.9% |
6.1–10.5% |
Progresívne Slovensko |
7.0% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
3.9% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.5% |
4.5–6.8% |
4.3–7.1% |
3.9–7.6% |
Za ľudí |
5.8% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.2–6.6% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.6% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.9–5.2% |
2.6–5.7% |
Slovenská národná strana |
3.2% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.8–5.1% |
2.5–5.6% |
Dobrá voľba |
3.1% |
1.3% |
0.9–1.8% |
0.8–2.0% |
0.7–2.1% |
0.6–2.5% |
MOST–HÍD |
2.0% |
1.1% |
0.7–1.6% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.5–2.2% |
VLASŤ |
2.9% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.5% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.4–1.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
35 |
6% |
97% |
|
36 |
72% |
91% |
Median |
37 |
4% |
19% |
|
38 |
4% |
15% |
|
39 |
4% |
11% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
42 |
3% |
5% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
25 |
3% |
96% |
|
26 |
2% |
93% |
|
27 |
10% |
91% |
|
28 |
26% |
81% |
|
29 |
44% |
55% |
Median |
30 |
2% |
10% |
|
31 |
3% |
8% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
33 |
3% |
4% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
14 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
15 |
13% |
96% |
|
16 |
53% |
83% |
Median |
17 |
1.4% |
30% |
|
18 |
1.4% |
28% |
|
19 |
24% |
27% |
|
20 |
2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
14 |
58% |
96% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
38% |
|
16 |
4% |
32% |
|
17 |
25% |
28% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
19 |
0% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
21 |
2% |
2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
25% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
3% |
74% |
|
13 |
8% |
71% |
|
14 |
11% |
64% |
|
15 |
4% |
53% |
Median |
16 |
2% |
49% |
|
17 |
44% |
47% |
Last Result |
18 |
2% |
3% |
|
19 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
20 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
11 |
6% |
99.5% |
|
12 |
26% |
93% |
|
13 |
5% |
67% |
|
14 |
43% |
62% |
Median |
15 |
9% |
19% |
|
16 |
3% |
10% |
|
17 |
7% |
7% |
Last Result |
18 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
24% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
2% |
75% |
|
11 |
9% |
73% |
|
12 |
6% |
65% |
|
13 |
5% |
58% |
|
14 |
45% |
53% |
Median |
15 |
8% |
8% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
90% |
|
2 |
0% |
90% |
|
3 |
0% |
90% |
|
4 |
0% |
90% |
|
5 |
0% |
90% |
|
6 |
0% |
90% |
|
7 |
0% |
90% |
|
8 |
2% |
90% |
|
9 |
29% |
88% |
|
10 |
47% |
59% |
Median |
11 |
5% |
12% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
13 |
5% |
5% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
67% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
33% |
|
2 |
0% |
33% |
|
3 |
0% |
33% |
|
4 |
0% |
33% |
|
5 |
0% |
33% |
|
6 |
0% |
33% |
|
7 |
0% |
33% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
33% |
|
9 |
27% |
33% |
|
10 |
4% |
6% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
92% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
8% |
|
2 |
0% |
8% |
|
3 |
0% |
8% |
|
4 |
0% |
8% |
|
5 |
0% |
8% |
|
6 |
0% |
8% |
|
7 |
0% |
8% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
8% |
|
9 |
5% |
8% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
2% |
|
2 |
0% |
2% |
|
3 |
0% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
2% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
74 |
6% |
68–74 |
68–77 |
65–77 |
64–82 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
60 |
0% |
55–60 |
54–62 |
52–65 |
51–67 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
60 |
0% |
54–60 |
53–62 |
51–65 |
49–67 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana |
34 |
58 |
0% |
51–60 |
51–61 |
50–63 |
50–67 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
38 |
43 |
0% |
41–45 |
40–48 |
38–50 |
38–52 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
43 |
0% |
41–45 |
40–48 |
38–50 |
38–52 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
17 |
46 |
0% |
39–46 |
37–47 |
37–48 |
36–52 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
17 |
46 |
0% |
39–46 |
39–47 |
37–48 |
37–52 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
45 |
0% |
40–45 |
40–47 |
38–47 |
38–51 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
31 |
0% |
28–31 |
27–33 |
27–34 |
25–37 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
31 |
0% |
28–31 |
27–32 |
26–34 |
24–35 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
0 |
29 |
0% |
27–31 |
25–33 |
24–34 |
23–36 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
0 |
29 |
0% |
27–31 |
25–33 |
24–34 |
23–36 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD |
38 |
14 |
0% |
14–17 |
14–17 |
13–21 |
12–22 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
14 |
0% |
14–17 |
14–17 |
13–21 |
12–22 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
38 |
14 |
0% |
14–17 |
14–17 |
13–17 |
12–21 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
68 |
25% |
97% |
|
69 |
2% |
72% |
|
70 |
7% |
70% |
|
71 |
6% |
63% |
|
72 |
4% |
57% |
Last Result, Median |
73 |
3% |
53% |
|
74 |
43% |
50% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
76 |
1.4% |
6% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
54 |
5% |
96% |
|
55 |
6% |
91% |
Last Result |
56 |
24% |
85% |
|
57 |
4% |
61% |
|
58 |
3% |
57% |
Median |
59 |
2% |
54% |
|
60 |
44% |
52% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
8% |
|
62 |
3% |
8% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
65 |
2% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
52 |
2% |
97% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
54 |
5% |
94% |
|
55 |
6% |
90% |
Last Result |
56 |
24% |
83% |
|
57 |
4% |
60% |
|
58 |
2% |
55% |
Median |
59 |
2% |
53% |
|
60 |
44% |
52% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
8% |
|
62 |
3% |
8% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
65 |
2% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
23% |
97% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
74% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
73% |
|
54 |
2% |
73% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
70% |
|
56 |
11% |
70% |
|
57 |
7% |
60% |
|
58 |
4% |
53% |
Median |
59 |
0.7% |
48% |
|
60 |
43% |
48% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
65 |
0% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
39 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
40 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
41 |
10% |
94% |
|
42 |
3% |
84% |
|
43 |
44% |
81% |
Median |
44 |
2% |
37% |
|
45 |
25% |
34% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
47 |
2% |
9% |
|
48 |
2% |
7% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
52 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
39 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
40 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
41 |
10% |
94% |
|
42 |
3% |
84% |
|
43 |
44% |
81% |
Median |
44 |
2% |
37% |
|
45 |
25% |
34% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
47 |
2% |
9% |
|
48 |
2% |
7% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
52 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
3% |
98% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
39 |
23% |
95% |
|
40 |
5% |
71% |
|
41 |
10% |
66% |
|
42 |
1.0% |
57% |
|
43 |
2% |
56% |
|
44 |
2% |
54% |
Median |
45 |
1.3% |
52% |
|
46 |
45% |
50% |
|
47 |
2% |
6% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
39 |
23% |
96% |
|
40 |
5% |
73% |
|
41 |
10% |
68% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
58% |
|
43 |
2% |
57% |
|
44 |
2% |
55% |
Median |
45 |
3% |
53% |
|
46 |
45% |
50% |
|
47 |
2% |
6% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
50 |
0% |
1.0% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
40 |
25% |
97% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
72% |
|
42 |
2% |
72% |
|
43 |
8% |
69% |
Median |
44 |
8% |
61% |
|
45 |
45% |
53% |
|
46 |
3% |
8% |
|
47 |
3% |
5% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
27 |
7% |
98.8% |
|
28 |
33% |
92% |
|
29 |
4% |
60% |
Median |
30 |
2% |
55% |
|
31 |
44% |
53% |
|
32 |
3% |
9% |
|
33 |
2% |
6% |
|
34 |
3% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
26 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
27 |
7% |
97% |
|
28 |
33% |
91% |
|
29 |
4% |
58% |
Median |
30 |
2% |
54% |
|
31 |
44% |
51% |
|
32 |
3% |
7% |
|
33 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
25 |
2% |
96% |
|
26 |
2% |
94% |
|
27 |
10% |
92% |
|
28 |
26% |
82% |
|
29 |
44% |
56% |
Median |
30 |
2% |
12% |
|
31 |
3% |
10% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
33 |
3% |
6% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
25 |
2% |
96% |
|
26 |
2% |
94% |
|
27 |
10% |
92% |
|
28 |
26% |
82% |
|
29 |
44% |
56% |
Median |
30 |
2% |
12% |
|
31 |
3% |
10% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
33 |
3% |
6% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
14 |
58% |
97% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
39% |
|
16 |
4% |
33% |
|
17 |
25% |
29% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
19 |
0% |
4% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
21 |
2% |
3% |
|
22 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
14 |
58% |
97% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
39% |
|
16 |
4% |
33% |
|
17 |
25% |
29% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
19 |
0% |
4% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
21 |
2% |
3% |
|
22 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
14 |
58% |
96% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
38% |
|
16 |
4% |
32% |
|
17 |
25% |
28% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
19 |
0% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
21 |
2% |
2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Polis
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–27 July 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1033
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.72%