Opinion Poll by Actly, 21–26 August 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
25.0% |
18.1% |
16.6–19.7% |
16.2–20.2% |
15.8–20.6% |
15.2–21.4% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia |
0.0% |
17.0% |
15.5–18.6% |
15.2–19.1% |
14.8–19.5% |
14.1–20.3% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
18.3% |
10.9% |
9.7–12.3% |
9.4–12.7% |
9.1–13.0% |
8.6–13.7% |
SME RODINA |
8.2% |
10.1% |
9.0–11.4% |
8.6–11.8% |
8.4–12.1% |
7.9–12.8% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
6.2% |
9.4% |
8.3–10.7% |
8.0–11.1% |
7.7–11.4% |
7.2–12.0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
8.9% |
7.8–10.2% |
7.5–10.5% |
7.3–10.8% |
6.8–11.5% |
Progresívne Slovensko |
7.0% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.1–6.4% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.6–7.2% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.6% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
Za ľudí |
5.8% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.5% |
Slovenská národná strana |
3.2% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.2% |
2.2–4.4% |
1.9–4.8% |
VLASŤ |
2.9% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.9–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Dobrá voľba |
3.1% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
30 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
31 |
6% |
97% |
|
32 |
8% |
91% |
|
33 |
4% |
83% |
|
34 |
5% |
79% |
|
35 |
7% |
74% |
|
36 |
4% |
67% |
|
37 |
5% |
64% |
|
38 |
2% |
59% |
|
39 |
6% |
56% |
Median |
40 |
49% |
50% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
28 |
2% |
97% |
|
29 |
2% |
95% |
|
30 |
2% |
93% |
|
31 |
7% |
91% |
|
32 |
9% |
85% |
|
33 |
58% |
75% |
Median |
34 |
2% |
17% |
|
35 |
5% |
15% |
|
36 |
3% |
10% |
|
37 |
2% |
7% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
40 |
5% |
5% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
18 |
51% |
97% |
Median |
19 |
6% |
46% |
|
20 |
7% |
40% |
|
21 |
11% |
33% |
|
22 |
6% |
21% |
|
23 |
9% |
15% |
|
24 |
5% |
6% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
9% |
98% |
|
17 |
4% |
88% |
Last Result |
18 |
9% |
84% |
|
19 |
3% |
75% |
|
20 |
8% |
72% |
|
21 |
55% |
64% |
Median |
22 |
4% |
9% |
|
23 |
2% |
4% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
25 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
16 |
10% |
97% |
|
17 |
7% |
87% |
|
18 |
11% |
80% |
|
19 |
8% |
70% |
|
20 |
57% |
61% |
Median |
21 |
2% |
5% |
|
22 |
2% |
2% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
14 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
15 |
4% |
95% |
|
16 |
7% |
91% |
|
17 |
14% |
84% |
Last Result |
18 |
54% |
69% |
Median |
19 |
3% |
16% |
|
20 |
10% |
12% |
|
21 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
22 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
74% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
26% |
|
2 |
0% |
26% |
|
3 |
0% |
26% |
|
4 |
0% |
26% |
|
5 |
0% |
26% |
|
6 |
0% |
26% |
|
7 |
0% |
26% |
|
8 |
0% |
26% |
|
9 |
2% |
26% |
|
10 |
8% |
24% |
|
11 |
8% |
15% |
|
12 |
6% |
8% |
|
13 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
95% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
5% |
|
2 |
0% |
5% |
|
3 |
0% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
5% |
|
5 |
0% |
5% |
|
6 |
0% |
5% |
|
7 |
0% |
5% |
|
8 |
0% |
5% |
|
9 |
2% |
5% |
|
10 |
3% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98.5% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
2 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
7 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
8 |
0% |
1.5% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
90 |
100% |
86–95 |
85–100 |
83–100 |
78–101 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
72 |
14% |
69–77 |
66–83 |
65–83 |
60–85 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
72 |
14% |
69–77 |
67–83 |
65–83 |
60–85 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana |
34 |
72 |
7% |
65–74 |
64–77 |
62–77 |
60–80 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
57 |
0% |
54–61 |
53–62 |
51–63 |
51–64 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
51 |
0% |
51–56 |
48–61 |
47–63 |
43–64 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
17 |
54 |
0% |
47–56 |
47–60 |
45–60 |
44–62 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
17 |
54 |
0% |
47–56 |
47–60 |
45–60 |
44–62 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
39 |
0% |
37–43 |
36–44 |
36–46 |
33–47 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
39 |
0% |
37–43 |
36–44 |
36–46 |
33–47 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
0 |
33 |
0% |
31–36 |
29–38 |
27–40 |
27–40 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
38 |
18 |
0% |
18–23 |
18–24 |
17–24 |
16–26 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
18 |
0% |
18–23 |
18–24 |
17–24 |
16–26 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
97% |
|
85 |
3% |
95% |
|
86 |
4% |
92% |
|
87 |
6% |
87% |
|
88 |
4% |
82% |
|
89 |
2% |
78% |
|
90 |
49% |
76% |
Median |
91 |
4% |
27% |
|
92 |
5% |
23% |
|
93 |
2% |
18% |
|
94 |
2% |
16% |
|
95 |
6% |
14% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
97 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
100 |
4% |
5% |
|
101 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
98.5% |
|
65 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
66 |
2% |
97% |
|
67 |
2% |
95% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
69 |
4% |
93% |
|
70 |
5% |
89% |
|
71 |
3% |
83% |
|
72 |
57% |
80% |
Median |
73 |
0.9% |
24% |
|
74 |
4% |
23% |
|
75 |
5% |
19% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
14% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
13% |
|
78 |
2% |
9% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
83 |
4% |
5% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
66 |
2% |
97% |
|
67 |
2% |
95% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
69 |
4% |
93% |
|
70 |
5% |
89% |
|
71 |
3% |
84% |
|
72 |
57% |
80% |
Median |
73 |
0.9% |
24% |
|
74 |
4% |
23% |
|
75 |
5% |
19% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
14% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
13% |
|
78 |
2% |
9% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
83 |
4% |
5% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
64 |
7% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
91% |
|
66 |
4% |
88% |
|
67 |
5% |
84% |
|
68 |
3% |
79% |
|
69 |
4% |
76% |
|
70 |
3% |
72% |
|
71 |
4% |
69% |
|
72 |
51% |
65% |
Median |
73 |
2% |
14% |
|
74 |
5% |
12% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
7% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
6% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
53 |
6% |
96% |
|
54 |
3% |
90% |
|
55 |
3% |
87% |
|
56 |
6% |
84% |
|
57 |
50% |
78% |
Median |
58 |
4% |
28% |
|
59 |
4% |
24% |
|
60 |
8% |
20% |
|
61 |
3% |
12% |
|
62 |
6% |
9% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
47 |
2% |
98% |
|
48 |
2% |
97% |
|
49 |
2% |
95% |
|
50 |
2% |
93% |
|
51 |
50% |
91% |
Median |
52 |
2% |
41% |
|
53 |
5% |
39% |
|
54 |
15% |
34% |
|
55 |
4% |
19% |
|
56 |
6% |
15% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
58 |
2% |
8% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
63 |
4% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
46 |
2% |
97% |
|
47 |
6% |
95% |
|
48 |
4% |
89% |
|
49 |
4% |
85% |
|
50 |
2% |
81% |
|
51 |
4% |
79% |
|
52 |
3% |
75% |
|
53 |
4% |
72% |
|
54 |
55% |
69% |
Median |
55 |
3% |
13% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
58 |
3% |
9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
60 |
4% |
6% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
46 |
2% |
97% |
|
47 |
6% |
95% |
|
48 |
4% |
89% |
|
49 |
4% |
85% |
|
50 |
2% |
81% |
|
51 |
4% |
80% |
|
52 |
3% |
75% |
|
53 |
4% |
72% |
|
54 |
55% |
69% |
Median |
55 |
3% |
14% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
58 |
3% |
9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
60 |
4% |
6% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
35 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
36 |
3% |
98% |
|
37 |
7% |
95% |
|
38 |
4% |
88% |
|
39 |
57% |
84% |
Median |
40 |
3% |
27% |
|
41 |
5% |
24% |
|
42 |
8% |
19% |
|
43 |
5% |
11% |
|
44 |
2% |
6% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
46 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
35 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
36 |
3% |
98% |
|
37 |
7% |
95% |
|
38 |
4% |
88% |
|
39 |
57% |
84% |
Median |
40 |
3% |
27% |
|
41 |
5% |
24% |
|
42 |
8% |
19% |
|
43 |
5% |
11% |
|
44 |
2% |
7% |
|
45 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
46 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
2% |
97% |
|
29 |
2% |
95% |
|
30 |
2% |
93% |
|
31 |
7% |
92% |
|
32 |
9% |
85% |
|
33 |
58% |
75% |
Median |
34 |
2% |
17% |
|
35 |
5% |
15% |
|
36 |
3% |
10% |
|
37 |
2% |
7% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
40 |
5% |
5% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
18 |
51% |
97% |
Median |
19 |
6% |
46% |
|
20 |
7% |
40% |
|
21 |
11% |
33% |
|
22 |
6% |
21% |
|
23 |
9% |
15% |
|
24 |
5% |
6% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
18 |
51% |
97% |
Median |
19 |
6% |
46% |
|
20 |
7% |
40% |
|
21 |
11% |
33% |
|
22 |
6% |
21% |
|
23 |
9% |
16% |
|
24 |
5% |
6% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Actly
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 21–26 August 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.08%