Opinion Poll by Polis, 4–9 September 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
25.0% |
20.7% |
19.3–22.3% |
18.9–22.7% |
18.5–23.1% |
17.8–23.8% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia |
0.0% |
16.0% |
14.7–17.5% |
14.4–17.8% |
14.1–18.2% |
13.5–18.9% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
6.2% |
11.6% |
10.5–12.8% |
10.2–13.2% |
9.9–13.5% |
9.4–14.1% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
18.3% |
8.8% |
7.8–9.9% |
7.6–10.2% |
7.3–10.5% |
6.9–11.1% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.6% |
7.3–9.9% |
7.0–10.2% |
6.6–10.7% |
SME RODINA |
8.2% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.0% |
5.9–8.3% |
5.7–8.6% |
5.3–9.1% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
3.9% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.4% |
4.5–6.7% |
4.4–6.9% |
4.0–7.4% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.6% |
4.9% |
4.2–5.8% |
4.0–6.1% |
3.8–6.3% |
3.5–6.8% |
Progresívne Slovensko |
7.0% |
4.8% |
4.1–5.7% |
3.9–5.9% |
3.7–6.1% |
3.4–6.6% |
Za ľudí |
5.8% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.7% |
3.1–4.9% |
2.9–5.1% |
2.6–5.5% |
Dobrá voľba |
3.1% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.5% |
2.1–3.7% |
2.0–3.9% |
1.8–4.3% |
MOST–HÍD |
2.0% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.1% |
1.8–3.3% |
1.7–3.5% |
1.5–3.9% |
Slovenská národná strana |
3.2% |
1.4% |
1.1–1.9% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.7–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
34 |
2% |
98% |
|
35 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
36 |
2% |
95% |
|
37 |
3% |
93% |
|
38 |
3% |
90% |
|
39 |
70% |
87% |
Median |
40 |
0.9% |
17% |
|
41 |
11% |
16% |
|
42 |
3% |
5% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
44 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
26 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
56% |
93% |
Median |
28 |
4% |
37% |
|
29 |
4% |
34% |
|
30 |
11% |
30% |
|
31 |
6% |
19% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
33 |
3% |
12% |
|
34 |
8% |
9% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
58% |
98.8% |
Median |
19 |
3% |
41% |
|
20 |
3% |
38% |
|
21 |
7% |
35% |
|
22 |
6% |
27% |
|
23 |
4% |
21% |
|
24 |
9% |
17% |
|
25 |
7% |
7% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
2% |
100% |
|
13 |
3% |
98% |
|
14 |
3% |
96% |
|
15 |
4% |
92% |
|
16 |
7% |
88% |
|
17 |
73% |
82% |
Median |
18 |
3% |
9% |
|
19 |
2% |
6% |
|
20 |
3% |
4% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
14 |
2% |
95% |
|
15 |
63% |
92% |
Median |
16 |
8% |
29% |
|
17 |
4% |
21% |
Last Result |
18 |
2% |
17% |
|
19 |
0.9% |
15% |
|
20 |
14% |
15% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
11 |
4% |
96% |
|
12 |
10% |
92% |
|
13 |
5% |
82% |
|
14 |
60% |
77% |
Median |
15 |
1.3% |
17% |
|
16 |
10% |
15% |
|
17 |
6% |
6% |
Last Result |
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
21% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
79% |
|
2 |
0% |
79% |
|
3 |
0% |
79% |
|
4 |
0% |
79% |
|
5 |
0% |
79% |
|
6 |
0% |
79% |
|
7 |
0% |
79% |
|
8 |
0% |
79% |
|
9 |
6% |
79% |
|
10 |
60% |
73% |
Median |
11 |
9% |
13% |
|
12 |
2% |
4% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
89% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
11% |
|
2 |
0% |
11% |
|
3 |
0% |
11% |
|
4 |
0% |
11% |
|
5 |
0% |
11% |
|
6 |
0% |
11% |
|
7 |
0% |
11% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
9 |
4% |
11% |
|
10 |
4% |
8% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
32% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
68% |
|
2 |
0% |
68% |
|
3 |
0% |
68% |
|
4 |
0% |
68% |
|
5 |
0% |
68% |
|
6 |
0% |
68% |
|
7 |
0% |
68% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
68% |
|
9 |
7% |
68% |
|
10 |
58% |
60% |
Median |
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
3% |
|
2 |
0% |
3% |
|
3 |
0% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
3% |
|
7 |
0% |
3% |
|
8 |
0% |
3% |
|
9 |
3% |
3% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
73 |
25% |
71–84 |
68–87 |
68–87 |
66–87 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
34 |
56 |
0% |
55–67 |
54–70 |
53–70 |
50–70 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
58 |
0% |
56–64 |
53–67 |
52–67 |
52–67 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
58 |
0% |
56–64 |
53–67 |
52–67 |
52–67 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
46 |
0% |
42–53 |
41–54 |
40–54 |
39–54 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
44 |
0% |
42–51 |
41–51 |
40–51 |
40–53 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
44 |
0% |
42–51 |
41–51 |
40–51 |
40–53 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
17 |
41 |
0% |
40–47 |
39–50 |
38–50 |
37–50 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
17 |
41 |
0% |
40–47 |
39–50 |
38–50 |
37–50 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana |
0 |
27 |
0% |
27–33 |
26–34 |
26–34 |
25–35 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
0 |
27 |
0% |
27–33 |
26–34 |
26–34 |
25–35 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
31 |
0% |
27–33 |
26–34 |
25–34 |
24–34 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
31 |
0% |
27–33 |
26–34 |
25–34 |
24–34 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
17 |
0% |
15–17 |
14–19 |
13–20 |
12–21 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
38 |
17 |
0% |
15–17 |
14–19 |
13–20 |
12–21 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
17 |
0% |
15–17 |
14–19 |
13–20 |
12–21 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
68 |
4% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
94% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
71 |
5% |
91% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
87% |
Last Result |
73 |
56% |
86% |
Median |
74 |
4% |
30% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
26% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
25% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
24% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
21% |
|
79 |
3% |
20% |
|
80 |
2% |
17% |
|
81 |
1.3% |
15% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
84 |
6% |
14% |
|
85 |
0% |
8% |
|
86 |
0% |
8% |
|
87 |
8% |
8% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
3% |
96% |
|
55 |
4% |
94% |
|
56 |
57% |
90% |
Median |
57 |
8% |
33% |
|
58 |
1.2% |
25% |
|
59 |
3% |
23% |
|
60 |
2% |
20% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
19% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
18% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
17% |
|
64 |
2% |
16% |
|
65 |
0% |
14% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
67 |
6% |
14% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
8% |
|
69 |
0% |
8% |
|
70 |
8% |
8% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
54 |
2% |
94% |
|
55 |
2% |
93% |
Last Result |
56 |
3% |
91% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
88% |
|
58 |
59% |
87% |
Median |
59 |
2% |
27% |
|
60 |
3% |
26% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
23% |
|
62 |
3% |
22% |
|
63 |
3% |
19% |
|
64 |
6% |
15% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
67 |
8% |
8% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
54 |
2% |
94% |
|
55 |
2% |
93% |
Last Result |
56 |
3% |
91% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
88% |
|
58 |
59% |
87% |
Median |
59 |
2% |
27% |
|
60 |
3% |
26% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
23% |
|
62 |
3% |
22% |
|
63 |
3% |
19% |
|
64 |
6% |
15% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
67 |
8% |
8% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
41 |
3% |
97% |
|
42 |
4% |
94% |
|
43 |
4% |
89% |
|
44 |
2% |
85% |
|
45 |
5% |
83% |
|
46 |
56% |
78% |
Median |
47 |
3% |
22% |
|
48 |
2% |
19% |
|
49 |
3% |
17% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
15% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
14% |
|
52 |
0% |
14% |
|
53 |
8% |
14% |
|
54 |
6% |
6% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
42 |
5% |
95% |
|
43 |
2% |
89% |
|
44 |
55% |
88% |
Median |
45 |
2% |
32% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
30% |
|
47 |
9% |
29% |
|
48 |
3% |
20% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
16% |
|
50 |
3% |
15% |
|
51 |
10% |
11% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
42 |
5% |
95% |
|
43 |
2% |
89% |
|
44 |
55% |
88% |
Median |
45 |
2% |
32% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
30% |
|
47 |
9% |
29% |
|
48 |
3% |
20% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
16% |
|
50 |
3% |
15% |
|
51 |
10% |
11% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
40 |
5% |
94% |
|
41 |
60% |
89% |
Median |
42 |
5% |
29% |
|
43 |
2% |
24% |
|
44 |
4% |
22% |
|
45 |
1.5% |
18% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
17% |
|
47 |
7% |
16% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
50 |
8% |
9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
40 |
5% |
94% |
|
41 |
60% |
89% |
Median |
42 |
5% |
29% |
|
43 |
2% |
24% |
|
44 |
4% |
22% |
|
45 |
1.5% |
18% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
17% |
|
47 |
7% |
16% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
50 |
8% |
9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
26 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
56% |
93% |
Median |
28 |
4% |
37% |
|
29 |
4% |
34% |
|
30 |
11% |
30% |
|
31 |
6% |
19% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
33 |
3% |
12% |
|
34 |
8% |
9% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
26 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
56% |
93% |
Median |
28 |
4% |
37% |
|
29 |
4% |
34% |
|
30 |
11% |
30% |
|
31 |
6% |
19% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
33 |
3% |
12% |
|
34 |
8% |
9% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
26 |
5% |
97% |
|
27 |
4% |
92% |
|
28 |
2% |
88% |
|
29 |
4% |
86% |
|
30 |
6% |
81% |
|
31 |
56% |
76% |
Median |
32 |
5% |
20% |
|
33 |
9% |
15% |
|
34 |
6% |
6% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
26 |
5% |
97% |
|
27 |
4% |
92% |
|
28 |
2% |
88% |
|
29 |
4% |
86% |
|
30 |
6% |
81% |
|
31 |
56% |
76% |
Median |
32 |
5% |
20% |
|
33 |
9% |
15% |
|
34 |
6% |
6% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
2% |
100% |
|
13 |
3% |
98% |
|
14 |
3% |
96% |
|
15 |
4% |
92% |
|
16 |
7% |
88% |
|
17 |
73% |
82% |
Median |
18 |
3% |
9% |
|
19 |
2% |
6% |
|
20 |
3% |
4% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
2% |
100% |
|
13 |
3% |
98% |
|
14 |
3% |
96% |
|
15 |
4% |
92% |
|
16 |
7% |
88% |
|
17 |
73% |
82% |
Median |
18 |
3% |
9% |
|
19 |
2% |
6% |
|
20 |
3% |
4% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
2% |
100% |
|
13 |
3% |
98% |
|
14 |
3% |
96% |
|
15 |
4% |
92% |
|
16 |
7% |
88% |
|
17 |
73% |
82% |
Median |
18 |
3% |
9% |
|
19 |
2% |
6% |
|
20 |
3% |
4% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Polis
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4–9 September 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1217
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.45%