Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 26 August–2 September 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 18.4% | 16.9–20.0% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.1–18.6% | 13.5–19.4% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 10.9% | 9.7–12.2% | 9.4–12.6% | 9.1–12.9% | 8.6–13.6% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.0–11.7% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.7% | 7.2–10.1% | 7.0–10.4% | 6.5–11.0% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.4% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.2% |
| MOST–HÍD | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
| VLASŤ | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 32 | 32–36 | 32–37 | 32–37 | 29–40 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 34 | 28–34 | 28–34 | 27–34 | 26–34 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 18 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 17–24 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 14–22 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–21 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–19 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 0–14 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VLASŤ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 32 | 59% | 98% | Median |
| 33 | 0.9% | 40% | |
| 34 | 3% | 39% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 36% | |
| 36 | 30% | 35% | |
| 37 | 4% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 28 | 7% | 96% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 31 | 4% | 88% | |
| 32 | 14% | 84% | |
| 33 | 17% | 69% | |
| 34 | 52% | 53% | Median |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 52% | 99.4% | Median |
| 19 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 20 | 4% | 46% | |
| 21 | 38% | 42% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 17 | 14% | 98.9% | |
| 18 | 18% | 85% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 67% | |
| 20 | 55% | 66% | Median |
| 21 | 10% | 11% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 30% | 99.3% | |
| 17 | 4% | 69% | Last Result |
| 18 | 53% | 65% | Median |
| 19 | 11% | 12% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 14% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 23% | 86% | |
| 16 | 54% | 62% | Median |
| 17 | 7% | 9% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 2% | 98% | |
| 11 | 23% | 96% | |
| 12 | 59% | 73% | Median |
| 13 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 14 | 13% | 14% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 86 | 99.8% | 83–86 | 81–86 | 81–86 | 77–93 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 70 | 0.9% | 68–70 | 66–70 | 66–70 | 61–77 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 70 | 0.9% | 68–70 | 66–70 | 66–70 | 61–77 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 68 | 0% | 62–68 | 62–68 | 61–68 | 58–69 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 52 | 0% | 51–54 | 51–57 | 51–57 | 49–61 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 52 | 0% | 49–54 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 45–56 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 52 | 0% | 49–54 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 45–56 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 52 | 0% | 47–52 | 46–52 | 46–52 | 43–53 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 52 | 0% | 47–52 | 46–52 | 46–52 | 43–53 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 36 | 0% | 36–39 | 36–40 | 36–40 | 32–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 36 | 0% | 36–39 | 36–40 | 36–40 | 32–44 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 0 | 34 | 0% | 28–34 | 28–34 | 27–34 | 26–34 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 34 | 0% | 28–34 | 28–34 | 27–34 | 26–34 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 38 | 18 | 0% | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 17–24 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 18 | 0% | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 17–24 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 18 | 0% | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 17–24 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 83 | 13% | 94% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 85 | 26% | 80% | |
| 86 | 52% | 54% | Median |
| 87 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 68 | 7% | 94% | |
| 69 | 15% | 88% | |
| 70 | 71% | 73% | Median |
| 71 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 68 | 7% | 94% | |
| 69 | 15% | 88% | |
| 70 | 71% | 73% | Median |
| 71 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 14% | 95% | |
| 63 | 4% | 81% | |
| 64 | 23% | 78% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 55% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 54% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 54% | |
| 68 | 53% | 54% | Median |
| 69 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 13% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 69% | 85% | Median |
| 53 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 54 | 7% | 16% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 57 | 7% | 8% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 49 | 7% | 95% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 52 | 53% | 88% | Median |
| 53 | 17% | 34% | |
| 54 | 16% | 18% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 49 | 7% | 95% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 52 | 53% | 88% | Median |
| 53 | 17% | 34% | |
| 54 | 16% | 18% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 7% | 95% | |
| 48 | 17% | 88% | |
| 49 | 16% | 70% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 54% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 54% | |
| 52 | 52% | 53% | Median |
| 53 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 7% | 95% | |
| 48 | 17% | 88% | |
| 49 | 16% | 70% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 54% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 54% | |
| 52 | 52% | 53% | Median |
| 53 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 53% | 99.0% | Median |
| 37 | 31% | 46% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 39 | 7% | 15% | |
| 40 | 7% | 8% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 53% | 99.0% | Median |
| 37 | 31% | 46% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 39 | 7% | 15% | |
| 40 | 7% | 8% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 28 | 7% | 96% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 31 | 4% | 88% | |
| 32 | 14% | 84% | |
| 33 | 17% | 69% | |
| 34 | 52% | 53% | Median |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 28 | 7% | 96% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 31 | 4% | 88% | |
| 32 | 14% | 84% | |
| 33 | 17% | 69% | |
| 34 | 52% | 53% | Median |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 52% | 99.4% | Median |
| 19 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 20 | 4% | 46% | |
| 21 | 38% | 42% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 52% | 99.4% | Median |
| 19 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 20 | 4% | 46% | |
| 21 | 38% | 42% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 52% | 99.4% | Median |
| 19 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 20 | 4% | 46% | |
| 21 | 38% | 42% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FOCUS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26 August–2 September 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1022
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.67%