Opinion Poll by Polis, 4–9 September 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 25.0% | 20.7% | 19.3–22.3% | 18.9–22.7% | 18.5–23.1% | 17.8–23.8% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.4–17.8% | 14.1–18.2% | 13.5–18.9% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 11.6% | 10.5–12.8% | 10.2–13.2% | 9.9–13.5% | 9.4–14.1% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 8.8% | 7.8–9.9% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.3–10.5% | 6.9–11.1% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.3–9.9% | 7.0–10.2% | 6.6–10.7% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.3–9.1% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.4–6.9% | 4.0–7.4% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.3% | 3.5–6.8% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.1–5.7% | 3.9–5.9% | 3.7–6.1% | 3.4–6.6% |
| Za ľudí | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.6–5.5% |
| Dobrá voľba | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.5% | 2.1–3.7% | 2.0–3.9% | 1.8–4.3% |
| MOST–HÍD | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.1% | 1.8–3.3% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.5–3.9% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.9% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.7–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 53 | 39 | 37–41 | 36–42 | 34–42 | 32–44 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 27 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–34 | 25–35 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 18 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 18–25 | 17–25 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 17 | 15–17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 15 | 15–20 | 13–20 | 13–20 | 12–20 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 10–17 | 10–17 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Za ľudí | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 2% | 98% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 36 | 2% | 95% | |
| 37 | 3% | 93% | |
| 38 | 3% | 90% | |
| 39 | 70% | 87% | Median |
| 40 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 41 | 11% | 16% | |
| 42 | 3% | 5% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 44 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 56% | 93% | Median |
| 28 | 4% | 37% | |
| 29 | 4% | 34% | |
| 30 | 11% | 30% | |
| 31 | 6% | 19% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 33 | 3% | 12% | |
| 34 | 8% | 9% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 58% | 98.8% | Median |
| 19 | 3% | 41% | |
| 20 | 3% | 38% | |
| 21 | 7% | 35% | |
| 22 | 6% | 27% | |
| 23 | 4% | 21% | |
| 24 | 9% | 17% | |
| 25 | 7% | 7% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 98% | |
| 14 | 3% | 96% | |
| 15 | 4% | 92% | |
| 16 | 7% | 88% | |
| 17 | 73% | 82% | Median |
| 18 | 3% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 6% | |
| 20 | 3% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 2% | 95% | |
| 15 | 63% | 92% | Median |
| 16 | 8% | 29% | |
| 17 | 4% | 21% | Last Result |
| 18 | 2% | 17% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 15% | |
| 20 | 14% | 15% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 4% | 96% | |
| 12 | 10% | 92% | |
| 13 | 5% | 82% | |
| 14 | 60% | 77% | Median |
| 15 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 16 | 10% | 15% | |
| 17 | 6% | 6% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 79% | |
| 2 | 0% | 79% | |
| 3 | 0% | 79% | |
| 4 | 0% | 79% | |
| 5 | 0% | 79% | |
| 6 | 0% | 79% | |
| 7 | 0% | 79% | |
| 8 | 0% | 79% | |
| 9 | 6% | 79% | |
| 10 | 60% | 73% | Median |
| 11 | 9% | 13% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 89% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 11% | |
| 2 | 0% | 11% | |
| 3 | 0% | 11% | |
| 4 | 0% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0% | 11% | |
| 7 | 0% | 11% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 9 | 4% | 11% | |
| 10 | 4% | 8% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 68% | |
| 2 | 0% | 68% | |
| 3 | 0% | 68% | |
| 4 | 0% | 68% | |
| 5 | 0% | 68% | |
| 6 | 0% | 68% | |
| 7 | 0% | 68% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 68% | |
| 9 | 7% | 68% | |
| 10 | 58% | 60% | Median |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 3% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 73 | 25% | 71–84 | 68–87 | 68–87 | 66–87 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 34 | 56 | 0% | 55–67 | 54–70 | 53–70 | 50–70 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 58 | 0% | 56–64 | 53–67 | 52–67 | 52–67 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 58 | 0% | 56–64 | 53–67 | 52–67 | 52–67 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 72 | 46 | 0% | 42–53 | 41–54 | 40–54 | 39–54 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 44 | 0% | 42–51 | 41–51 | 40–51 | 40–53 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 44 | 0% | 42–51 | 41–51 | 40–51 | 40–53 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 41 | 0% | 40–47 | 39–50 | 38–50 | 37–50 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 41 | 0% | 40–47 | 39–50 | 38–50 | 37–50 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 27 | 0% | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–34 | 25–35 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 27 | 0% | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–34 | 25–35 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 31 | 0% | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–34 | 24–34 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 31 | 0% | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–34 | 24–34 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 17 | 0% | 15–17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 17 | 0% | 15–17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 17 | 0% | 15–17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 4% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 94% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 71 | 5% | 91% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 87% | Last Result |
| 73 | 56% | 86% | Median |
| 74 | 4% | 30% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 26% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 25% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 24% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 21% | |
| 79 | 3% | 20% | |
| 80 | 2% | 17% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 84 | 6% | 14% | |
| 85 | 0% | 8% | |
| 86 | 0% | 8% | |
| 87 | 8% | 8% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 96% | |
| 55 | 4% | 94% | |
| 56 | 57% | 90% | Median |
| 57 | 8% | 33% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 25% | |
| 59 | 3% | 23% | |
| 60 | 2% | 20% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 17% | |
| 64 | 2% | 16% | |
| 65 | 0% | 14% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 67 | 6% | 14% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 69 | 0% | 8% | |
| 70 | 8% | 8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 54 | 2% | 94% | |
| 55 | 2% | 93% | Last Result |
| 56 | 3% | 91% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 58 | 59% | 87% | Median |
| 59 | 2% | 27% | |
| 60 | 3% | 26% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 62 | 3% | 22% | |
| 63 | 3% | 19% | |
| 64 | 6% | 15% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 67 | 8% | 8% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 54 | 2% | 94% | |
| 55 | 2% | 93% | Last Result |
| 56 | 3% | 91% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 58 | 59% | 87% | Median |
| 59 | 2% | 27% | |
| 60 | 3% | 26% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 62 | 3% | 22% | |
| 63 | 3% | 19% | |
| 64 | 6% | 15% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 67 | 8% | 8% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 4% | 94% | |
| 43 | 4% | 89% | |
| 44 | 2% | 85% | |
| 45 | 5% | 83% | |
| 46 | 56% | 78% | Median |
| 47 | 3% | 22% | |
| 48 | 2% | 19% | |
| 49 | 3% | 17% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 52 | 0% | 14% | |
| 53 | 8% | 14% | |
| 54 | 6% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 42 | 5% | 95% | |
| 43 | 2% | 89% | |
| 44 | 55% | 88% | Median |
| 45 | 2% | 32% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 30% | |
| 47 | 9% | 29% | |
| 48 | 3% | 20% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 16% | |
| 50 | 3% | 15% | |
| 51 | 10% | 11% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 42 | 5% | 95% | |
| 43 | 2% | 89% | |
| 44 | 55% | 88% | Median |
| 45 | 2% | 32% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 30% | |
| 47 | 9% | 29% | |
| 48 | 3% | 20% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 16% | |
| 50 | 3% | 15% | |
| 51 | 10% | 11% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 40 | 5% | 94% | |
| 41 | 60% | 89% | Median |
| 42 | 5% | 29% | |
| 43 | 2% | 24% | |
| 44 | 4% | 22% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 18% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 17% | |
| 47 | 7% | 16% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 50 | 8% | 9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 40 | 5% | 94% | |
| 41 | 60% | 89% | Median |
| 42 | 5% | 29% | |
| 43 | 2% | 24% | |
| 44 | 4% | 22% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 18% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 17% | |
| 47 | 7% | 16% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 50 | 8% | 9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 56% | 93% | Median |
| 28 | 4% | 37% | |
| 29 | 4% | 34% | |
| 30 | 11% | 30% | |
| 31 | 6% | 19% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 33 | 3% | 12% | |
| 34 | 8% | 9% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 56% | 93% | Median |
| 28 | 4% | 37% | |
| 29 | 4% | 34% | |
| 30 | 11% | 30% | |
| 31 | 6% | 19% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 33 | 3% | 12% | |
| 34 | 8% | 9% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 26 | 5% | 97% | |
| 27 | 4% | 92% | |
| 28 | 2% | 88% | |
| 29 | 4% | 86% | |
| 30 | 6% | 81% | |
| 31 | 56% | 76% | Median |
| 32 | 5% | 20% | |
| 33 | 9% | 15% | |
| 34 | 6% | 6% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 26 | 5% | 97% | |
| 27 | 4% | 92% | |
| 28 | 2% | 88% | |
| 29 | 4% | 86% | |
| 30 | 6% | 81% | |
| 31 | 56% | 76% | Median |
| 32 | 5% | 20% | |
| 33 | 9% | 15% | |
| 34 | 6% | 6% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 98% | |
| 14 | 3% | 96% | |
| 15 | 4% | 92% | |
| 16 | 7% | 88% | |
| 17 | 73% | 82% | Median |
| 18 | 3% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 6% | |
| 20 | 3% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 98% | |
| 14 | 3% | 96% | |
| 15 | 4% | 92% | |
| 16 | 7% | 88% | |
| 17 | 73% | 82% | Median |
| 18 | 3% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 6% | |
| 20 | 3% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 98% | |
| 14 | 3% | 96% | |
| 15 | 4% | 92% | |
| 16 | 7% | 88% | |
| 17 | 73% | 82% | Median |
| 18 | 3% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 6% | |
| 20 | 3% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Polis
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4–9 September 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1217
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.45%